Texas Summer 2022
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
Yukon Cornelius
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1737
- Age: 40
- Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
- Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO
Re: Texas Summer 2022
After raising our potential totals this morning, the NWS has been dropping them slowly throughout the day. Hopefully this isn’t a trend.
0 likes
#neversummer
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37086
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Yukon Cornelius wrote:After raising our potential totals this morning, the NWS has been dropping them slowly throughout the day. Hopefully this isn’t a trend.
Yeah something to watch... My rain totals up here have been going the wrong way for a couple days now. We're not in as bad of shape as y'all down there but still
0 likes
#neversummer
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Brent wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:After raising our potential totals this morning, the NWS has been dropping them slowly throughout the day. Hopefully this isn’t a trend.
Yeah something to watch... My rain totals up here have been going the wrong way for a couple days now. We're not in as bad of shape as y'all down there but still
At least the heaviest of the rain is expected to be near the core of this drought in Texas.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Yukon Cornelius
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1737
- Age: 40
- Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
- Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Brent wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:After raising our potential totals this morning, the NWS has been dropping them slowly throughout the day. Hopefully this isn’t a trend.
Yeah something to watch... My rain totals up here have been going the wrong way for a couple days now. We're not in as bad of shape as y'all down there but still
It’s terrible around here. Every single pop up storm has missed us. The grass is all totally gone and reduced down to just dirt and thatch and the only moisture we’ve gotten lately was from the fog this morning. That week of 112-115 everyday was the nail in the coffin. It’s been brutal.
2 likes
#neversummer
-
bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5453
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Crazy that is an ensemble mean!
6 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
-
Clearcloudz
- Category 2
- Posts: 523
- Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2018 1:46 pm
- Location: Rosenberg TX
Re: Texas Summer 2022
18Z NAM going out 84 hours showing some places in north Texas could be at a foot a rain by Tuesday morning.
Last edited by Clearcloudz on Fri Aug 19, 2022 6:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Summer 2022
bubba hotep wrote:Crazy that is an ensemble mean!
https://m3o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/epsens/2022081912/360/qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_sc.png
Actually wetter compared to the WPC's QPF forecast for a good portion of Oklahoma (Including Pott. County)
Last edited by Iceresistance on Fri Aug 19, 2022 6:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
weatherdude1108
- Category 5
- Posts: 4172
- Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Got 1.5" today! 
5 likes
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
bubba hotep wrote:Crazy that is an ensemble mean!
https://m3o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/epsens/2022081912/360/qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_sc.png
The core of all this rain shifts from run to run but at least a core still exists. Parts of Texas will be drenched.....somewhere. It's good news for most Texans.
4 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2022
I would mostly agree but I unexpectedly got around 4.5" today and it flooded my bedroom. It came down hard and fast. So someone is going to get more than they bargained for.
3 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Clearcloudz
- Category 2
- Posts: 523
- Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2018 1:46 pm
- Location: Rosenberg TX
Re: Texas Summer 2022
bubba hotep wrote:Crazy that is an ensemble mean!
https://m3o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/epsens/2022081912/360/qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_sc.png
The entire state of Louisiana is the real winner lol.
0 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2022
I'll be happy with 2-4". SOI still negative.
Long range still looks pretty good for Texas, safe bet scorching summer heat is over for the year.
Long range still looks pretty good for Texas, safe bet scorching summer heat is over for the year.
6 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Help support Storm2K!
-
bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5453
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Ntxw wrote:I'll be happy with 2-4". SOI still negative.
Long range still looks pretty good for Texas, safe bet scorching summer heat is over for the year.
The number of 100 degree days will stand out from this summer. The rainless streak at DFW is in the history books but it is really an anomaly compared to the surrounding stations. The coming rain will knock this summer out of the Top 10 or maybe even Top 20 driest summers and should bump down the temp avgs. Crazy summer but could have been worse.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
SoupBone wrote:I would mostly agree but I unexpectedly got around 4.5" today and it flooded my bedroom. It came down hard and fast. So someone is going to get more than they bargained for.
Where I live 4.5” would barely put a few puddles in my yard and ditch. Too much concrete in Houston.
0 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Clearcloudz wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Crazy that is an ensemble mean!
https://m3o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/epsens/2022081912/360/qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_sc.png
The entire state of Louisiana is the real winner lol.
Yeah, no doubt lol that needs to expand southwest by quite a bit
2 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2022
bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:I'll be happy with 2-4". SOI still negative.
Long range still looks pretty good for Texas, safe bet scorching summer heat is over for the year.
The number of 100 degree days will stand out from this summer. The rainless streak at DFW is in the history books but it is really an anomaly compared to the surrounding stations. The coming rain will knock this summer out of the Top 10 or maybe even Top 20 driest summers and should bump down the temp avgs. Crazy summer but could have been worse.
Yeah it will be in the books for the blazing start in May and stand out for MJJ. But halt mid-August. Next year should be a Nino and hopefully modoki. In truth getting the magical moderate Nino nested within broad -PDO is golden winters. We just have not had a true one since 2009-2010.
6 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Help support Storm2K!
Help support Storm2K!
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Cpv17 wrote:SoupBone wrote:I would mostly agree but I unexpectedly got around 4.5" today and it flooded my bedroom. It came down hard and fast. So someone is going to get more than they bargained for.
Where I live 4.5” would barely put a few puddles in my yard and ditch. Too much concrete in Houston.
Well for me it was the pool I had built last year. The equipment sits next to the wall and it's all concrete there. Usually I don't have any issues but it was coming down really fast and hard. The rain basically flowed straight into the weep holes into the bedroom like a damn river. It was nuts. I'm going to have to figure out a fix, not sure what to do.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
jasons2k
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 8071
- Age: 50
- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
- Location: The Woodlands, TX
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Cpv17 wrote:Clearcloudz wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Crazy that is an ensemble mean!
https://m3o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/epsens/2022081912/360/qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_sc.png
The entire state of Louisiana is the real winner lol.
Yeah, no doubt lol that needs to expand southwest by quite a bit
Yes, please. I keep missing most of the rain.
2 likes
Re: Texas Summer 2022
jasons2k wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Clearcloudz wrote:
The entire state of Louisiana is the real winner lol.
Yeah, no doubt lol that needs to expand southwest by quite a bit
Yes, please. I keep missing most of the rain.
Which is crazy. You're maybe 10 miles from me and I got dumped on. It was one cell that just sat on top of me.
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
I got 2.8” here and you can barely even tell it rained. There’s not any standing water anywhere.
4 likes
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: South Texas Storms and 33 guests