It's a long ways out but... 4/13 has my attention. Stay tuned, we'll see if the models keep it going, they've been pretty consistent so far but it's a long way out.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2022 6:19 am
by Kohlecane
Interesting set up along the Mississippi Valley and into C/Southern GA for today. I'm In Coastal SC so keeping an eye out
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2022 7:08 am
by ElectricStorm
Weather Dude wrote:It's a long ways out but... 4/13 has my attention. Stay tuned, we'll see if the models keep it going, they've been pretty consistent so far but it's a long way out.
And 4/11. Day 7 slight risk up
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2022 2:59 pm
by ElectricStorm
Allendale, SC is about to take a direct hit from a strong tornado. Another strong tornado on the line in GA right now.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2022 3:11 pm
by Iceresistance
Tornado Emergency for South Carolina, extremely dangerous Supercell with a likely violent tornado on the ground
Depending on how well built these homes were, this could be an EF4+. Notice the anchor bolts there in the second image
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2022 10:33 pm
by Ntxw
2022 (you can even go back and count the December tornadoes in the Ohio Valley) has seen some pretty distinct tornadoes. Definitely a trend hard to ignore, I hate to compare it to 2011 but there were pretty solid trends that season before the big show late April and May.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Wed Apr 06, 2022 9:07 am
by Iceresistance
Joe B is saying that something really big is coming next week.
Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely.
For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 11:52 am
by PDinKS
Weather Dude wrote:Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely. https://i.imgur.com/Ws7DDOi.gif
For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead. https://i.imgur.com/ZFqoAlx.gif
Thanks. Not all of us are in Texas. I am not as weather savvy as the rest of you, but I do appreciate info that may help me make decisions for my family and friends that follow me for weather.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 12:35 pm
by ElectricStorm
Tomorrow has been upgraded to a moderate risk. The southern part of it is a 15 hatched tornado area.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:29 pm
by cstrunk
The SPC Mesoanalysis parameters up in Iowa along and south of the warm front are pretty crazy right now. I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of violent tornadoes in that area if storm interactions allow it.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:35 pm
by Edwards Limestone
PDinKS wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely. https://i.imgur.com/Ws7DDOi.gif
For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead. https://i.imgur.com/ZFqoAlx.gif
Thanks. Not all of us are in Texas. I am not as weather savvy as the rest of you, but I do appreciate info that may help me make decisions for my family and friends that follow me for weather.
Just FYI- despite the thread title, you'll find lots of useful discussion there regarding weather events for the central/southern Great Plains in general.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Tue Apr 12, 2022 5:10 pm
by PDinKS
Edwards Limestone wrote:
PDinKS wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:Most of the discussion for today's event has been in the Texas thread but since the main show will likely be in other regions I'll go ahead and put it here. Moderate risk is up today for IA, with a tornado outbreak likely. https://i.imgur.com/Ws7DDOi.gif
For tomorrow, a massive 10 hatched tornado area is up, one of the biggest I've ever seen. My guess is that parts of it will be upgraded to moderate at some point. Very dangerous day ahead. https://i.imgur.com/ZFqoAlx.gif
Thanks. Not all of us are in Texas. I am not as weather savvy as the rest of you, but I do appreciate info that may help me make decisions for my family and friends that follow me for weather.
Just FYI- despite the thread title, you'll find lots of useful discussion there regarding weather events for the central/southern Great Plains in general.
Yes! I have found this forum, and several topics, extremely helpful over the 11 years that I have been following it. It is indispensible living here in SE Kansas IMO
Lots of linear mode out there, not as big a day so far as a lot of us thought given what was possible 5-7 days out. I think storm mode is still one factor we just don't have a great grasp on forecasting.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Wed Apr 13, 2022 8:38 pm
by ElectricStorm
From a tornado perspective, this was by far the least impressive moderate risk of the year so far. From a wind perspective however, the 45 hatched moderate 100% verified. Already over 100 wind reports. Some of those were probably QLCS spin ups so we should see more tornado reports than the 2 we have right now.
Re: 2022 Severe Weather
Posted: Fri Apr 15, 2022 7:41 pm
by Iceresistance
Tornado Emergency for Northern Arkansas! I did not see that coming at all!
...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR HARDY, HIGHLAND AND WILLIFORD...
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR WESTERN RANDOLPH...NORTHEASTERN IZARD...EASTERN FULTON...NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE AND CENTRAL SHARP COUNTIES...
At 734 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located near Hardy, or 9 miles east of Cherokee Village, moving east at 50 mph.
TORNADO EMERGENCY for HARDY, HIGHLAND AND WILLIFORD. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
HAZARD...Deadly tornado.
SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible.
To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
A large and extremely dangerous tornado is on the ground. Take immediate tornado precautions. This is an emergency situation.
