Texas Summer 2021

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2177
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#341 Postby rwfromkansas » Tue Aug 17, 2021 2:13 pm

The nice line heading into DFW evaporated upon approach. Then it fired just east of me. Lol.
0 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8913
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#342 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Aug 17, 2021 2:24 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:The nice line heading into DFW evaporated upon approach. Then it fired just east of me. Lol.


This happens to me as well! I've dealt with this for 3-5 days in a row! :lol: :lol:
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8913
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#343 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Aug 17, 2021 6:08 pm

The 18z GFS modelstorm is now a 977 MB Hurricane with landfall between Louisiana & Texas in the long-run :eek:

Image
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5466
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#344 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Aug 17, 2021 7:48 pm

4 days in a row with a legit gully washer, in August.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8913
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#345 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Aug 17, 2021 7:52 pm

bubba hotep wrote:4 days in a row with a legit gully washer, in August.


6 Days in a row now where the storms troll me! :grr: :lol:
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5466
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#346 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Aug 17, 2021 7:57 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The 18z GFS modelstorm is now a 977 MB Hurricane with landfall between Louisiana & Texas in the long-run :eek:

https://s5.gifyu.com/images/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_fh234-324.gif


GEFS is starting to showing some support for this and tropical forcing appears to also support something during this timeframe.
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5466
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#347 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Aug 17, 2021 8:00 pm

With more rain on the way, a rare August Flash Flood Watch.

Image
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1039
Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2019 11:09 pm
Location: Starkville, MS

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#348 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Tue Aug 17, 2021 11:46 pm

Iceresistance wrote:The 18z GFS modelstorm is now a 977 MB Hurricane with landfall between Louisiana & Texas in the long-run :eek:

https://s5.gifyu.com/images/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_fh234-324.gif


If the storm moved in where the GFS shows it, that would be really bad. Many of the same areas affected by Laura would be impacted again.
0 likes   

IcyTundra
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 885
Joined: Mon Jun 07, 2021 9:32 pm
Location: Dickinson, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#349 Postby IcyTundra » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:02 am

Iceresistance wrote:The 18z GFS modelstorm is now a 977 MB Hurricane with landfall between Louisiana & Texas in the long-run :eek:

https://s5.gifyu.com/images/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_fh234-324.gif


Showing development for the 2nd run in a row for what it is worth. This time just west of New Orleans but a bit weaker. At this point the exact specifics don't matter but maybe this is a hint that there could be development in that area in 8-10 days with no telling where it would go from there.
0 likes   

cstrunk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 493
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#350 Postby cstrunk » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:37 am

Missed any rain for about 10 days. Cashed in big time Tuesday with 2.06" and 1.52" from two different storms this evening. 3.58" total for the day. 70% chance of rain tomorrow and 60% chance on Thursday bodes well too.

The year of big and timely rains continues.

*Edit - don't think the rain is done for this night yet either.
1 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2177
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#351 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Aug 18, 2021 7:47 am

Well DFW missing out on most of the rain again this morning. Skeptical of the FFW…I only saw .04 overnight. Think I’m still under an inch total.
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21508
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#352 Postby Ntxw » Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:18 am

Quite a bit of rain falling over DFW airport now.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2177
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#353 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:45 am

Yeah getting it now. Finally widespread. Yay! Needed it.
1 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2177
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#354 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:28 pm

Over 3 inches IMBY for the month, not bad for August!
2 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8913
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#355 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:45 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Over 3 inches IMBY for the month, not bad for August!


Hardly a trace at mine, the Storms keep trolling me! 6 Days in a row now! :grr: :lol:
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8913
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#356 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Aug 18, 2021 3:58 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Over 3 inches IMBY for the month, not bad for August!


Hardly a trace at mine, the Storms keep trolling me! 6 Days in a row now! :grr: :lol:


And that is OVER! It POURED over my house just as I was getting off the bus & I was SOAKED! :lol:

Measured .2 inches, it's not much, but hey. At least I FINALLY got some rain . . .
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

cstrunk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 493
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#357 Postby cstrunk » Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:09 pm

Another 1.20" this morning and 0.25" this evening.

That puts me at 5.03" within about a 30-hr period. Wasn't expecting that.
2 likes   

DonWrk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 486
Age: 35
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:54 pm
Location: Collinsville, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#358 Postby DonWrk » Thu Aug 19, 2021 10:51 am

3.25” this morning and over 7” for the event up here in Grayson county! The water is flowing…
2 likes   

User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2456
Age: 37
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#359 Postby Rgv20 » Thu Aug 19, 2021 11:57 am

GFS and its Ensembles have been consistent on setting up a rainy pattern/possible tropical trouble for the Southern half of Texas starting next weekend.
2 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1039
Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2019 11:09 pm
Location: Starkville, MS

Re: Texas Summer 2021

#360 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Thu Aug 19, 2021 12:02 pm

Rgv20 wrote:GFS and its Ensembles have been consistent on setting up a rainy pattern/possible tropical trouble for the Southern half of Texas starting next weekend.


And since this is so far out, this could be further north, or even nothing may happen. However, I think there will be something given the time of year. The western and northwestern Gulf is boiling right now too.
2 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: bubba hotep, cstrunk, Oilman89, snownado and 171 guests