2022 Severe Weather

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Tireman4
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#101 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 30, 2022 9:00 am

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
708 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY...
DISCUSSION...
Today and tonight...

Quite an active day in store for the region. Just walk outside and
you can tell something in the weather will occur today. It has been
very warm overnight with temperatures in the lower 70s through the
night. A very potent southerly wind has prevailed with the 850mb low
level jet really kicking in tonight. Sustained winds overnight have
been 15-20kts with gusts around 25-30kts, even a brief near 40kt
gust at JAN.

Much of the forecast thinking remains the same. The upper trough
across the west will continue to track east and become negatively
tilted with time. As this occurs, the 990mb surface low will track
across the Mid-Mississippi Valley region and deepen. The line of
storms currently ongoing over the DFW metroplex will continue to
track east through the morning hours. This line is expected to reach
the western part of our forecast are by around noon-1pm. Some of
this line may be a little broken at first before intensifying and
congealing more into a solid squall line/QLCS. This line is expected
to quickly become severe as it encounters an airmass that will reach
the low to mid 80s before it moves through. Widespread 1400-1600
J/kg of MUCAPE, 45-55kts of deep layer shear, 300-600 m2/s2 helicity
all look to be in place to organize storms and produce a potent QLCS
to move through the region today. Given the abundance of wind in
place today, widespread damaging winds up to 80mph is expected and
there remains potential for tornadoes as well, including a strong
tornado. CAM guidance still indicates less potential for discrete
storms to develop ahead of the line(which if one of these were to
occur would be more supportive to produce a strong tornado in this
environment). With sufficient mixing today, 20 degree
Temperature/dewpoint spreads would support higher LCL heights, which
could mitigate tornadogenesis but especially reduce the strong
tornado risk today. However this risk remains non-zero given the
sufficient shear and helicity in place and if a supercell were to
develop along the line then the risk for a stronger tornado would
exist. A moderate risk still is in place for the entire region.
However, it is prudent to note that with this event we are not
expecting the QLCS to produce quite the numbers of tornadoes as we
saw last week, though certainly an embedded one is possible. We are
most concerned about the damaging wind aspect of this line and this
will certainly be widespread and likely to affect a larger portion
of our population. Winds up to 80mph, in addition to the gradient
wind ahead of the line, will pose risks of downed trees and
powerlines and result in power outages.

Of additional concern is the gradient wind ahead of/outside of
thunderstorms today. As mentioned, winds are already stout this
morning and with additional mixing up to around 850mb which would
suggest tapping into gusts around 45-50kts, and increasing low level
jet, winds will only continue to get stronger ahead of the squall
line through the afternoon. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph will be
possible, but we could see some higher gusts of 55-60mph. Generally
speaking, I feel really good about the gusts nearing 55mph, but am
quite concerned about a few locations(likely more isolated than
widespread) of reaching 60mph. That being said, the gradient winds
will be as much of a concern ahead of the line and have gone ahead
and issued a High Wind Warning to account for this. Once the line
passes, winds will remain gusty but should return to gusts closer to
20-25mph through the evening into tonight. Gusts will diminish after
midnight to around 15mph.

As the line moves through the region, there could be some locally
heavy rainfall. However, given the quick movement to it and lack of
indications of any training storms, the flooding risk is of lower
concern and will continue to not mention this in the HWO or
graphics.

Hold on to your hats, folks....it will be a windy, active weather
day today! /28/
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#102 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 30, 2022 10:21 am

And we are getting some of the action too...


evere Thunderstorm Warning
TXC201-301530-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0029.220330T1453Z-220330T1530Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
953 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Central Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1030 AM CDT.

* At 952 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Hidden
Valley, or over Greater Greenspoint, moving southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Galena Park, Jacinto City, Midtown Houston, Cloverleaf, Downtown
Houston, Northside / Northline, Second Ward, Greater Greenspoint,
Greater Heights, Greater Eastwood, Near Northside Houston, Greater
Fifth Ward, Aldine, Greater Third Ward, Fourth Ward, Channelview,
Macgregor, Neartown / Montrose, eastern Memorial Park and Golfcrest
/ Bellfort / Reveille.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#103 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Mar 30, 2022 12:22 pm

9 tornado warning on that line right now in LA. And it isn't even to the moderate risk yet.
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#104 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 30, 2022 12:23 pm

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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#105 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Wed Mar 30, 2022 12:42 pm

Weather Dude wrote:9 tornado warning on that line right now in LA. And it isn't even to the moderate risk yet.


Just my opinion, but I am rather underwhelmed with all the warnings on that line. Most of the couplets have little to no rotation on velocity so I am not sure what they are seeing. Unfortunately, I think I will not be underwhelmed with the couplets that will form later today.
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#106 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 30, 2022 3:11 pm

000
FXUS64 KJAN 301813 AAA
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
113 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

...SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
Southerly winds sustained 25-30kts with gusts of 40-50 kts are
expected ahead of a line of TSRA. The TSRA could bring gusts to
75kts along with flight restrictions. The line of TSRA wl affect
GLH by 19Z and continue east across the area this aftn into evng.
The line is expected to be around the I-55 corridor around 22z and
east of MS by 03Z. Lighter winds are expected once the TSRA move
through. VFR conditions are expected to prevail away from TSRA
activity until after 05Z when MVFR ceilings will be possible. VFR
conditions are expected to prevail areawide Thursday after 14Z.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Not much to add or change to the going forecast as expectations
remain the same as prev forecasts. JAN 12z sounding has a large
cap, but erosion of that cap through isentropic ascent and strong
forcing will focus convection in the line as has been prev noted.
I will add that the more S you go, the orientation of the deep
shear favors some discrete updrafts, but the lower/mid level
forcing is driving a linear mode. So, the trade of may be some
potential for a broken line in spots. Ultimately, same threats
hold with damaging winds, then some tornado threat.

Timing looks to be basically the same. The 12 hrrr is a tad slower,
but when assessing the current line and it`s movement, the timing in
our graphics remains very solid. Anticipate tornado watches to be
added well in advance of the line with something out likely in the
11 to noon time window. /CME/
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#107 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Mar 30, 2022 3:12 pm

000
FXUS64 KBMX 301901
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
201 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022

.UPDATE...
Midday Update and 18Z Aviation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0153 PM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022/

Today through Tonight.

A progressive line of thunderstorms has begun to take shape gaining
intensity over Louisiana and quickly moving east at 45 to 50 mph.
There will be several more hours before these storms begin to
threaten our western counties, but non-thunderstorm gradient winds
have already been increasing throughout the morning with gusts of 40-
45 mph measured at observation sites across Central Mississippi. A
low-level jet of 50 kts was measured on the 12Z BMX RAOB this
morning. Although slightly lower 850mb winds were measured on the
18Z BMX RAOB, we will see these low-level winds begin increasing
again as the shortwave moves east. It still appears that boundary
layer mixing may bring some of these higher winds to the surface
as we continue through the afternoon with gusts of 40 to 50 mph
possible. The Wind Advisory will remain in effect for the entire
area through tonight. Stronger portions of the low-level jet will
pass across our northwest counties where some locally higher
gusts above 50 mph may occur. The High Wind Warning will continue
for those areas through the evening. These windy conditions will
be capable of causing sporadic tree fall and power outages across
any portions of the area, but increasingly probable in higher
elevation areas as well as areas within the High Wind Warning.

The warm sector is slowly establishing, but our dewpoints still have
some work to do. Low 60s are present across southwest Central AL
with a gradient to upper 40s in the northeast while dewpoints have
risen into the mid 60s in western Mississippi ahead of the line.
Dewpoints should continue to slowly rise as strong, moist southerly
flow provides a narrow corridor of 500-1000 J/kg MLCAPE ahead of the
line. Although instability is expected to remain marginal, when
combined with abundant wind energy characterized by a ~70kt LLJ and
60-70kts of progged eff. shear, it still appears likely that a
significant primary threat of strong and damaging straight line
winds will accompany the QLCS as it enters west Alabama late this
afternoon/early evening. Winds will be especially maximized near
line-embedded bowing segments where convective gusts up to 80 mph
may occur. Additionally, large curved hodographs reflect eff. SRH of
400-450 m2/s2 which will surely lead to areas of rotation within
the line. Given the limited range of instability, the ability for
an updraft to sustain itself amongst such overpowering wind shear
is still in question, but certainly appears that enough support
will be in place for a risk of line embedded tornadoes. Storms
will reach the MS/AL stateline as early as 5-6 PM then continue to
quickly move east thereafter. The quick storm motions will limit
the flood threat, and latest QPF has trended downwards.
Nonetheless, accumulations of 1.5 to 2 inches will support an
isolated flooding threat given the high water table caused by
recent heavier rain events. As the line moves east this evening,
instability will wane which should help to temper the intensity of
storms, but some risk of damaging winds will continue for the
eastern portions of Central AL until the line exits the area
around 6-7 AM tomorrow morning.

Thursday.

Following the frontal passage, PoPs drop sharply as CAA takes hold
and higher winds will subside. Expect temperatures to range from the
mid 60s northwest to upper 70s southeast with cloud cover decreasing
throughout the day. High pressure will begin building into the
ArkLaTex and this will set up another period of generally calm
conditions heading into the end of the week.

86

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0349 AM CDT Wed Mar 30 2022/

Friday through Tuesday

Look for zonal flow to return on Friday on the backside of the
stalled front to our south. A shortwave will slide north of the
area by Saturday morning. Models are a little more in agreement
that there will be enough moisture for a least a few showers
areawide through Saturday morning, then clearing to the east. The
one difference from yesterday is the models are also focusing on
the southern edge, where moisture may rise from along the frontal
zone. Either way the bulk of the rain will stay south. A return to
dry air again on Sunday with the next system working late Monday
and through Tuesday. Will need to keep an eye on this system as we
draw closer and showers and storms will be likely and rainfall
totals could be quite high.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

Windy conditions will continue through much of this TAF period as a
dynamic system moves into the Lower MS Valley and across Central AL
later this evening through early tomorrow morning. Expect southerly
sfc wind gusts up to 40-45 kts this afternoon with sustained
winds around 15-20 kts. A line of storms will move west to east
across the area tonight affecting each TAF site for roughly 3 to 4
hours. TEMPOs for TSRA will cover this activity. Low ceilings
will develop tomorrow morning behind the cold frontal passage, but
ceilings should begin rising again towards the end of this TAF
period as dry air reenters the region.

86

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain chances increase this afternoon in the west and this evening in
the east. Look for a line of strong to severe storms expected to
move through the area overnight. 20 ft winds increase today, nearing
20 mph by mid day. Moisture returns to the area and expect minimum
RH values in the 32-49 percent range. Widespread rainfall is
expected tonight, with drier conditions returning by Friday. Minimum
RH values Friday afternoon will be in the 28-35 percent range, with
northerly 20ft winds at 4-7mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden 55 70 40 67 38 / 100 10 0 0 0
Anniston 58 72 43 68 41 / 90 10 0 0 0
Birmingham 57 69 43 68 44 / 100 10 0 0 0
Tuscaloosa 55 69 43 70 44 / 100 0 0 0 10
Calera 59 71 45 70 45 / 100 10 0 0 10
Auburn 62 75 48 71 46 / 100 40 0 0 0
Montgomery 62 75 47 74 46 / 100 10 0 0 10
Troy 63 78 49 74 47 / 100 30 0 0 10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
Wind Advisory until 1 AM CDT Thursday for the following
counties: Autauga...Bibb...Blount...Chilton...Dallas...Greene...
Hale...Jefferson...Lowndes...Marengo...Perry...Shelby...St.
Clair...Sumter...Tuscaloosa...Walker.

Wind Advisory until 4 AM CDT Thursday for the following
counties: Barbour...Bullock...Calhoun...Chambers...Cherokee...
Clay...Cleburne...Coosa...Elmore...Etowah...Lee...Macon...
Montgomery...Pike...Randolph...Russell...Talladega...Tallapoosa.

High Wind Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 10 PM CDT this
evening for the following counties: Fayette...Lamar...Marion...
Pickens...Winston.

Wind Advisory until 5 PM CDT this afternoon for the following
counties: Fayette...Lamar...Marion...Pickens...Winston.

&&

$$
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#108 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Mar 30, 2022 6:52 pm

Tornado watch with 80/70 probs is up until 4am. Gonna be a long night down there
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#109 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Mar 30, 2022 8:44 pm

First PDS Warning of the Night in Mississippi
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#110 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Mar 30, 2022 10:02 pm

Intense tornado PDS warned near Brent, AL. Similar area to the long tracker on 3/25/21. This storm is discrete and is moving generally towards a populated area if it holds on.
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#111 Postby Laurie » Thu Mar 31, 2022 12:59 am

Can anyone give some weather info to come for Ft Walton Beach, Fl
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#112 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Mar 31, 2022 2:03 pm

00
FXUS61 KLWX 311420
AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1020 AM EDT Thu Mar 31 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will approach the area later today, then cross
the area tonight. High pressure will build in Friday into Saturday.
A cold front and wave of low pressure are expected to move over the
area Saturday night into Sunday. High pressure is expected to make
another brief return early next week before unsettled weather
returns by the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The focus of the near term will be on the potential for severe
thunderstorms with the primary threat being damaging winds and
the potential for an isolated tornado and large hail. The main
uncertainty for this event will be how much instability is
realized, and if it is rooted within the boundary layer. 12Z
CAMs continue to show an upward trend in potential instability
this afternoon/evening along and east of I-81. If this
instability comes to fruition, given the ample shear in place
and height falls along the trough/cold front, strong to severe
thunderstorms could be more widespread in nature. The LLJ will
be pumping Gulf Moisture into the area at 55-70 kts at 850 mb
and 40-60 kts at 925 mb. There is the potential for cellular
storms ahead/along the cold front before they congeal into a
linear feature that may include the potential for mesovorticies
along the leading edge. Again, this all depends on if modeled
instability is realized. Previous discussion follows...

Given the ample moisture, the flood threat is non-existent,
mainly north and east of DC into northeast Maryland where CAMs
suggest convergence along the cold front and a training aspect
to the convection. SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for the
majority of the CWA with the 13Z update, but monitor
spc.noaa.gov for the latest outlooks for any potential
modifications. The potential for 40+ kt gusts does exist amidst
the WAA sector mainly if any showers are able to bring down the
wind. Previous discussion follows...

Deepening surface cyclone over the western Great Lks will move
into western Quebec by tonight. Ahead of its associated cold
front, a strong low-lvl flow will develop over the area with
925 and 850 mb winds increasing to 45kt and 65kt respectively
by 18Z today. 500 mb heights will fall around 100 meters in 12
hours today leading to large scale ascent for upward vertical
motion. Widespread showers and low-topped thunderstorms are
expected beginning by 12Z across the Appalachian region and will
spread east through the day, exiting the Chesapeake Bay by 03Z
tonight. While instability will be limited (CAPE values
generally 250-500 J/kg), magnitude of low-lvl winds is such that
any showers or thunderstorms will be capable of producing
damaging wind gusts. Even outside of showers, gradient winds are
strong enough to support 40-45 mph winds. While deep layer shear
is strong enough to support supercells, limited instability will
likely limit tornado potential. Most CAMs indicate a linear mode
of convection with a squall line moving through the area in the
18Z-02Z time frame. There will also be a low risk for flooding
across northeast Maryland where models indicate some training
convection possible. Showers will exit by 06Z but upslope
rain/snow showers will persist into Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Deep upper level trough will cross the region Fri afternoon and
keep unsettled wx through the day with plenty of clouds and
isol-sct showers or virga and mountain snow showers. It will
also be breezy/windy with gusts 35-40 mph. Ridge axis at the sfc
and aloft builds over the area Fri night into Sat with tranquil
conditions and diminishing winds. A weak northern stream
disturbance will move across the area early on Sunday spreading
more showers late Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A cold front and wave of low pressure are expected to be pulling
away from the Mid-Atlantic coastline Sunday morning. Guidance has
trended a pinch more amplified with the trailing upper trough. If
this trend were to continue, it could result in some more clouds or
even lingering shower activity during the day. Regardless, breezy
northwest winds and temperatures right around normal are expected
during the daylight hours. Temperatures may drop a pinch below
normal by early Monday morning as high pressure builds toward the
area from the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys, and slightly cooler
air filters in.

Monday should feature lighter winds and similar daytime temperatures
with less clouds and low to nil precipitation chances to start.
Clouds likely increase later in the day ahead of a storm system
developing over the Mississippi River Valley. This system likely
brings a return to unsettled weather as it approaches the region
Tuesday into Wednesday. Given the anticipated deep nature of the
system and wind trajectories bringing moisture from the Gulf of
Mexico, some thunderstorms or periods of soaking rain are
possible.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MVFR cigs today through this evening along with showers and
thunderstorms mainly in the 18Z-02Z time frame. Gradient winds
up to around 35kt are expected this afternoon through early
evening, but deeper showers or thunderstorms may be able to
produce damaging wind gusts in excess of 50 kt. Showers end by
02Z tonight, then breezy conditions persist into Fri with gusts
25-30kt.

Lingering clouds and/or shower activity could lend to restrictions
early Sunday before VFR returns through Monday. NW wind gusts to
around 25 kt are possible Sunday, becoming lighter Sunday night into
Monday morning, then southerly Monday afternoon and night.

&&

.MARINE...
Gale conditions this afternoon through this evening with gusts
to around 35 kt expected. Showers and thunderstorms may be
capable of producing stronger winds over 50 kt which may require
SMWs. Winds diminish overnight but SCA conditions will persist
through the day Fri.

Northwesterly wind gusts to around 25 knots appear increasingly
likely Sunday in the wake of low pressure pulling away from the
coast. After perhaps some early morning rain, Sunday into Monday
should be dry. Winds likely slacken a bit Sunday night into Monday
morning before shifting to the south Monday afternoon. Winds may
increase due to southerly channeling Monday night.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Water levels will continue to rise in response to strengthening
srly flow. Action stages are expected at Annapolis and Havre de
Grace. Annapolis could come close to minor coastal flooding this
evening and will need to be monitored more closely. PETSS
guidance continue to be an outlier showing moderate coastal
flooding at several sites. This guidance has had a notorious
high bias all year long and continues to be disregarded at this
time.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT
Friday for ANZ530>543.
Gale Warning until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ530>543.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...DHOF
NEAR TERM...LFR/CPB
SHORT TERM...LFR/CPB
LONG TERM...DHOF
AVIATION...LFR/DHOF
MARINE...LFR/DHOF
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...LWX
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#113 Postby mcheer23 » Fri Apr 01, 2022 8:24 am

Surprised nobody made a post....day 4-5-6 slight risks have been issued.
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#114 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Apr 01, 2022 6:33 pm

Weather Dude wrote:March: March 2021 was very active featuring 3 big outbreaks, 2 in Dixie Alley and the other in the plains. While I do think March 2022 could be fairly active, I don't expect it to be as active as last year.


That got really old . . . :lol:

over 250 Tornado Reports in March. Could have 200 confirmed in March 2022, which beats March 2017 (191)
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#115 Postby ElectricStorm » Fri Apr 01, 2022 10:20 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:March: March 2021 was very active featuring 3 big outbreaks, 2 in Dixie Alley and the other in the plains. While I do think March 2022 could be fairly active, I don't expect it to be as active as last year.


That got really old . . . :lol:

over 250 Tornado Reports in March. Could have 200 confirmed in March 2022, which beats March 2017 (191)

Well at least I got the active part right :D
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#116 Postby ElectricStorm » Sat Apr 02, 2022 12:59 am

Interesting news here, apparently there is a new EF scale coming soon. I found several more comments about it so it appears as though it's legit and not an April Fools joke.
A revised EF scale needs to happen so badly so hopefully something good comes out of this.
https://twitter.com/DaveDowneyWx/status ... 9305870340
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Iceresistance
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#117 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Apr 02, 2022 8:07 pm

Weather Dude wrote:Interesting news here, apparently there is a new EF scale coming soon. I found several more comments about it so it appears as though it's legit and not an April Fools joke.
A revised EF scale needs to happen so badly so hopefully something good comes out of this.
 https://twitter.com/DaveDowneyWx/status/1510014289305870340




Put it in "Twitter" mode so I can see what it is.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#118 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Apr 02, 2022 8:09 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:March: March 2021 was very active featuring 3 big outbreaks, 2 in Dixie Alley and the other in the plains. While I do think March 2022 could be fairly active, I don't expect it to be as active as last year.


That got really old . . . :lol:

over 250 Tornado Reports in March. Could have 200 confirmed in March 2022, which beats March 2017 (191)

Well at least I got the active part right :D

I saw recent News Media claiming that Tornado Alley is "Not living up to it's name at all" & even questioning it before April, but I have a really bad feeling about it.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#119 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Apr 04, 2022 10:54 am

3 straight enhanced risk days for the southern US. I'm pretty interested in Wed. If we see good moisture return, instability and pre frontal cells it could be a big one.
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Re: 2022 Severe Weather

#120 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Apr 04, 2022 12:54 pm

10 hatched tornado area added for tomorrow. Could end up being another moderate risk day.
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