STORM2K

captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).

Haris wrote:

captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).

Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.

Iceresistance wrote:I'm now expecting 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rain next week per WPC, with a Experimental Slight Risk on D4 for my area as well. Fun . . .

Ntxw wrote:Spring thus far was mixed but skewed on the dry side for most in terms of rainfall. Areas of improvement included the Red River counties of North Texas and a row adjacent below, northern parts of SE/E/NE Texas, deep south Texas, and western/northern regions of the panhandle. 1-3" surpluses there. For the rest it was below normal 1-4" or 4-8" deficits. Most in the Hill Country and middle Texas coast.

For everyone it was a warmer than normal Spring.

Maps are always interesting, the +/- qpf budget maps show how with a more southeastern climate regions (forests and coastal plains) receive so much more rainfall not only by average but during periods of droughts as well compared to the prairies and grasslands. Basically the closer you move to the forests the better off you are.

https://i.imgur.com/lwm3X1L.png

Early June is generally a wet period, hopeful it can make up for some of the dry areas.

South Texas Storms wrote:

Haris wrote:

captainbarbossa19 wrote:This summer does not scream 2010 or 2011. Those years featured much less rain heading into summer. As of right now, I am thinking it is more likely summer will be similar to 1999, 2003, or 2005. Not exactly the best summer pattern, but not the worst either (although 2003 would be better).

Depends where you are. For the hill co and central texas areas, it is even drier than 2011.

Yeah it sure is ugly over there so far this year. In SA the airport has recorded less than 5 inches so far. That's close to an 8 inch deficit already. Brutal. And with little to no rain likely over the next few weeks during a typically wet time of year, it's gonna get worse before it gets any better. Ugh