Texas Fall 2020

[rwfromkansas]

Still only 38. No DFW surprise again. What I have learned being here for 6 years is that to be in the eastern edge of the cold means usually an accurate forecast with no cold surprise. To have any hope you have to be further west either south of the cold or slightly further into it. But, it’s October. If this happens in December, awesome.

Edit to add: Eastern NM looks to get a good amount, so I might get to drive in snow on the way to Ruidoso Friday if the warm-up can not be too strong. We will stop in Lubbock Thursday night. Getting excited. I haven't seen real snow in so many years. When I have gone to Kansas over the holidays, we have seen a little, but just flurries really.

[HockeyTx82]

Snow reported again in Denton.......

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... 5g2EUhOlSB

If I don't look outside and never check I can believe it

[Yukon Cornelius]

Heck of an overnight ice storm up this way.

[bubba hotep]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

[Brent]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

Please be a sign of winter

Btw fantasy land of the gfs looks interesting towards mid month again

[HockeyTx82]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

Please be a sign of winter

Btw fantasy land of the gfs looks interesting towards mid month again

Let me guess, north of I20 west of 281?

[Ntxw]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

It will rise some with warm air aloft (rain) coming but likely won't go higher than the 46F daily record.

If we can stay below 43 until midnight it will be the second coldest high temperature at DFW for October.

[Ntxw]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

Please be a sign of winter

Btw fantasy land of the gfs looks interesting towards mid month again

I think a 20-30 day cycle is probably a good metric between now and early January for the pattern. The opposing SSTa between the Nina and the NPAC favors big -EPO dumps. Probably some sharp cold blasts with the coldest air since 2018. But likely dry.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Cool 1+2 is vital and looks like we're going to get it. Let's see if this can lead to a promising TX winter.

[Ntxw]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

It will rise some with warm air aloft (rain) coming but likely won't go higher than the 46F daily record.

If we can stay below 43 until midnight it will be the second coldest high temperature at DFW for October.

Official for Oct 27 is 41F was the high. Second coldest October high on record for DFW and the coldest daily max for the month since 1925's 34F.

[Ntxw]

GFS, Euro, GEFS, and EPS are starting to link up for another potential -EPO dump in about 10 days.

SOI had another significant drop so look for a storm down the southern Rockies again.

[weatherdude1108]

Looks like DFW is on the way to smashing the record low high record for today!

It will rise some with warm air aloft (rain) coming but likely won't go higher than the 46F daily record.

If we can stay below 43 until midnight it will be the second coldest high temperature at DFW for October.

Official for Oct 27 is 41F was the high. Second coldest October high on record for DFW and the coldest daily max for the month since 1925's 34F.

It was record chilly down here yesterday as well. Didn't get above 41 at my house all day yesterday during daylight. It said "43" on my weather station, but that was since midnight. It hovered between 39 and 41 from 6am to midnight last night. 38 at my house at 8am now! Had record heat in the last week or two. Local station had a blurb:

The afternoon high in Austin only reached 43 degrees Tuesday–the coldest high temperature ever recorded on Oct. 27th at Camp Mabry. The previous record cold afternoon high was 48 degrees, set in 1936. At Austin-Bergstrom Int’l Airport the highest temperature recorded Tuesday was 46 degrees, making it the coldest October day on record.

https://www.kxan.com/weather/forecast/todays-forecast/

[Ntxw]

It will rise some with warm air aloft (rain) coming but likely won't go higher than the 46F daily record.

If we can stay below 43 until midnight it will be the second coldest high temperature at DFW for October.

Official for Oct 27 is 41F was the high. Second coldest October high on record for DFW and the coldest daily max for the month since 1925's 34F.

It was record chilly down here yesterday as well. Didn't get above 41 at my house all day yesterday during daylight. It said "43" on my weather station, but that was since midnight. It hovered between 39 and 41 from 6am to midnight last night. 38 at my house at 8am now! Had record heat in the last week or two. Local station had a blurb:

The afternoon high in Austin only reached 43 degrees Tuesday–the coldest high temperature ever recorded on Oct. 27th at Camp Mabry. The previous record cold afternoon high was 48 degrees, set in 1936. At Austin-Bergstrom Int’l Airport the highest temperature recorded Tuesday was 46 degrees, making it the coldest October day on record.

https://www.kxan.com/weather/forecast/todays-forecast/

Lots of records yesterday for low MAX temperatures across the state. We are also hitting if not beating forecast lows quite often too, indicative of the past few months. Rainfall forecasts have not panned out, but that is likely a cause for the low temps to win. Cold air is dry air, moist air is warm air..relative.

The La Nina is for real, a real Nina for the first time in a decade. I think we'll see some impressive EPO cold dumps the next 2-3 months or so and with some impressive lows. I would say this winter has a higher risk than usual for an ice storm.

The Nina is going to load Western and Central Canada while as long as the East Pacific remains warm, ridging will tend to pop back into guidance over and over until it changes profile.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Official for Oct 27 is 41F was the high. Second coldest October high on record for DFW and the coldest daily max for the month since 1925's 34F.

It was record chilly down here yesterday as well. Didn't get above 41 at my house all day yesterday during daylight. It said "43" on my weather station, but that was since midnight. It hovered between 39 and 41 from 6am to midnight last night. 38 at my house at 8am now! Had record heat in the last week or two. Local station had a blurb:

The afternoon high in Austin only reached 43 degrees Tuesday–the coldest high temperature ever recorded on Oct. 27th at Camp Mabry. The previous record cold afternoon high was 48 degrees, set in 1936. At Austin-Bergstrom Int’l Airport the highest temperature recorded Tuesday was 46 degrees, making it the coldest October day on record.

https://www.kxan.com/weather/forecast/todays-forecast/

Lots of records yesterday for low MAX temperatures across the state. We are also hitting if not beating forecast lows quite often too, indicative of the past few months. Rainfall forecasts have not panned out, but that is likely a cause for the low temps to win. Cold air is dry air, moist air is warm air..relative.

The La Nina is for real, a real Nina for the first time in a decade. I think we'll see some impressive EPO cold dumps the next 2-3 months or so and with some impressive lows. I would say this winter has a higher risk than usual for an ice storm.

The Nina is going to load Western and Central Canada while as long as the East Pacific remains warm, ridging will tend to pop back into guidance over and over until it changes profile.

https://i.imgur.com/hNNFu4g.png

My heart is full!

[Ralph's Weather]

I am loving what I am seeing for NM and TX for late fall/early winter. Cold shots with good moisture. I expect mid winter to be cold and dry. Who knows about late winter/early spring but my bet is warm for that period.

[Ralph's Weather]

Woke up to the first frost of the season. And in exposed areas the wind is biting.

[Cerlin]

I know a lot of y’all in NTX are a little disappointed with missing out on this most recent event, but I think this was a good one to miss out on. Lots of homes around the OKC/Norman area are still without power AND the tree damage is rivaling that of a category 1/2 hurricane. NWS office here tabulated that much of central oklahoma saw between .5 and 2 inches of ice!!

 https://twitter.com/nwsnorman/status/1321847801978839040

[Brent]

I know a lot of y’all in NTX are a little disappointed with missing out on this most recent event, but I think this was a good one to miss out on. Lots of homes around the OKC/Norman area are still without power AND the tree damage is rivaling that of a category 1/2 hurricane. NWS office here tabulated that much of central oklahoma saw between .5 and 2 inches of ice!!

https://twitter.com/nwsnorman/status/1321847801978839040?s=21

yeah cant really disagree here, I have a lot of Facebook friends up there and while the pictures are amazing, yeah being on day 4 of no power count me out there was virtually no snow til you got much further west... like Amarillo

I just hope that isn't our only winter I feel like there's no way but it pretty much was last year in a similar setup

[Ralph's Weather]

38 yesterday morning and 36 this morning in Lindale.

[South Texas Storms]

What a beautiful day it was in Houston today. Lows around 50 and highs around 70, my perfect min/max temperatures. If we can't have rain then this will certainly do!