STORM2K

Here’s the official Texas Spring 2022 thread. Hopefully, our discussions will include some rain for Texas.

If there is another winter storm threat in March—and we’ve had several good North Texas snow events in March during the 21st Century—then such winter weather can be discussed back in the Texas Winter 2021-2022 thread.

Had another quick freeze this morning at my place. Briefly dipped below 32 around 6AM.

Happy March!

It's March alright, and a chilly start at that.

Texas Snowman wrote:Here’s the official Texas Spring 2022 thread. Hopefully, our discussions will include some rain for Texas.

If there is another winter storm threat in March—and we’ve had several good North Texas snow events in March during the 21st Century—then such winter weather can be discussed back in the Texas Winter 2021-2022 thread.

It's March baby, what happens in March stays in March

Ah spring. The beginning of sweltering months of hell.

76 and hardly any wind here. Don't see days like this much

If only it could be like this in July

Snow in DFW 18z GFS

Brent wrote:76 and hardly any wind here. Don't see days like this much

If only it could be like this in July

Same here, had a slight heat index, I estimated the heat index to be up to 80

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Ah spring. The beginning of sweltering months of hell.

Yes! I can't wait! Been trying to warm up for weeks. 80s coming starting Friday. The name March just feels warmer than February. I can feel the heat coming.

I posted some of this data on the Wx infinity Forum this morning. Here are some of the climate model runs for March-May:



MARCH:

The CFS Monthly has trended drier and drier for the month of March for Texas with each consecutive run...




The latest March run of the CanSIPS supports the CFS Monthly with drier anomalies for Texas for the month of March...





APRIL:

The latest CFS Monthly runs continue the dry trend for the month of April for most of the state of Texas...




Unfortunately, the latest CaNIPS run has trended drier for the month of April for most of the state of Texas as well, especially the NE portions...






MAY:

Unfortunately, the latest CFS Monthly runs continue the dry trend for the month of May for most of the state of Texas...




The latest CaNIPS run continues to show wetter anomalies for the Southern half of Texas during the month of May, but has trended slightly drier for the northern portions of the state, as compared to its previous runs:

The GFS says not so fast on winter being over at the very least it looks a lot colder than this week

Also seen some posts about it up here

Lol the 0z has a foot in OKC on kuchera

@NbergWX — Long range GFS and ECMWF ensemble projections are in really good agreement.

End of next week -- some kind of cold shot of air could dip into the Heartland... with a potential storm in between that eastern US warmth and Great Plains chill.

Yes, it can still be *cold* in March.

I'm expecting Highs in the Upper 70s, some days could reach 80°F later this week

it should be noted we still average nearly 2 inches of snow in March up here so who knows. The GFS is showing other chances through mid March

There may be a brief period of a
light wintry mix across portions of northeast Oklahoma late
Sunday night into Monday morning as colder air filters into
the region.

wxman57 wrote:

Yukon Cornelius wrote:Ah spring. The beginning of sweltering months of hell.

Yes! I can't wait! Been trying to warm up for weeks. 80s coming starting Friday. The name March just feels warmer than February. I can feel the heat coming.

However, the 50s for highs and 30s for lows next week will be nice and enjoyable.

Unfortunately I think this is going to be a Brown Summer, meaning that most vegetation will be brown excluding human and mechanical intervention.

Hot dry summers (less humidity) as you know are the summers of heat, 100 degree days and mid 80s to low 90s for lows. They also tend to bring about those 100+ degree stretches that just suck

very cold Spring Break here

Brent wrote::spam: very cold Spring Break here

https://i.ibb.co/3dfJtzt/gfs-T2ma-us-50-1.png

I prefer this anomaly map for this Friday and the weekend. Taking Friday afternoon off to bike. Long rides over the weekend.

If you believe long range ENs and statistical forecasts then a below normal March is in store. Would tag well with the below normal Jan/Feb couplet. March 1965 is one of the coldest March for our region, it's been popping up here and there.

Brent wrote::spam: very cold Spring Break here

https://i.ibb.co/3dfJtzt/gfs-T2ma-us-50-1.png

Oof, even Florida can't escape the cold.