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Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:00 am
by CrazyC83
Looks like a significant outbreak is in store up there starting today. Personally, I'd extend the MDT right up to the Canadian border.

SPC AC 171231

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 AM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

VALID 171300Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
FAR ERN PARTS OF SD AND NEB...CNTRL AND SRN MN...MUCH OF IA AND WRN
WI...


...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS
AND MID MO VALLEY INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID MS VALLEY SWD INTO
NRN MS/AL...

...NRN PLAINS AND MID MO VALLEY EWD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...

POTENT...NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 50-60 KT
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK CURRENTLY PIVOTING NEWD INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS
WILL CONTINUE NEWD TODAY WITH SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS/DYNAMIC
FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING ACROSS THE DAKOTAS. ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW OVER WRN SD WILL UNDERGO OCCLUSION WHILE CONCURRENTLY DEVELOPING
NEWD THROUGH CNTRL ND INTO SRN MANITOBA. MEANWHILE...TRAILING COLD
FRONT WILL SURGE EWD ACROSS SD AND NEB INTO MN AND IA BY THIS
EVENING.

FAIRLY WIDESPREAD TSTMS ARE ONGOING THIS MORNING OVER ND WITHIN ZONE
OF DEEP ASCENT TO THE N OF SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM WRN SD
LOW SEWD THROUGH SERN SD...ERN NEB INTO CNTRL MO. MUCH OF THIS
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING
WITH THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WHILE
MOVING/DEVELOPING NEWD. IN THE WAKE OF THIS INITIAL ACTIVITY...THE
PRESENCE OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /I.E. DEW POINTS IN THE 60S TO
AROUND 70 F/ AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT. EXPECT MLCAPE TO RANGE FROM 1000-1500 J/KG ALONG
BENT-BACK/OCCLUDED SEGMENT ACROSS ND...TO 2000-3500 J/KG OVER ERN
SD/W-CNTRL AND SWRN MN INTO ERN NEB AND IA.

SURFACE-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON
FROM PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN ND SEWD THROUGH ERN SD INTO ERN NEB. A
LARGELY NORMAL ORIENTATION OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VECTOR TO THE
INITIATING BOUNDARY IS SUGGESTIVE THAT INITIAL STORM MODE WILL BE
DISCRETE/SUPERCELLULAR. EXPECT THE MOST INTENSE STORMS TO OCCUR IN
A CORRIDOR FROM ERN SD/NEB INTO W-CNTRL/SWRN MN AND WRN IA WHERE THE
STRONG INSTABILITY WILL COINCIDE WITH 40-50 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
AND 0-1 KM SRH OF 100-250 M2/S2. ASIDE FROM LARGE...DAMAGING
HAIL...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE INITIAL STORMS...ONE OR
TWO OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG.

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GROW UPSCALE INTO A QUASI-LINEAR MCS THIS
EVENING INTO TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE
SPREADING EWD ACROSS MN AND IA INTO WRN WI.

...MID MS VALLEY INTO NRN MS/AL...

LONG RADAR LOOPS INDICATE THAT ONGOING STORMS OVER E-CNTRL MO AND
WRN KY ARE ASSOCIATED WITH MCV/S REMNANT FROM UPSTREAM TSTM ACTIVITY
THE PREVIOUS DAY. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THESE TSTMS
ARE NEAR OR IMMEDIATELY ON THE COOL SIDE OF A QUASI-STATIONARY
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM CNTRL MO SEWD THROUGH WRN KY INTO NRN TN.
AIR MASS ALONG AND TO THE S OF THIS BOUNDARY IS QUITE MOIST WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S F. EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE
SHOWS THAT STRONG DIABATIC HEATING SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA TODAY...SUPPORTING MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WITH
MLCAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG.

CURRENT THINKING IS THAT GLANCING INFLUENCE OF WRN-MOST MCV OVER
E-CNTRL MO SHOULD SUSTAIN ONGOING STORMS WITH ACTIVITY GRADUALLY
DEVELOPING SEWD ALONG SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE INTO DESTABILIZING
ENVIRONMENT. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK...THOUGH THE
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PROMOTE CLUSTERS OF STRONGER STORMS
WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..MEAD/SMITH.. 06/17/2010

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1500Z (11:00AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 3:11 pm
by CrazyC83
FUS53 KBIS 172004
TORBIS
NDC093-172030-
/O.NEW.KBIS.TO.W.0013.100617T2004Z-100617T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
304 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL STUTSMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 300 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 12 MILES
NORTHWEST OF GACKLE
...OR 24 MILES WEST OF JAMESTOWN. DOPPLER
RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLEVELAND AND WINDSOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. AS A LAST
RESORT...EITHER PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT...OR ABANDON YOUR
VEHICLE AND LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA.

&&

LAT...LON 4715 9919 4707 9887 4677 9915 4684 9928
TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 199DEG 24KT 4683 9919

$$

HEINERT/AYD

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 3:37 pm
by CrazyC83
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0990
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL MN...WRN IA...ERN NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 334...335...

VALID 172031Z - 172130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 334...335...CONTINUES.

GREATEST NEAR-TERM TORNADO/SIGNIFICANT HAIL THREAT APPEARS TO LIE
ACROSS W-CNTRL MN WITH DEVELOPING SUPERCELLS INVOF AXN. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THIS ACTIVITY HAVE NOW WARMED
INTO THE MIDDLE 80S WITHIN AN AXIS OF MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S DEW POINTS
PER ASOS OBSERVATIONS. GIVEN PRESENCE OF 50 KT SLY FLOW AT 2-3 KM
AGL PER WOOD LAKE MN PROFILER...ENLARGED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL
SUPPORT EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 300 M2/S2 AND MAINTENANCE OF ONGOING
SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES.

FARTHER S...TSTM INITIATION APPEARS APT TO COMMENCE SHORTLY FROM
SWRN MN TOWARDS THE MO RIVER ALONG THE NEB/IA BORDER WITH INCREASED
DEEPENING OF CU FIELD IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MODIFIED 18Z OAX
RAOB WOULD INDICATE MINIMAL CIN REMAINS WITHIN THIS REGION. THE
PRESENCE OF A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPE GENERALLY AOA 3500
J/KG/ AND STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL PROMOTE EVOLUTION TO INTENSE
SUPERCELLS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES.

..GRAMS.. 06/17/2010


ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...DMX...FGF...FSD...OAX...

LAT...LON 46709593 47319529 47599442 47569358 47199319 45009330
42009446 41239575 41069700 41409691 42319641 44099596
45509602 46709593

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 3:41 pm
by CrazyC83
WFUS53 KFGF 172036
TORFGF
NDC035-063-091-172115-
/O.NEW.KFGF.TO.W.0015.100617T2036Z-100617T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
336 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN GRAND FORKS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHEASTERN NELSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...
NORTHWESTERN STEELE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 334 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED AND NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THE DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR FINLEY...OR 43 MILES NORTH OF VALLEY CITY.
RADAR SHOWED THE TORNADO WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* THE TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
SHARON AROUND 355 PM CDT.
LOGAN CENTER AROUND 415 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ABANDON CARS AND MOBILE HOMES
FOR A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4782 9799 4781 9762 4753 9767 4753 9796
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 181DEG 12KT 4754 9781

$$

G2

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:04 pm
by CrazyC83
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0993
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN WI/SOUTHEAST MN TO EASTERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 172146Z - 172245Z

A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE COORDINATED/ISSUED WITHIN THE
HOUR...LIKELY BETWEEN 2200-2230Z...FOR AN INCREASING MULTI-MODAL
SEVERE THREAT INCLUDING THE RISK OF SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND A
FEW TORNADOES.

A BROKEN BAND OF SEVERE STORMS/INCLUDING SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO
STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS MN...ROUGHLY BISECTING THE STATE
AS OF 2145Z...WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR. THE DOWNSTREAM
AIRMASS/BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO AGGRESSIVELY DESTABILIZE
ALONG/SOUTHWEST OF A RETREATING WARM FRONT ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY...AND A SEVERE THREAT IS ACCORDINGLY EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP/INCREASE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST MN INTO WESTERN
WI/EASTERN IA THIS EVENING. AS SUCH...AN ADDITIONAL WATCH WILL BE
NEEDED SOON.

..GUYER.. 06/17/2010


ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

LAT...LON 46719201 46619006 44518983 43089007 41829104 41389371
42839307 44309254 46719201

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:05 pm
by RL3AO
Should reach me in a couple hours.

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:09 pm
by CrazyC83
Storm chasers: large wedge tornadoes on the ground in northern Minnesota and North Dakota.

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:16 pm
by CrazyC83
BREAKING NEWS: TORNADO EMERGENCY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
512 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

MNC005-029-057-111-159-172300-
/O.CON.KFGF.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-100617T2300Z/
HUBBARD MN-WADENA MN-CLEARWATER MN-BECKER MN-OTTER TAIL MN-
512 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WADENA COUNTY IN CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...AND HUBBARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND
EASTERN BECKER AND SOUTHERN CLEARWATER COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA...AND EASTERN OTTER TAIL COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SEBEKA AND NIMROD...

AT 506 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO. THE DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 6
MILES NORTH OF BLUFFTON...OR 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DETROIT LAKES...
MOVING TO THE NORTH AT 55 MPH.

THIS TORNADO HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGE TO THE CITY OF WADENA.

THE TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
MENAHGA...WOLF LAKE AND MIDWAY AROUND 520 PM CDT.
TOAD LAKE AND HUNTERSVILLE AROUND 525 PM CDT.
SNELLMAN...OSAGE AND HUBBARD AROUND 530 PM CDT.
PARK RAPIDS...PONSFORD AND DORSET AROUND 535 PM CDT.

THEREAFTER SOME OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADIC STORM
INCLUDE EVERGREEN...BADOURA...CHAMBERLAIN...TWO INLETS...NEVIS AND
MANY POINT LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ABANDON CARS AND MOBILE HOMES
FOR A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4740 9554 4741 9468 4681 9468 4681 9481
4639 9481 4638 9518 4612 9517 4612 9554
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 192DEG 50KT 4662 9520

$$

HOPKINS

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:28 pm
by OverlandHurricane
Things about to get exciting here in Albertville.

KARE-11 is reporting that the Wadena County Sheriff Office is saying that a large tornado, possibly a multiple-vortex job, went right through Wadena.

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:41 pm
by CrazyC83
OverlandHurricane wrote:Things about to get exciting here in Albertville.

KARE-11 is reporting that the Wadena County Sheriff Office is saying that a large tornado, possibly a multiple-vortex job, went right through Wadena.


I would not be surprised at all.

Environment Canada hasn't got much at all for southern Manitoba, even if the tornadoes are less than an hour away. There should be a tornado watch in southern Manitoba/parts of NW Ontario (maybe PDS?) - the best dynamics from what I can see are right at the border up to Winnipeg. Once beyond 50N latitude, the atmosphere stabilizes big time.

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:42 pm
by KWT
The amount of tornado reports out there is pretty impressive, certainly the biggest for number for a few weeks now...

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:09 pm
by CrazyC83
The wind numbers are really conservative. 50/30 tornado probs.

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 338
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
550 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST IOWA
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
WESTERN WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 550 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 115 MILES NORTH OF EAU CLAIRE
WISCONSIN TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MASON CITY IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 332...WW 333...WW
334...WW 335...WW 336...WW 337...

DISCUSSION...A FAMILY OF LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO TRACK
GENERALLY EAST ALONG A RETREATING WARM FRONT ACROSS ERN MN ATTM.

THERE HAVE BEEN MULTIPLE CONFIRMED TORNADOES WITH THIS ACTIVITY AND
EXPECT STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST INTO WRN WI OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. SHARP INSTABILITY GRADIENT DOES EXIST AHEAD OF THE
ONGOING STORMS...ESPECIALLY NORTH AND EAST. HOWEVER...IF AIRMASS CAN
CONTINUE TO RECOVER COINCIDENT WITH THE STORM MOTION...TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE MAINTAINED FOR AWHILE LONGER.
A VERY VOLATILE AIRMASS EXISTS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST IS FEEDING THIS
CONVECTION AND AN EXPECTED INCREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL JET WOULD
SUPPORT EVENTUAL EVOLUTION INTO A QUASI-LINEAR MCS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE UPPER MIDWEST WITH TIME. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY SOME OF
THE LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL DATA. THUS...IN ADDITION TO
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL...A DEVELOPING SEVERE WIND EVENT MAY
UNFOLD LATER TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...CARBIN

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:20 pm
by CrazyC83
WWUS53 KMPX 172311
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
611 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

MNC043-047-172345-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-100617T2345Z/
FARIBAULT MN-FREEBORN MN-
611 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN FREEBORN AND
EASTERN FARIBAULT COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 610 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR KIESTER...OR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALBERT
LEA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALBERT LEA...MINNESOTA LAKE...WELLS...CONGER...ALDEN...TWIN
LAKES...FREEBORN...MANCHESTER...CLARKS GROVE...WALTERS...
MANSFIELD...BARODA AND HARTLAND.

LAT...LON 4385 9330 4351 9333 4352 9391 4384 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 237DEG 21KT 4355 9367

$$

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:25 pm
by CrazyC83
WWUS53 KMPX 172320
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
620 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

MNC009-095-180000-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-100618T0000Z/
MILLE LACS MN-BENTON MN-
620 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN BENTON AND
SOUTHERN MILLE LACS COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

NEAR 617 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO EAST
OF FOLEY.
THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS NOW LOCATED NEAR RONNEBY...OR 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILACA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MILACA...FORESTON...PEASE AND BOCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4599 9344 4598 9345 4597 9352 4556 9351
4563 9388 4565 9389 4575 9390 4580 9378
4599 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 222DEG 29KT 4571 9378

$$

TRH/MTF

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:28 pm
by CrazyC83
WWUS53 KMPX 172322
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
622 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

MNC043-047-172345-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-100617T2345Z/
FARIBAULT MN-FREEBORN MN-
622 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN FREEBORN AND
EASTERN FARIBAULT COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 619 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS
WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF KIESTER...OR 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ALBERT LEA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALBERT LEA...MINNESOTA LAKE...WELLS...CONGER...ALDEN...TWIN
LAKES...MANCHESTER...FREEBORN...CLARKS GROVE...WALTERS...
MANSFIELD...BARODA AND HARTLAND.

LAT...LON 4385 9330 4351 9333 4352 9391 4384 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 241DEG 14KT 4355 9365

$$

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:38 pm
by CrazyC83
MNC029-087-089-113-119-125-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.TO.W.0041.000000T0000Z-100618T0000Z/
MAHNOMEN MN-RED LAKE MN-PENNINGTON MN-MARSHALL MN-POLK MN-
CLEARWATER MN-
634 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CLEARWATER...EASTERN
POLK...CENTRAL MARSHALL...PENNINGTON...RED LAKE AND NORTHEASTERN
MAHNOMEN COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR PLUMMER AND HIGHLANDING...

AT 629 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED TORNADOES NEAR TERREBONNE AND PLUMMER.
THE
THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES EAST
OF FLORIAN TO 5 MILES EAST OF HAZEL TO NEAR LENGBY...MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

A TORNADO DAMAGED A CENEX GAS STATION/CONVENIENCE STORE IN MENTOR.

THE TORNADIC STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
BAGLEY...WEME AND ROLAND AROUND 640 PM CDT.
CLEARBROOK...MIDDLE RIVER AND GOODRIDGE AROUND 645 PM CDT.
BERNER AROUND 650 PM CDT.

THEREAFTER SOME OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADIC STORMS
INCLUDE MAVIE...HIGH LANDING...GULLY AND GONVICK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ABANDON CARS AND MOBILE HOMES
FOR A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4739 9524 4726 9575 4838 9681 4853 9656
4854 9587
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 234DEG 40KT 4847 9653 4804 9597
4755 9557

$$

VOELKER

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:45 pm
by CrazyC83
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0995
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ND/NORTHWEST MN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 333...

VALID 172341Z - 180045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 333 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 333 CONTINUES UNTIL 02Z...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK
REMAINING ACROSS NORTHWEST MN.

SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO STEADILY DEEPEN/ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN ND EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH A WANING SEVERE THREAT
ANTICIPATED ACROSS ND THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING OWING TO A DRYING
BOUNDARY LAYER/INCREASING LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE. OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED TO NORTHWEST TO
NORTH CENTRAL MN ALONG AN ARCING OCCLUSIONARY FRONTAL ZONE. DAMAGING
WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO/SOME HAIL WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS...WITH A 46 KT GUST RECENTLY MEASURED AT CROOKSTON MN AND 41
KT AT THIEF RIVER FALLS MN. WHILE A SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...IT IS CONCEIVABLE THAT WW 333 WILL BE
CANCELLED PRIOR TO 02Z.

..GUYER.. 06/17/2010


ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...

LAT...LON 48939738 48579508 46019500 47329590 48129808 48939738

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:50 pm
by Siberian Express
Unfortunately a fatality is being reported in Elmora which is by Wadena.

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:54 pm
by RL3AO
KSTP reporting two deaths in Almora.

Re: Severe weather - Northern Plains/Great Lakes - June 17-19

Posted: Thu Jun 17, 2010 6:55 pm
by Siberian Express
KSTP Mpls is now reporting 2 dead.