Texas Summer 2022
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
We getting a tropical system this weekend? Where's Wxman57?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
SoupBone wrote:We getting a tropical system this weekend? Where's Wxman57?
Probably going towards Corpus Christi. Most of the rain should stay south of Houston.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
I've noticed that part of Western Mexico is being clobbered with the Monsoon Rainfall with more coming per WPC, could this factor what's going to happen in Texas in the near future?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Next 5 Days, All of Southern Texas at the Rio Grande may be impacted by this system.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Next 5 Days, All of Southern Texas at the Rio Grande may be impacted by this system.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
I'll take 2 inches of rain, bring it on.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
SoupBone wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Next 5 Days, All of Southern Texas at the Rio Grande may be impacted by this system.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
I'll take 2 inches of rain, bring it on.
That shows about half an inch for your area.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Cpv17 wrote:SoupBone wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Next 5 Days, All of Southern Texas at the Rio Grande may be impacted by this system.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
I'll take 2 inches of rain, bring it on.
That shows about half an inch for your area.
Corpus Christi has 2 inches of rain on the model, Pinkish color = 2 inches.
Blue from Green = .5 inch.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Next 5 Days, All of Southern Texas at the Rio Grande may be impacted by this system.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
I believe in the temperature and trough relief but still kind of feeling some hesitancy with any qpf forecast. It's almost mid August and if the models were right with qpf early month we'd be sitting at 2-3" already but so far 0.41". It's better off taking the low end, even this past week it was nice having any rain and clouds but the totals overall for the state is somewhat lackluster. That's just the background state and drought making a mark.
Better (relative) rains will likely come when the PVa/gradient shifts south with the seasons.
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- jasons2k
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
The donut hole over Texas just keeps getting bigger with each QPF update…
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
jasons2k wrote:The donut hole over Texas just keeps getting bigger with each QPF update…
It appears that the models are underestimating the Texas Cockroach Death Ridge.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Will that tropical system screw Texas out of rain that was supposed to happen later?
I mean, today's GFS and yesterday's Euro had virtually no rain.
Not sure what the CPC is smoking.
I mean, today's GFS and yesterday's Euro had virtually no rain.
Not sure what the CPC is smoking.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
rwfromkansas wrote:Will that tropical system screw Texas out of rain that was supposed to happen later?
I mean, today's GFS and yesterday's Euro had virtually no rain.
Not sure what the CPC is smoking.
Just wait a couple of weeks . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Cpv17 wrote:SoupBone wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Next 5 Days, All of Southern Texas at the Rio Grande may be impacted by this system.
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/gfs_apcpn_scus_20.png
(I do want to mention that the 6z GFS has a HUGE amount of rainfall for Oklahoma and Texas by 15 days, but it's too far out for me to show Y'all)
I'll take 2 inches of rain, bring it on.
That shows about half an inch for your area.
You know men always exaggerate inches!
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Last edited by aggiecutter on Fri Aug 12, 2022 2:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
EnnisTx wrote:Cpv17 wrote:SoupBone wrote:
I'll take 2 inches of rain, bring it on.
That shows about half an inch for your area.
You know men always exaggerate inches!
Oh geez
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Hopefully, 98L brings good rains to part of the state that needs it so much.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
0zHRRR thru Saturday afternoon...has a decent representation on Satellite.
18zECMWF starting to show some heavy rainfall totals widespread 5+ inches thru midday Monday
18zECMWF starting to show some heavy rainfall totals widespread 5+ inches thru midday Monday
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Wow, a rogue thunderstorm dropped 0.63" at my house in Longview tonight - very unexpected!! It wasn't very big either, just went straight over my house.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Iceresistance wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:Will that tropical system screw Texas out of rain that was supposed to happen later?
I mean, today's GFS and yesterday's Euro had virtually no rain.
Not sure what the CPC is smoking.
Just wait a couple of weeks . . .
Can't keep kicking that can, eventually these rain forecasts have to be called busts. So man days of high percentage rain forecasts where we get no rain at all.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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