Texas Spring 2022
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Slight Risk in Panhandle Texas and SW Oklahoma for tonight, it's likely yet another conditional setup. And the WPC is trending wetter for Oklahoma for next week again . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5476
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5476
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2022
That cell out near Aspermont, TX is full beast mode.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Anyone in Plano lose any shingles?
Addison Airport: 77 degrees, winds S 1751 mph, last update 8:47 am
https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KADS.html
Addison Airport: 77 degrees, winds S 1751 mph, last update 8:47 am
https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KADS.html
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- Haris
- Category 5
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- Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
- Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2022
captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).
Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!
Re: Texas Spring 2022
+27 SOI still no negative.
Some rain close and North of the Red River. Seasonably hot and relatively dry everyone else. Small chance north of I-20 a day or two of maybe showers. Couple weeks left of MCS season.
Some rain close and North of the Red River. Seasonably hot and relatively dry everyone else. Small chance north of I-20 a day or two of maybe showers. Couple weeks left of MCS season.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- South Texas Storms
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4009
- Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Haris wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).
Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.
Yeah it sure is ugly over there so far this year. In SA the airport has recorded less than 5 inches so far. That's close to an 8 inch deficit already. Brutal. And with little to no rain likely over the next few weeks during a typically wet time of year, it's gonna get worse before it gets any better. Ugh
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8915
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
I'm now expecting 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain next week per WPC, with a Experimental Slight Risk on D4 for my area as well. Fun . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Iceresistance wrote:I'm now expecting 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain next week per WPC, with a Experimental Slight Risk on D4 for my area as well. Fun . . .
It is a tale of two very different states. South of I-20 90s to near 100 for central and South Texas not much rain at all. While rainy and 70s in Oklahoma.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2022
On this last day of Spring, the 00z Euro brings good tidings for the start of Summer
![Image](https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2022053000/240/qpf_acc.us_sc.png)
![Image](https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2022053000/240/qpf_acc.us_sc.png)
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Spring thus far was mixed but skewed on the dry side for most in terms of rainfall. Areas of improvement included the Red River counties of North Texas and a row adjacent below, northern parts of SE/E/NE Texas, deep south Texas, and western/northern regions of the panhandle. 1-3" surpluses there. For the rest it was below normal 1-4" or 4-8" deficits. Most in the Hill Country and middle Texas coast.
For everyone it was a warmer than normal Spring.
Maps are always interesting, the +/- qpf budget maps show how with a more southeastern climate regions (forests and coastal plains) receive so much more rainfall not only by average but during periods of droughts as well compared to the prairies and grasslands. Basically the closer you move to the forests the better off you are.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/lwm3X1L.png)
Early June is generally a wet period, hopeful it can make up for some of the dry areas.
For everyone it was a warmer than normal Spring.
Maps are always interesting, the +/- qpf budget maps show how with a more southeastern climate regions (forests and coastal plains) receive so much more rainfall not only by average but during periods of droughts as well compared to the prairies and grasslands. Basically the closer you move to the forests the better off you are.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/lwm3X1L.png)
Early June is generally a wet period, hopeful it can make up for some of the dry areas.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8915
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Ntxw wrote:Spring thus far was mixed but skewed on the dry side for most in terms of rainfall. Areas of improvement included the Red River counties of North Texas and a row adjacent below, northern parts of SE/E/NE Texas, deep south Texas, and western/northern regions of the panhandle. 1-3" surpluses there. For the rest it was below normal 1-4" or 4-8" deficits. Most in the Hill Country and middle Texas coast.
For everyone it was a warmer than normal Spring.
Maps are always interesting, the +/- qpf budget maps show how with a more southeastern climate regions (forests and coastal plains) receive so much more rainfall not only by average but during periods of droughts as well compared to the prairies and grasslands. Basically the closer you move to the forests the better off you are.
https://i.imgur.com/lwm3X1L.png
Early June is generally a wet period, hopeful it can make up for some of the dry areas.
I hope early June is not very hot because I'm going to be in Grapevine, Texas on the first weekend of June.
But before that, I`m under a slight risk of heavy rain for two days in a row from the WPC.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
![cold :cold:](./images/smilies/cold.gif)
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5476
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2022
More than doubled up last years Spring thread which only had 46 pages and this Spring was pretty boring!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- captainbarbossa19
- Category 5
- Posts: 1039
- Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2019 11:09 pm
- Location: Starkville, MS
Re: Texas Spring 2022
South Texas Storms wrote:Haris wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).
Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.
Yeah it sure is ugly over there so far this year. In SA the airport has recorded less than 5 inches so far. That's close to an 8 inch deficit already. Brutal. And with little to no rain likely over the next few weeks during a typically wet time of year, it's gonna get worse before it gets any better. Ugh
One thing different from 2011 is that rainfall for May that year was really low across the state. My area picked up less than one inch for the month, but this year, we picked up 3 inches plus for the month. Drought may be really bad in certain areas of the state, but the drought coverage is much less. I suspect the pattern may change later in June or even July for coastal regions particularly. I am thinking that the summer pattern might be closer to 2006 looking at how that drought slowly receded. Coastal regions did not start to experience true relief until well into June that year.
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- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Last one of the Spring for Texas
![Image](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FUHDK_PUEAEarrK?format=jpg&name=small)
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- ColdFusion
- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Addison, TX
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Nice downpour here in Carrollton. We got every bit of todays 20% chance of rain.
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