Texas Spring 2022

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2041 Postby Iceresistance » Sat May 28, 2022 2:49 pm

Slight Risk in Panhandle Texas and SW Oklahoma for tonight, it's likely yet another conditional setup. And the WPC is trending wetter for Oklahoma for next week again . . .
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2042 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 28, 2022 4:30 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2043 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 28, 2022 8:57 pm

That cell out near Aspermont, TX is full beast mode.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2044 Postby dpep4 » Sun May 29, 2022 9:47 am

Anyone in Plano lose any shingles?

Addison Airport: 77 degrees, winds S 1751 mph, last update 8:47 am

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KADS.html
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2045 Postby Haris » Sun May 29, 2022 2:51 pm

captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).


Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2046 Postby Ntxw » Sun May 29, 2022 4:28 pm

+27 SOI still no negative.

Some rain close and North of the Red River. Seasonably hot and relatively dry everyone else. Small chance north of I-20 a day or two of maybe showers. Couple weeks left of MCS season.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2047 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun May 29, 2022 4:46 pm

Haris wrote:
captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).


Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.


Yeah it sure is ugly over there so far this year. In SA the airport has recorded less than 5 inches so far. That's close to an 8 inch deficit already. Brutal. And with little to no rain likely over the next few weeks during a typically wet time of year, it's gonna get worse before it gets any better. Ugh
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2048 Postby Iceresistance » Sun May 29, 2022 8:37 pm

I'm now expecting 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain next week per WPC, with a Experimental Slight Risk on D4 for my area as well. Fun . . .
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2049 Postby Ntxw » Sun May 29, 2022 8:59 pm

Iceresistance wrote:I'm now expecting 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain next week per WPC, with a Experimental Slight Risk on D4 for my area as well. Fun . . .


It is a tale of two very different states. South of I-20 90s to near 100 for central and South Texas not much rain at all. While rainy and 70s in Oklahoma.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2050 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 30, 2022 8:16 am

On this last day of Spring, the 00z Euro brings good tidings for the start of Summer

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2051 Postby Ntxw » Mon May 30, 2022 12:46 pm

Spring thus far was mixed but skewed on the dry side for most in terms of rainfall. Areas of improvement included the Red River counties of North Texas and a row adjacent below, northern parts of SE/E/NE Texas, deep south Texas, and western/northern regions of the panhandle. 1-3" surpluses there. For the rest it was below normal 1-4" or 4-8" deficits. Most in the Hill Country and middle Texas coast.

For everyone it was a warmer than normal Spring.

Maps are always interesting, the +/- qpf budget maps show how with a more southeastern climate regions (forests and coastal plains) receive so much more rainfall not only by average but during periods of droughts as well compared to the prairies and grasslands. Basically the closer you move to the forests the better off you are.

Image

Early June is generally a wet period, hopeful it can make up for some of the dry areas.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2052 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 30, 2022 4:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:Spring thus far was mixed but skewed on the dry side for most in terms of rainfall. Areas of improvement included the Red River counties of North Texas and a row adjacent below, northern parts of SE/E/NE Texas, deep south Texas, and western/northern regions of the panhandle. 1-3" surpluses there. For the rest it was below normal 1-4" or 4-8" deficits. Most in the Hill Country and middle Texas coast.

For everyone it was a warmer than normal Spring.

Maps are always interesting, the +/- qpf budget maps show how with a more southeastern climate regions (forests and coastal plains) receive so much more rainfall not only by average but during periods of droughts as well compared to the prairies and grasslands. Basically the closer you move to the forests the better off you are.

https://i.imgur.com/lwm3X1L.png

Early June is generally a wet period, hopeful it can make up for some of the dry areas.


I hope early June is not very hot because I'm going to be in Grapevine, Texas on the first weekend of June.

But before that, I`m under a slight risk of heavy rain for two days in a row from the WPC.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2053 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 30, 2022 6:14 pm

More than doubled up last years Spring thread which only had 46 pages and this Spring was pretty boring!
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2054 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Tue May 31, 2022 12:34 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Haris wrote:
captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).


Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.


Yeah it sure is ugly over there so far this year. In SA the airport has recorded less than 5 inches so far. That's close to an 8 inch deficit already. Brutal. And with little to no rain likely over the next few weeks during a typically wet time of year, it's gonna get worse before it gets any better. Ugh


One thing different from 2011 is that rainfall for May that year was really low across the state. My area picked up less than one inch for the month, but this year, we picked up 3 inches plus for the month. Drought may be really bad in certain areas of the state, but the drought coverage is much less. I suspect the pattern may change later in June or even July for coastal regions particularly. I am thinking that the summer pattern might be closer to 2006 looking at how that drought slowly receded. Coastal regions did not start to experience true relief until well into June that year.
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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2055 Postby bubba hotep » Tue May 31, 2022 2:32 pm

Last one of the Spring for Texas

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Re: Texas Spring 2022

#2056 Postby ColdFusion » Wed Jun 01, 2022 3:01 pm

Nice downpour here in Carrollton. We got every bit of todays 20% chance of rain.
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