STORM2K

Ntxw wrote:

Yukon Cornelius wrote:This 0 rain mess is getting out of hand. Here my yard as of this morning. My pastures that support livestock look even worse. Something has got to change and quick.
https://i.ibb.co/yN4DRWK/15-A5-DD09-98-B6-4-A1-E-A373-0-C65-B9-E25-C81.jpg

I feel for you guys. I was driving west for work this past week and it looks really bad. For us in the cities we can always look at it from a it could be worse standpoint but for those living off the land it is already the worst, what many don't understand.

I'm afraid long term there isn't much improvement if you take all into account until this PDO and Nina decouples.

We all try and prepare for years like this but never are able to prepare enough. Paired with one of the worst hay harvests in many many years, it’s getting/is scary.

The Euro seems locked in? (I remember when you could take a 4-6 day forecast from the Euro to the bank lol) It brings a weak TD / vort max into S. Texas in 3/4 days and then drifts it northward. The landfall area could really use the rain but then the track north is basically right along the drought line and would increase the difference between the "haves" and "have nots" even more so.

bubba hotep wrote:The Euro seems locked in? (I remember when you could take a 4-6 day forecast from the Euro to the bank lol) It brings a weak TD / vort max into S. Texas in 3/4 days and then drifts it northward. The landfall area could really use the rain but then the track north is basically right along the drought line and would increase the difference between the "haves" and "have nots" even more so.

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2022062612/168/qpf_acc.us_sc.png

Curious if the WPC will put weight into the EC. GFS and CMC are much less, maybe they will split the difference? Forecast would be remarkably different between the model suites.

84 degrees here and a breeze. I could live with this all summer. Our LOW yesterday was 82...

Scattered rain starting to pop up along a wide Graham-Abilene-Odessa axis. I assume along the incoming front.

Edit: And a nice popup over Corinth.

Beautiful thunder shower here in north Irving. Thunder caught me by surprise as I was listening to some music. The sun was shining the entire time. Weather nerd taking hold, but I love that. Bring on fall..

Getting the rain too just beautiful!

GFS on board with the NW gulf feature getting closer to Euro. Would extend rain chances through end of the week!

Just got back from my beach vacation in Gulf Shores. My lawn is being burnt to a crisp. Will have to get the sprinklers rolling because this popcorn hit-or-miss is full of miss.

Cooler temps but no rain. Sad. Only the mean fire ants that appeared in the yard recently seem to be enjoying Summer 2022.

Models have trended a bit eastward so not too much along I-35. So a few days of near normal temps before July4th week heatwave. Those along the coast and I-45 on east as it stands looking more likely with rain. Could change.

For those not getting rain, today should be coolest day of the week.

I'm seeing the radar light up to my south in the San Marcos to San Antonio areas, with a couple of severe t-storm warning boxes, hail and wind. Might be trying to form up here.

It's 100 degrees at my place. That should provide nice fuel I would think.

So close, yet so far!

Decent outflow collision over Austin. Should see some decent totals in localized areas

Getting a good rain in Weimar. Alot of lighting.

I've sadly recorded 100°F twice a few days ago, but it fell to the 60s this morning! And the high was only 84°F

No storms, they're so dodgy of me!

94F today at DFW normal is 93. Actually felt pleasant. If it was like this everyday of summer no complaints.

Surprise surprise. SA missed out on the rain again today. 10 inch rainfall deficit for the year keeps growing. Brutal.

1.52" officially at Austin Mabry! Will actually get us over 2" for June.

Got 0.27" from a thundershower around 5:30. Raining again as I type! Moderate to heavy sometimes. 73 degrees! I'll check total later.
Love it!

Nice break!!

South Texas Storms wrote:Surprise surprise. SA missed out on the rain again today. 10 inch rainfall deficit for the year keeps growing. Brutal.

Oh man. So sorry. I seriously thought we would get 0" based on how it was going earlier. We've gotten a couple rounds, and it's still raining off and on at 10pm! Up to 0.88"!

Had a second round. Up to 0.88" Still off and on rain at 10pm!