Texas Spring-2015
Posted: Mon Feb 02, 2015 9:47 am
Well, since the air has been let out of the Winter balloon, might as well get this one started...
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wxman57 wrote:No spring break for me - it's my busiest time of the year (since we don't get hurricanes in the Atlantic anymore). Would be nice to get some cycling in for a change. 12Z GFS looks rather mild for next week. No big cold fronts for the next couple of weeks. Minor one next Saturday-ish.
Tireman4 wrote:wxman57 wrote:No spring break for me - it's my busiest time of the year (since we don't get hurricanes in the Atlantic anymore). Would be nice to get some cycling in for a change. 12Z GFS looks rather mild for next week. No big cold fronts for the next couple of weeks. Minor one next Saturday-ish.
Ok, that was funny. I hope it stays that way, not that I want you out of a job. You could always be a librarian..
As far as your biking, you could bundle up and ride....ear muffs and all...
wxman57 wrote:As for the biking, we'll be out riding tomorrow afternoon (12-4pm). Should be in the 60s then. Yes, I could become a librarian, or maybe purchase a VHS movie rental store...
Moderate to heavy rainfall event underway across the region.
A strong upper level storm system over northern MX will slowly move eastward today and interact with copious moisture of SE TX to bring widespread rainfall. A coastal warm front will gradually attempt to move inland and help to focus the heavier rainfall in a SW to NE band from late this morning through much of this afternoon. Rainfall rates thus far have been manageable, but expect an increase in convective elements this afternoon which will support and increased threat for heavier rainfall.
Storm totals over the last 24 hours have averaged 2-3 inches of rainfall from Livingston to northern Harris County to Colorado County with 1-2 inches across the rest of the region. Additional rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches appear likely today with isolated totals of up to 5 inches. Main concern is the threat for cell training of moderate to heavy rainfall especially along and NW of the US 59 corridor. Grounds are saturated and additional rainfall will run-off resulting in rises on area watersheds. Many watersheds are already showing rises this morning from the rainfall yesterday and overnight.
Hydro:
Run-off is increasing across the region with grounds now saturated and flash flood guidance lowered. The West Fork of the San Jacinto River has shown a good rise overnight at both Conroe and Porter. Orientation of the rainfall pattern on top of wet grounds supports rises on the San Bernard and Lavaca/Navidad Rivers over the next few days.
Extended:
Upper level trough will remain parked over N MX through much of the week with at least low end rain chances for the coastal areas and the offshore waters. Inland areas should begin to dry out tonight into midday Tuesday.