Texas Summer 2021
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- Rgv20
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Yeah to far out for specifics but the one constant forecast from the GFS/GEFS is the abundant Tropical moisture coming up from the NW Caribbean and BOC towards the Western GOM and Texas.
I just want some rain as this past few weeks temperatures have been hovering in the 100s....Granted normal high for this time of year is 99
I just want some rain as this past few weeks temperatures have been hovering in the 100s....Granted normal high for this time of year is 99
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2021
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Rgv20 wrote:GFS and its Ensembles have been consistent on setting up a rainy pattern/possible tropical trouble for the Southern half of Texas starting next weekend.
And since this is so far out, this could be further north, or even nothing may happen. However, I think there will be something given the time of year. The western and northwestern Gulf is boiling right now too.
I’d put my confidence level at about 60% right now that something does end up forming.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
My Tues-Thurs event total ended up at 5.89".
Extremely humid this morning.
Extremely humid this morning.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
12z GEFS just came in with its most interesting run yet. Definitely gaining some traction that we’ll see something in the western Gulf in 7-10 days.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Cpv17 wrote:12z GEFS just came in with its most interesting run yet. Definitely gaining some traction that we’ll see something in the western Gulf in 7-10 days.
The 6z gefs from this morning is sure to raise some eyebrows.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Tropical action on the east coast and trough in the Pacific NW. That'll leave us with seasonably hot and boring weather for the next week.
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- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
A man can dream, right?
A man can dream, right?
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Summer 2021
TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Heck yeah lol
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Whatever you do, don't look at the 8.22.2021 0z GFS model. Trust me
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Click bait.
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Iceresistance wrote:Whatever you do, don't look at the 8.22.2021 0z GFS model. Trust me
Scary run!
Last edited by weatherdude1108 on Sun Aug 22, 2021 1:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
weatherdude1108 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Whatever you do, don't look at the 8.22.2021 0z GFS model. Trust me
Click bait Scary run though!
I was warning you! If that verified, it would become a Rita situation!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Iceresistance wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
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#neversummer
- Rgv20
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
NWS Brownsville afternoon discussion...Will see how things evolve as we head until the work week.
Code: Select all
The main forecast challenge will be from Thursday onward. Models
continue to trend cooler and wetter into next weekend as the mid-
level ridge begins to break down, a trough digs into the PacNW and a
tropical wave/mid-level inverted trough retrogrades over the Gulf
of Mexico. Late in the week the GFS, ECMWF, and Canadian models
all have a tropical system forming in the western Caribbean and
entering the southern Gulf of Mexico sometime next weekend. This
coincides with CPC`s Moderate Confidence level of tropical cyclone
development in their week 2 Global Tropical Hazards Outlook. As
models continue to maintain the development of this system have
increased PoPs slightly for Thursday, onward. Changes in the
forecast will be likely for the later half of the period as the
potential for tropical activity increases.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Brent wrote:Iceresistance wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Let's just imagine this storm at the end of the 0z CMC is a historic Gulf Low in January moving north-northwest along a negatively tilted trough with artic cold in place.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/pJg62Zf/gem-ir-us-41.png [/url]
A man can dream, right?
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
Nope I refuse to believe it will happen again. Nice winter of 50-60F temps would be great
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Boomer Sooner!
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Weather Dude wrote:Brent wrote:Iceresistance wrote:
Not another 2020-2021 Winter Repeat!
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
Nope I refuse to believe it will happen again. Nice winter of 50-60F temps would be great
I'm not sure about that, the general trend for Mild Summers are usually Earlier, Harsher, & Longer Winters . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- ElectricStorm
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Iceresistance wrote:Weather Dude wrote:Brent wrote:
A TV met up here is already saying a similar pattern
Nope I refuse to believe it will happen again. Nice winter of 50-60F temps would be great
I'm not sure about that, the general trend for Mild Summers are usually Earlier, Harsher, & Longer Winters . . .
Yeah I know that was just wishful thinking/hoping
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Boomer Sooner!
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Re: Texas Summer 2021
Big difference between the 0z and 6z in a potential landfalling storm.
8/23/2021 6z
8/23/2021 0z
8/23/2021 6z
8/23/2021 0z
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