STORM2K

@JeffLindner1 — Mandatory evacuation order for all Galveston islands effective now. Follow orders #houwx #lawx #txwz

@Doc_Sanger — Further west shift of Laura towards upper TX Coast seems likely. NHC wording: “since the storm has been tracking west of forecast
expectations for quite some time, future westward track adjustments
could be required later today.” Freeport-Beaumont areas must complete prep now!

@RyanMaue — No change with 06z ECMWF update that arrived just now.

Houston under significant threat of strike from likely major Hurricane Laura lin less than 48-hours.

Tireman4 wrote:

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

Yes, the morning model trends are ominous for us (Texas). I hope our friends in SE Texas along the coast are paying close attention. Not much time left to make the Clash decision ("Should I Stay or Should I Go?").

Ya know Porta, we are just having a whale of a time on Wxinfinity.com. You are there, at times. Come join the fun sir.

As I told Porta three years ago on S2K ( it is on here..LOL) , when we were noticing purples on the precipitation models for Harvey, "Porta, I gotta bad feeling about this"...well let me reiterate this.(for Laura)..."Porta, I got a bad feeling about this"

Tireman4 wrote:

Tireman4 wrote:

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

Yes, the morning model trends are ominous for us (Texas). I hope our friends in SE Texas along the coast are paying close attention. Not much time left to make the Clash decision ("Should I Stay or Should I Go?").

Ya know Porta, we are just having a whale of a time on Wxinfinity.com. You are there, at times. Come join the fun sir.

As I told Porta three years ago on S2K ( it is on here..LOL) , when we were noticing purples on the precipitation models for Harvey, "Porta, I gotta bad feeling about this"...well let me reiterate this.(for Laura)..."Porta, I got a bad feeling about this"

Portastorm wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
The 0z Euro, should it verify, has Austin getting 12 1/2" of rain this weekend. I greatly respect King Euro and all ... but he must have forgotten he was talking about Austin, where it doesn't rain much and NEVER snows.


And now...and now..you have just jinxed the whole works Porta...LOL


Listen, if I had that much power, I would have anti-jinxed Austin a long time ago to make it snow! LOL.

Harvey has me worried all kidding aside. Potential there for a lot of misery in Texas by next week.



Agreed...I have a bad feeling about this.....

Quick question, my mother is selling her house on Crystal Beach. The title company is in the Galleria at 11 am today. She will leave by noon to head back to Galveston. Will she have a chance to head back down there, or will they have contra flow running? She has pets down there and needs to make it back. Thanks guys!

Models are ominous for the NE third of the state. Euro ensembles show a decent chance she will still be a hurricane over Tyler Thursday evening.

Maybe Laura will change the pattern

It does appear that a pattern shift will begin to take shape this
weekend through early next week with the persistent Western US
upper ridge breaking down due to the arrival of a fall like upper
trough from the Pacific Northwest. This system is progged to
deepen across the Plains Monday through Wednesday sending the
first notable cold front in quite some time southward across the
Central and Southern Plains. It is much too early to break out
the sweaters, but below normal temperatures and increased rain
chances are a possibility as we head into the first few days of
September.

Well guys I’m done with Laura. She’s not going to have any impact on my area so I no longer have any interest. Already focusing on the next wave coming off Africa.

Cpv17 wrote:Well guys I’m done with Laura. She’s not going to have any impact on my area so I no longer have any interest. Already focusing on the next wave coming off Africa.

Lol. Silly to say that. Freeport to the border should be on high alert. Hurricanes throw random stuff at us up until landfall.

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:

Cpv17 wrote:Well guys I’m done with Laura. She’s not going to have any impact on my area so I no longer have any interest. Already focusing on the next wave coming off Africa.

Lol. Silly to say that. Freeport to the border should be on high alert. Hurricanes throw random stuff at us up until landfall.

I would say Bolivar Peninsula to Port Arthur. I’m too far west to be impacted although I’d love at least an inch of rain. Might get some tropical storm force wind gusts and some clouds but that’s about all I’m expecting.

Strong signal on the EPS that the tropics are really about to heat up.

Mom is safe, no issues getting back home. Great day to sell a beach house!

Cpv17 wrote:Strong signal on the EPS that the tropics are really about to heat up.

https://cdn1.bbcode0.com/uploads/2020/8/26/ae30a99043861992c9f25e8cfcf74c2e-full.png

Haha, I’d say so.

Although Laura may help buckle in a few fronts for us

The GFS has widespread lows in the 50s after Labor Day heck there's some 40s north of Dallas

The 540 line is in Kansas

The end is in sight guys

Brent wrote:The GFS has widespread lows in the 50s after Labor Day heck there's some 40s north of Dallas

The 540 line is in Kansas

The end is in sight guys

https://i.ibb.co/vzWycK8/gfs-T2m-scus-59.png

I'm drooling.

Brent wrote:The GFS has widespread lows in the 50s after Labor Day heck there's some 40s north of Dallas

The 540 line is in Kansas

The end is in sight guys

https://i.ibb.co/vzWycK8/gfs-T2m-scus-59.png

Sign me up. After what we "might" get from Laura ( oh we will get something..sigh), this would be a welcome relief

Brent wrote:The GFS has widespread lows in the 50s after Labor Day heck there's some 40s north of Dallas

The 540 line is in Kansas

The end is in sight guys

https://i.ibb.co/vzWycK8/gfs-T2m-scus-59.png

Highly unlikely.

Cpv17 wrote:

Brent wrote:The GFS has widespread lows in the 50s after Labor Day heck there's some 40s north of Dallas

The 540 line is in Kansas

The end is in sight guys

https://i.ibb.co/vzWycK8/gfs-T2m-scus-59.png

Highly unlikely.

Why? Yes this is a one run strong cold front but we get significant cooldowns in mid Sept.

Ralph's Weather wrote:

Cpv17 wrote:

Brent wrote:The GFS has widespread lows in the 50s after Labor Day heck there's some 40s north of Dallas

The 540 line is in Kansas

The end is in sight guys

https://i.ibb.co/vzWycK8/gfs-T2m-scus-59.png

Highly unlikely.

Why? Yes this is a one run strong cold front but we get significant cooldowns in mid Sept.

Because it’s two weeks out. Wouldn’t get your hopes up.