rwfromkansas wrote:Once again McKinney jackpots. Wow.
My fam in Fairview got like 2.5” or so. Collin county is a thunderstorm jackpot
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rwfromkansas wrote:Once again McKinney jackpots. Wow.
Ntxw wrote:Cpc highlighting chance of excessive heat last days of the month. Weekend cold blast will last a few days, but then it is 1 step forward, 2 steps back. +SOI again tells us more heat on the horizon.
https://i.imgur.com/rI4r5he.png
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Cpc highlighting chance of excessive heat last days of the month. Weekend cold blast will last a few days, but then it is 1 step forward, 2 steps back. +SOI again tells us more heat on the horizon.
https://i.imgur.com/rI4r5he.png
In my area, the models have been performing very poorly with afternoon highs. I think the hottest it has been is 93, but models last week were indicating temps closer to 100. 93 is above-normal temperature-wise this time of year, but we have not had any excessive heat warnings yet this month. Also, I really don't know what the CPC is seeing because I don't see any crazy ridging developing on models and they are actually showing cooler temperatures compared to this week's. The strongest ridging looks to develop over the Desert Southwest next week.
weatherdude1108 wrote:Back to Texas again.lol
Probably not within range of the NHC forecasts yet to get their attention. Sea temps warm, but lots of shear. Would be the earliest Texas landfalling hurricane since records began. I think I heard June 1967 was the earliest Texas landfall(?). Not sure.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022051212/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_64.png
ElectricStorm wrote:I wonder how far south this line in KS can make it. The marginal risk is just north of me but we should get the remnants of this line. Hopefully we can get some good rain, since Friday's event will probably be east of me.
cstrunk wrote:Some pretty good rain totals on WPC's 3-7 day QPF maps for much of Texas. Hope everyone gets to cash in.
rwfromkansas wrote:Euro starting to trend toward GFS with heavier rains, so hopefully that's right. Starting to be a bit more optimistic about next week so far. Cautiously.
Cpv17 wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:Euro starting to trend toward GFS with heavier rains, so hopefully that's right. Starting to be a bit more optimistic about next week so far. Cautiously.
This is the right approach. Stay cautiously optimistic folks.
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