STORM2K

Looks like Grace will affect Labor Day plans all the way up in the midwest. Not an evacuation GFS run like yesterday. But still holding on to the possibility of heavy rain. New ETA going not as strong for the Chicago Metro area, but still strong. This may become a nasty Labor Day for many. This is my kind of Labor Day, though. Heavy rains and something to track. Once new GFS comes out I will post it here.

wow...stay safe!! :o

The GFS and ETA could only agree slightly on one run. Of course now the GFS solution goes south with less precipitation. We'll have to see. The models are going to flip-flop over the next day before what we see whats actually gonna happen ( when it is right over us ). This is really going to mess up my NWS forecast. So we'll have to see.

Here's my personal thoughts:

Sunday: Partly Cloudy, Cool
Sunday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Monday: Showers and Thunderstorms Possible
Monday Night: Showers and Thunderstorms Likely
Tuesday: Showers possible

We'll see what verifies. Hey, I may end up dry, wet, or extremely wet. What a contrast. I will probably bust. But I guess we all bust at some point in life.

Later,
IndianaWx

Wx forecasting is an inexact science. Even the pros aren't always right.

Now it looks as if we may get rain from late this afternoon all the way to Monday Late Night/Early Tuesday morning.

As of now I am expecting 1-2" of rain with local amounts receiveing up to 3 inches of rain in Northern Indiana.

In Central Indiana, it looks like 2-4" of rain with locally higher amounts.

A wet and stormy Labor Day. Sorry if your plans are ruined....but this is my kind of Labor Day

I will give another update later today, probably after 2 P.M.

Later,
IndianaWx

Some parts of Kansas have already had 12"+! :o Is this related? :?

I'll vouch for the rain, it is chilly here! 63°! I think it feels good after all the heat though, and we really really need the rain we are getting! It is supposed to continue into tomorrow too, looks like a wet Labor Day here, but I don't have any outdoor plans so I'm not mad, thanks Grace!

Yep, now models fairly agreeable on precipitation amounts. I am under a flood watch right now for 2-4 with locally higher amounts

Yes David, that qualifies for a lot. lol.

Here's the Flood Watch....

FLOOD WATCH
ILZ023-032-033-039-INZ010-011-019-010900-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
300 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR...
KANKAKEE...LIVINGSTON...IROQUOIS...FORD...JASPER...NEWTON AND BENTON
COUNTIES. THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

RAIN HAS BEEN FALLING ACROSS THE ENTIRE FLOOD WATCH AREA FROM AS
LATE AS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT AND ACTUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS STRONGER SYSTEMS MOVE
UP FROM CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH SOME LOCALIZED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN THAT
MAY LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...REMAIN INFORMED AND BE READY TO TAKE
ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

$$

BRUMER


Looks like tonight-tomorrow night is going to be interesting.

Later, IndianaWx

Youch! We aren't calling for that much, but even the little bit we have gotten so far is a blessing!

No mo drought for a while for you all, eh?

Well the 16.35 inches of rain in July knocked out chances of deficit drought this year.

Flood Watch update indicates that 2-3 more inches tonight possible, with local areas recieving 4+. Then tomorrows precipitation is yet to be determined.

So far we've received anywhere from .5-1.00...I will check guage later for official amount.

It looks like I may get a good amount of rain

Later,
IndianaWx

Looks like showers and thunderstorms will be quite numerous tomorrow and Tuesday, and a Flood Watch will probably be issued for my area tomorrow morning sometime.

Are you under a flood watch yet, Colin? I looked at the watch/warning map and I happened to notice most of PA under a flood watch.

Well anyway...here is what the latest ETA thinks that the NE can expect