Texas Summer 2021

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#321 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Aug 12, 2021 7:51 pm

Tornado has been reported & confirmed near Cypress, TX, NW of Houston at 4 PM . . .
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#322 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Aug 13, 2021 10:10 am

I'm under a Slight Risk of Flooding on 8.20.2021-8.22.2021 . . .

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#323 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:50 pm

That was quite a flood during dinner here :double: also the temperature went from miserable to amazing lol
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#324 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Aug 14, 2021 8:47 am

Brent wrote:That was quite a flood during dinner here :double: also the temperature went from miserable to amazing lol


Same here, except no rain . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

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Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#325 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 12:14 pm

Well that was one interesting run from the 12z GFS.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#326 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Aug 14, 2021 1:06 pm

I got my lazy butt outside to put stuff on the lawn after that brief shower cooled it below 80. Didn’t rain much but nice outside.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#327 Postby Ntxw » Sat Aug 14, 2021 2:00 pm

DFW airport received about ~1" so far. On top of the ~2" that brings the monthly total above the monthly average halfway through the month a little more than 3". Average is 2.18" for August.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#328 Postby Rgv20 » Sat Aug 14, 2021 11:56 pm

Keeping an eye out on Grace...GFS,0zCMC, and some of the ECMWF&GFS Ensembles show the possibility of Grace moving into the western GOM.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#329 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Aug 15, 2021 12:33 am

Rgv20 wrote:Keeping an eye out on Grace...GFS,0zCMC, and some of the ECMWF&GFS Ensembles show the possibility of Grace moving into the western GOM.


Yeah we really need more people from the southern half of this state to join. It’s too DFW oriented. I’m thankful for wxinfinity. North Texas and south Texas are like two different states due to how big Texas is.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#330 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Sun Aug 15, 2021 1:36 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Rgv20 wrote:Keeping an eye out on Grace...GFS,0zCMC, and some of the ECMWF&GFS Ensembles show the possibility of Grace moving into the western GOM.


Yeah we really need more people from the southern half of this state to join. It’s too DFW oriented. I’m thankful for wxinfinity. North Texas and south Texas are like two different states due to how big Texas is.


Cpv17, I sent you a pm about wxinfinity.

Also, I am hoping that Grace can just bring some rain. My area has not had much rain since July.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#331 Postby Haris » Sun Aug 15, 2021 3:22 pm

Image

A massive system for portions of Austin today. Downtown flooding with 4-5” in 30min. 2.2” officially at Mabry.

73F. ‘Twas 107 a year ago today
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#332 Postby cstrunk » Sun Aug 15, 2021 7:21 pm

Been pretty hot and dry IMBY. Finally had to start watering tonight.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#333 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Aug 16, 2021 10:28 am

Looks like Grace will make a visit to the Western Gulf...6zGFS Ensembles are more concentrated on Tampico Mexico as a final landfall. Looks to me like the Euro has a heavy consensus also around the Tampico area but enough spread to keep a close eye down here in Deep South Texas.

6zGFS Ensembles
Image

6zECMWF Ensembles
Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#334 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon Aug 16, 2021 10:45 am

Rgv20 wrote:Looks like Grace will make a visit to the Western Gulf...6zGFS Ensembles are more concentrated on Tampico Mexico as a final landfall. Looks to me like the Euro has a heavy consensus also around the Tampico area but enough spread to keep a close eye down here in Deep South Texas.

6zGFS Ensembles
https://i.imgur.com/nRXQhND.png

6zECMWF Ensembles
https://i.imgur.com/NyF65cB.png


Right. It is looking likely that Grace will not be impacting Texas much now. However, with the strong ridge expected to develop later this week, I believe we may be at risk towards the end of the month and September. Most of this summer has featured occasional troughing, and I would not be surprised to see this return later on.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#335 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Aug 16, 2021 4:25 pm

It is official, the averages are dropping. Doesn't mean a whole lot this time of year because summer is far from over. A mini heat wave is poasible next week (upper 90's) but no 100's in sight. Each front now will be cooler and cooler. Excellent.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#336 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 16, 2021 4:47 pm

gpsnowman wrote:It is official, the averages are dropping. Doesn't mean a whole lot this time of year because summer is far from over. A mini heat wave is poasible next week (upper 90's) but no 100's in sight. Each front now will be cooler and cooler. Excellent.

I've not reached 100 yet, which is not typical for Oklahoma Summers, the last case was in 2003 . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#337 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Aug 16, 2021 4:51 pm

3rd day in a row of getting dumped on IMBY! This is no way to run a August lol
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#338 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon Aug 16, 2021 6:52 pm

bubba hotep wrote:3rd day in a row of getting dumped on IMBY! This is no way to run a August lol


Yep. It is storming outside my home now. Not looking forward to the upcoming mini heat wave. I just hope it stays "mini."
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#339 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:05 pm

This Modelstorm system on the 18z GFS may be in the long-range, but it's worth watching . . .

Image

24-Hour Rainfall
Image
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021

#340 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Mon Aug 16, 2021 11:05 pm

Iceresistance wrote:This Modelstorm system on the 18z GFS may be in the long-range, but it's worth watching . . .

https://s5.gifyu.com/images/gfs_mslp_wind_scus_fh246-360.gif

24-Hour Rainfall
https://s5.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn24_scus_fh246-360.gif


That creepy turn reminds me of Harvey.
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