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Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 1:43 pm
by CrazyC83
Rare to see something so significant in that region, but it is serious for millions of people.

Possible strong tornado near Damascus, MD right now based on radar.

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 1:59 pm
by CrazyC83
Debris balls on radar, although no ground truth yet.

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 2:06 pm
by CrazyC83
It seems the best conditions are north of DC along the warm front. The VA cells are struggling for the most part.

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 2:11 pm
by CrazyC83
What I would do at 2000Z:

* Hatch the 10 and 15 in MD/S PA/extreme E VA near the warm front.

* Expand the MDT north and east (15H tornado), and pull a bit of the southern end (south of DC), reducing it to 10 not hatched in northern VA

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 2:16 pm
by CrazyC83
S51 KLWX 011906
TORLWX
MDC013-027-031-011930-
/O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0007.120601T1906Z-120601T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
306 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...
SOUTHERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...
NORTHWESTERN HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 305 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DAMASCUS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SYKESVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR
VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3943 7711 3936 7694 3920 7718 3924 7725
TIME...MOT...LOC 1906Z 217DEG 20KT 3925 7720

$$

KRAMAR

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 2:43 pm
by CrazyC83
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN PA...WRN MD...ERN WV...WRN VA...NWRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 332...

VALID 011935Z - 012030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 332 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD INTO THE WRN PORTIONS OF WW 332
SHORTLY WITH AN INCREASED RISK FOR SEVERE TSTMS. PRE-FRONTAL
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS SHOULD LINGER ALONG ERN EDGE OF WW 332.

DISCUSSION...FRONTAL CONVECTION IS PROGRESSING EWD AT ROUGHLY
25-30KT AND IS CRESTING THE APPALACHIANS AS IT MOVES INTO THE WRN
PARTS OF WW 332. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS
IT APPROACHES CNTRL PORTIONS OF THE WATCH DUE TO MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 1500-2000 J/KG MUCAPE.
GIVEN THE CURRENT SPEED OF THE COLD FRONT IT SHOULD APPROACH THE
ERN-MOST PART OF THE WATCH AROUND 23-00Z TIME FRAME. TORNADO THREAT
REMAINS HIGHEST WITH PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS.

..DARROW.. 06/01/2012


ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RAH...RNK...PBZ...RLX...GSP...

LAT...LON 36088173 40687891 40697662 36087955 36088173

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 2:53 pm
by CrazyC83
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1008
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...ERN MD...ERN VA...D.C...NRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 333...

VALID 011949Z - 012045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 333 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH ONGOING
SUPERCELL ACTIVITY.

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR FROM PORTIONS OF NC...NWD INTO MD. THIS NRN ACTIVITY IS
COINCIDENT WITH ADVANCING WARM FRONT THAT NOW STRETCHES FROM BEDFORD
COUNTY PA...SEWD INTO CNTRL DE NEAR DOV. SEVERAL OF THE DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS HAVE EXHIBITED TORNADIC CHARACTERISTICS AS THEY LIFT NEWD
WITH ONE LONGER-LIVED UPDRAFT IN PARTICULAR NOW CROSSING THE WARM
FRONT OVER BALTIMORE COUNTY IN MD. NRN SUPERCELLS SHOULD ENCOUNTER
SOMEWHAT HIGHER LOW LEVEL HELICITY ALONG THE WARM FRONT WHICH MAY
ENHANCE THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WHILE WITHIN THIS ZONE.


HIGHER THETA-E AIR MASS SHOULD GRADUALLY RETURN INTO SERN PA/DE AND
SWRN NJ OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SUPERCELL ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE
AS THIS BOUNDARY ADVANCES NWD.

FRONTAL SQUALL LINE SHOULD APPROACH THE WRN-MOST PART OF WW 333 BY
00Z AND AN ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY ENSUE WITH ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 06/01/2012


ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 36217937 40087694 40087467 36217721 36217937

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 3:10 pm
by CrazyC83
2000Z: Hatched from DC northward

SPC AC 012001

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

VALID 012000Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN PA...FAR ERN
WV...MD AND NRN VA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS WRN AND SRN PA..AND THE
MID AND SRN ATLANTIC STATES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NERN NM TO SWRN KS AND
WRN OK...

...VA/MD/SRN AND SERN PA...
THE 1630Z SCENARIO INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES FORMING
ALONG A QLCS AS THE COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD THIS FORECAST PERIOD
REMAINS ON TRACK. DISCRETE STORMS HAVE ALSO FORMED WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE COLD FRONT WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...BOUNDED ON THE N/NE BY A
WARM FRONT MOVING SLOWLY NNEWD. EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2 FROM
NRN VA INTO NRN MD/SERN PA AND NRN DE WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE A
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AS HAVE BEEN DETECTED
THUS FAR ACROSS PARTS OF NRN VA INTO NRN MD. GIVEN THESE
FACTORS...A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO PROBABILITY AREA HAS BEEN ADDED.

...NERN NM TO SWRN KS AND WRN OK...
MODELS SUGGEST AN INCREASE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR
HAIL...SOME VERY LARGE...AND DAMAGING WINDS. FURTHER DETAILS ARE
AVAILABLE IN MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1006...AND 20Z OUTLOOK HAS
EXPANDED THE SLIGHT RISK AND SEVERE PROBABILITIES BOTH TO THE W AND
THE E/NE.

...CENTRAL FL PENINSULA...
DESPITE RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY...ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALONG
A WSW-ENE ORIENTED BOUNDARY LOCATED JUST N OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SUGGEST AN ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR A FEW
ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH AN ATTENDANT ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT.
THUS...THIS OUTLOOK HAS ADDED A 2 PERCENT TORNADO THREAT.

..PETERS.. 06/01/2012

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 3:29 pm
by CrazyC83
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1010
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...SRN NJ...DE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 012025Z - 012130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS SERN PA...DE...AND SRN
NJ OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

DISCUSSION...WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE SLOWLY NWD ACROSS DE
INTO SERN PA AND SRN NJ. THIS NWD SHIFT WILL ALLOW ONGOING
SUPERCELL ACTIVITY UPSTREAM OVER MD TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION AS
HIGHER THETA-E AIR REPLACES COOLER ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW. SOMEWHAT
STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALONG THE WARM FRONT SUGGESTS TORNADO
THREAT MAY BE ENHANCED AS THIS BOUNDARY LIFTS NWD.

..DARROW/CARBIN.. 06/01/2012


ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...

LAT...LON 40627561 39667418 38617424 38517560 39767598 40457635
40627561

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 3:33 pm
by CrazyC83
WWUS51 KCTP 012030
SVSCTP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
430 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

PAC071-133-012045-
/O.CON.KCTP.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120601T2045Z/
LANCASTER PA-YORK PA-
430 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN YORK AND SOUTH CENTRAL LANCASTER COUNTIES...

AT 420 PM EDT...A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED BY A STORM SPOTTER JUST
NORTHEAST OF SHREWSBURY AROUND 425 PM. DOPPLER RADAR ALSO INDICATED
STRONG CYCLONIC ROTATION IN THIS AREA. THIS POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 4 MILES EAR STEWARTSTOWN...OR 5 MILES SOUTH OF RED
LION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WINTERSTOWN AROUND 430 PM EDT...
FELTON AND DELTA AROUND 435 PM EDT...
SUNNYBURN AROUND 440 PM EDT...
BROGUE AND SAFE HARBOR AROUND 445 PM EDT...

ANOTHER POSSIBLE TORNADIC STORM WILL MOVE INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN
YORK COUNTY NEAR NEW FREEDOM BETWEEN 440 PM AND 450 PM. THIS STORM
MAY FOLLOW NEARLY THE EXACT SAME TRACK AS THE LEAD STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

LAT...LON 4007 7637 3973 7611 3972 7618 3971 7624
3972 7683
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 213DEG 20KT 3980 7660

$$

FORECASTER: LAMBERT

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 3:43 pm
by Bunkertor
Jebus. When did the upgrade ?

Re:

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 3:44 pm
by CrazyC83
Bunkertor wrote:Jebus. When did the upgrade ?


12:30 pm. Heavily populated area.

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 3:47 pm
by CrazyC83
WFUS51 KLWX 012043
TORLWX
DCC001-MDC033-012115-
/O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0012.120601T2043Z-120601T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...
WESTERN PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...

* UNTIL 515 PM EDT

* AT 442 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR FORT
WASHINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRIENDLY...
NATIONAL HARBOR...
OXON HILL...
MARLOW HEIGHTS...
CAMP SPRINGS...
CORAL HILLS...
FORESTVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR
VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3872 7700 3872 7704 3879 7703 3883 7702
3890 7695 3886 7682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 206DEG 19KT 3874 7700

$$

KRAMAR

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 4:04 pm
by Cyclenall
I have a weird feeling about this, having a Moderate risk area in this part of the country with 15% tornado hatched is very odd. I don't even remember anywhere in the plains last month having 15% hatched!! :eek: :eek: A 1 year anniversary redux of the Springfield MA tornado event? This general area just had a severe event last Tuesday (a Moderate risk further north). Since May did not deliver, Equilibrium is going to be rough for June maybe.

There was 5 tornado warnings at once before 5:00 pm EDT. Again, don't recall May having more than that level at one time.

Off-Topic: I don't know why the state abbreviation for Maryland is MD...it just doesn't seem right.

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 4:36 pm
by Cyclenall
Now 8 tornado warnings after having 1 just minutes ago!!!!! :eek: I now consider that full tornado outbreak mode...for the east coast.

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 4:37 pm
by CrazyC83
WFUS51 KAKQ 012117
TORAKQ
NCC029-139-012145-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.TO.W.0006.120601T2117Z-120601T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
517 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CAMDEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
CENTRAL PASQUOTANK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 515 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR ELIZABETH CITY.
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CAMDEN AROUND 525 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADO INCLUDE SPENCES CORNER...
BURNT MILLS...BELCROSS AND LAMBS CORNER.

PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL AND OR WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES
OR LARGE LIMBS DOWNED...BY CALLING NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
WAKEFIELD AT...1...800...7 3 7...8 6 2 4.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE... OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 7636 3646 7626 3633 7609 3629 7617
3630 7618 3629 7620 3628 7619 3625 7625
TIME...MOT...LOC 2117Z 214DEG 18KT 3633 7625

$$

MMONTE

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 4:40 pm
by CrazyC83
Cyclenall wrote:I have a weird feeling about this, having a Moderate risk area in this part of the country with 15% tornado hatched is very odd. I don't even remember anywhere in the plains last month having 15% hatched!! :eek: :eek: A 1 year anniversary redux of the Springfield MA tornado event? This general area just had a severe event last Tuesday (a Moderate risk further north). Since May did not deliver, Equilibrium is going to be rough for June maybe.

There was 5 tornado warnings at once before 5:00 pm EDT. Again, don't recall May having more than that level at one time.

Off-Topic: I don't know why the state abbreviation for Maryland is MD...it just doesn't seem right.


There was a tornado mini-outbreak (and many others rotating including funnel clouds) one week ago even farther north though...maybe the Northeast is going to get all the severe this season...

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 4:55 pm
by CrazyC83
MAYBE the northern area has the best tornado threat? Shear is greatest there...

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...N CNTRL PA INTO WRN NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 012146Z - 012315Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAY PERSIST NE OF WW 332...AND
ADDITIONAL CONSOLIDATION OF THE LINE MAY OCCUR AS WELL...EVENTUALLY
AFFECTING WRN NY. DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW EMBEDDED AREAS OF
ROTATION WILL BE POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...WEAK INSTABILITY CURRENTLY EXISTS OVER NRN PA...WITH
VERY LITTLE IN WRN NY. HOWEVER...A STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL
COMBINE WITH COOLING ALOFT TO RESULT IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY
SUFFICIENT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER INTO THIS EVENING.

THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT IS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK
CONVECTIVE LINE IN ERN OH...BUT SOME STABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED TO
THE E WITH A STRONGER LINE IN PROGRESS. WITH A NNEWD MOVING PRESSURE
RISE/FALL COUPLET...AND INCREASE SHEAR PROFILES...SOME BOWS OR LINE
SEGMENTS MAY REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE THROUGH EVENING EVEN WITH
MINIMAL INSTABILITY. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA WILL BE OVER PA WHERE
STRONGER INSTABILITY WILL EXIST...WITH A LESSER THREAT TO THE N.

..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 06/01/2012


ATTN...WFO...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...

LAT...LON 40737892 41647936 42357961 43297910 43407872 42897789
41947678 41127641 40677660 40737892

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 5:17 pm
by CrazyC83
SEL6

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 336
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT FROM 605 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
BRADFORD PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF STATE COLLEGE
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 332...WW 333...WW
334...WW 335...

DISCUSSION...PRE-COLD FRONTAL SQLN NOW NEARING JST EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING STEADILY ENEWD THROUGH TNGT...WHILE EMBEDDED
STORMS/CIRCULATIONS MOVE RAPIDLY NNEWD ALONG IT. SATELLITE AND VWP
DATA SHOW UPR LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER OH ATTM. THIS
SHOULD FOSTER STRENGTHENING OF DOWNSTREAM S TO SWLY 850-700 MB FLOW
ACROSS CNTRL/ERN PA DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS. COUPLED WITH
ASSOCIATED INCREASE IN LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT...SETUP MAY
SUPPORT NNEWD DEVELOPMENT OF SQLN INTO N CNTRL PA. GIVEN STRENGTH
OF WIND FIELD AND FORCED UPLIFT ALONG SQLN...EMBEDDED STORMS MAY
POSE A RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND/BRIEF TORNADOES DESPITE WEAK
LOW-LVL BUOYANCY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20040.


...CORFIDI

Re: Mid-Atlantic Outbreak, June 1

Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2012 5:18 pm
by CrazyC83
WWUS51 KLWX 012209
SVSLWX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
609 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

MDC025-012230-
/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-120601T2230Z/
HARFORD MD-
609 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR HARFORD
COUNTY...

AT 607 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADIC
THUNDERSTORM
. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BEL AIR...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HICKORY...
STREET...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AT 600 PM...THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE WAS REPORTED IN THE BENSON AREA
COINCIDENT WITH A REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD.

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR
VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3950 7632 3955 7642 3967 7638 3959 7621
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 210DEG 15KT 3955 7635

$$

KRAMAR