STORM2K

bubba hotep wrote:

weatherdude1108 wrote:Started raining at work around 1pm. Started moderate, then went to light. Still raining. Looks like my house got more. I"ll check later. Hill Country getting the jackpot today! Nice little soaker.

Yea, this event didn't generate much chatter on here but a large portion of the state has received 1-2"+ of rain in the last 24hrs. This is no way to run an August in Texas!

Law of averages?
It's trying to make up for the seemingly never-ending brutal/deadly-to-all-life forms June (well really started in May) and July weather we had down here.

Unfortunately another outflow boundary robbed SA from getting any rain today. This has happened way too often this year in the city...and that's why the SAT airport is still on track for one of if not the driest year on record.

Kinda wild watching the DFW to San Antonio line of storms run in reverse (east to west)

The last few GFS runs have been pretty consistent in widespread heavy rain across north Texas sometime around next weekend.

South Texas Storms wrote:Unfortunately another outflow boundary robbed SA from getting any rain today. This has happened way too often this year in the city...and that's why the SAT airport is still on track for one of if not the driest year on record.

It's pretty bizarre at this point.

Daily SOI is now above +30 again . . .

Wet Pattern looks to continue into next week with the main focus being west Texas and southern half of the state at the moment. EURO and CANADIAN are the most aggressive with the rainfall totals while the GFS is the outlier.

I don't mind the focus being more south as long as I get some decent rains still. They need it. As we get closer toward fall the rain will shift north as more fronts come in as well.

Iceresistance wrote:Daily SOI is now above +30 again . . .

Well that’s not good news.

Cpv17 wrote:

Iceresistance wrote:Daily SOI is now above +30 again . . .

Well that’s not good news.

Not good news?

starsfan65 wrote:

Cpv17 wrote:

Iceresistance wrote:Daily SOI is now above +30 again . . .

Well that’s not good news.

Not good news?

More Nina weather, hot and dry

Iceresistance wrote:

starsfan65 wrote:

Cpv17 wrote:
Well that’s not good news.

Not good news?

More Nina weather, hot and dry

Yeah let’s hope that can go back down. Big time do not want!

What are the tropical/winter/spring implications of SOI going so positive now? Is that an early sign of strengthening La Nina into winter (and possibly into spring 2023?)

Edwards Limestone wrote:What are the tropical/winter/spring implications of SOI going so positive now? Is that an early sign of strengthening La Nina into winter (and possibly into spring 2023?)

It appears so, BenNollWeather said that the La Nina likely to strengthen again this coming winter, that tweet is mentioned in ENSO updates.

My forecast went from sunny and 90s yesterday to at least a small chance of rain each day. I'll take that trend

The main concern in the extended portion of the forecast is the
late weekend into early next week time frame, with current data
supporting a wetter and cooler pattern than 24 hours ago.

Edwards Limestone wrote:

South Texas Storms wrote:Unfortunately another outflow boundary robbed SA from getting any rain today. This has happened way too often this year in the city...and that's why the SAT airport is still on track for one of if not the driest year on record.

It's pretty bizarre at this point.

https://www.weather.gov/images/ewx/products/rainfall/rainfall3day.png

That is so weird about the consistent outflow boundaries that kill these storms on the way to SA!(??). My brother in SA consistently says the rain dies before it gets to him. It's like SA is in the wrong place at the wrong time. I don't get it.

Nice.

Better to have above normal rain in September (2nd wettest time of year climatologically here) than above normal rain in August (climatalogically driest).

That is kinda unexpected for a La Nina year.


https://s4.gifyu.com/images/precip_probhazards_d8_14_contours.png

weatherdude1108 wrote:

Edwards Limestone wrote:

South Texas Storms wrote:Unfortunately another outflow boundary robbed SA from getting any rain today. This has happened way too often this year in the city...and that's why the SAT airport is still on track for one of if not the driest year on record.

It's pretty bizarre at this point.

https://www.weather.gov/images/ewx/products/rainfall/rainfall3day.png

That is so weird about the consistent outflow boundaries that kill these storms on the way to SA!(??). My brother in SA consistently says the rain dies before it gets to him. It's like SA is in the wrong place at the wrong time. I don't get it.

It's very strange indeed. I totally agree w/ wrong place/time. My theory is there's some mid level dry air that is being mixed out and it just happens to be constantly sitting right near the SE Edwards plateau?

Even today's scattered storms seem to be drawing a forcefield halo around us on radar
Weather is a such a strange, fascinating science.

Iceresistance wrote:That is kinda unexpected for a La Nina year.

https://s4.gifyu.com/images/precip_probhazards_d8_14_contours.png
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/precip_probhazards_d8_14_contours.png

The CPC is expecting an EPAC system to impact Texas. But location is far from certain right now.