Texas Summer 2022

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6009
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Texas Summer 2022

#1 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu May 26, 2022 8:51 pm

Well, here it is, Wxman57’s favorite thread of the year, the official Texas Summer 2022 thread. We’ll move over here next week on June 1st.

Hopefully, our discussions will include some summer rainfall for Texas, very little tropical trouble, not many 100 degree days, and an early taste of fall.

Have a good Memorial Day weekend everyone. And many thanks to those who paid the ultimate price for our nation’s freedom.
:flag: :flag: :flag:
5 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5413
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#2 Postby bubba hotep » Mon May 30, 2022 11:18 am

12z GFS would be big for the Panhandle and West Texas. However, the Central Texas drought hole would live on...

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8887
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#3 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 30, 2022 7:01 pm

bubba hotep wrote:12z GFS would be big for the Panhandle and West Texas. However, the Central Texas drought hole would live on...

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2022053012/147/qpf_acc.us_sc.png


That area has a higher risk and tendency to go into a drought, something like this would really break it.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5413
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#4 Postby bubba hotep » Tue May 31, 2022 6:51 am

WPC for the start of Summer

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

cstrunk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 481
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#5 Postby cstrunk » Tue May 31, 2022 7:51 am

It's not looking any better for the southern 2/3 of Texas.
0 likes   

User avatar
captainbarbossa19
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1037
Joined: Wed Aug 21, 2019 11:09 pm
Location: Starkville, MS

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#6 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Tue May 31, 2022 12:46 pm



I would yawn but if I do that, it will no doubt flood later this summer. I know how the weather works in my region. Haha!
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21465
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#7 Postby Ntxw » Tue May 31, 2022 2:56 pm

Nothing extraordinary on either end. Not a terribly hot forecast and not terribly wet and cool either. Some decent days if you hit a good trough, if not it is above normal from feedback. I'll run a reanalysis of heights this spring after work.

Suspect that will be the theme of summer, elevated pressures inbetween trof/ridge.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
Edwards Limestone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 333
Age: 34
Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
Location: Smithson Valley, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#8 Postby Edwards Limestone » Tue May 31, 2022 5:19 pm

0 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5413
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#9 Postby bubba hotep » Tue May 31, 2022 5:43 pm

2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

cstrunk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 481
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#10 Postby cstrunk » Tue May 31, 2022 6:22 pm

bubba hotep wrote:


That Central Texas drought hole needs to take a hit. June is typically a good month for that area. Can it deliver?


That's an interesting map. I would not have expected to see June listed as the wettest month for my area in NE TX. Usually there has been some heavy rain in early June but it really begins to shut off in that month from my recollection.
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5523
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#11 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue May 31, 2022 6:57 pm

It’ll be nice if the 18z gfs verifies. NW flow keeps periodic rain chances in the mix for portions of Texas through the next week or so, followed by a weak tropical system landfalling in stx pushing moisture up into the state. I can dream, can’t I?
4 likes   

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5674
Age: 58
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#12 Postby Tireman4 » Tue May 31, 2022 7:11 pm

I say this every Summer..#neversummer
3 likes   

Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4295
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#13 Postby Cpv17 » Tue May 31, 2022 7:29 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:It’ll be nice if the 18z gfs verifies. NW flow keeps periodic rain chances in the mix for portions of Texas through the next week or so, followed by a weak tropical system landfalling in stx pushing moisture up into the state. I can dream, can’t I?


I second this lol
3 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5413
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#14 Postby bubba hotep » Tue May 31, 2022 8:47 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:It’ll be nice if the 18z gfs verifies. NW flow keeps periodic rain chances in the mix for portions of Texas through the next week or so, followed by a weak tropical system landfalling in stx pushing moisture up into the state. I can dream, can’t I?


Image
4 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3505
Age: 27
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#15 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Jun 01, 2022 7:45 am

Ended up with 3.9" of rain yesterday. That put us at 12.97" for May, which was the 2nd wettest. Interestingly enough the wettest was May 2008 at 13.1", another La Nina year.
1 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

cstrunk
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 481
Joined: Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:38 am
Location: Longview, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#16 Postby cstrunk » Wed Jun 01, 2022 7:56 am

Still not great, but the GFS has consistently shown at least a bit more rain over the next couple of weeks for most of Texas except the southern 1/3 or so. Just gotta take what we can get at this point! I do at least have some chances for rain in the forecast, especially tonight and tomorrow. Maybe I'll get lucky.
1 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2129
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#17 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:16 am

Heading to Seattle and then a cruise to Alaska. Going to be almost cold with 60s. lol. Excited.
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5413
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#18 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:36 am

Let's go.

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8887
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#19 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:38 am

Got a line of storms coming closer, I got .3 inches from last night.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21465
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2022

#20 Postby Ntxw » Wed Jun 01, 2022 11:49 am

Finally.

Image
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K



Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 12 guests