STORM2K

Just saw this story. The NWS is going to get a couple of supercomputers. Should improve forecasting accuracy. Pretty cool!

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/us-su ... major-bump

Wish I convinced my wife on a pool. It’s so awful to not be able to enjoy outside because it’s too hot.

DFW hit 100. 1st in a streak.

There are some popup storms to the north and west.

Dont even look at the lows on the Euro next week in North Texas it's unspeakable. Like on par with 2011

Brent wrote:Dont even look at the lows on the Euro next week in North Texas it's unspeakable. Like on par with 2011

600dm+ across the Rockies, but more importantly a vast area of 597dm+ across the south central US. Hopefully it doesn't come to fruition. I hope the models and ensembles are wrong because that would be one of the stronger ridges in several years for our region.

Outflow boundary drifting SE firing storms in NW DFW. I wonder if it will make it past the airport or into eastern DFW?

Ntxw wrote:

Brent wrote:Dont even look at the lows on the Euro next week in North Texas it's unspeakable. Like on par with 2011

600dm+ across the Rockies, but more importantly a vast area of 597dm+ across the south central US. Hopefully it doesn't come to fruition. I hope the models and ensembles are wrong because that would be one of the stronger ridges in several years for our region.

Oh yeah even up here it's being talked about... Couple TV mets have said a high over 110 is possible but they are hoping it's overdone

Brent wrote:

Ntxw wrote:

Brent wrote:Dont even look at the lows on the Euro next week in North Texas it's unspeakable. Like on par with 2011

600dm+ across the Rockies, but more importantly a vast area of 597dm+ across the south central US. Hopefully it doesn't come to fruition. I hope the models and ensembles are wrong because that would be one of the stronger ridges in several years for our region.

Oh yeah even up here it's being talked about... Couple TV mets have said a high over 110 is possible but they are hoping it's overdone

Some of the models put out some impressively warm 850mb temps ~30C which will bake the surface. Got to watch the trends but potential there for some big time heat. Haven't seen such warm expanse top down since the 2018 July heatwave when DFW hit 109 for a couple of days. Unfortunately the forecast this week will continue to trend .

Forecast to hit 100 every single day this week, going to be absolutely brutal...

ElectricStorm wrote:Forecast to hit 100 every single day this week, going to be absolutely brutal...

Saying could be the longest stretch here in 10 years Summer 2012 had some records set too up here(including the all time warmest low of 88 )

FW going 103-105 basically the whole week and weekend. Lows in the urban areas mid 80s. Euro is crazy hot.

ElectricStorm wrote:Forecast to hit 100 every single day this week, going to be absolutely brutal...

Hey! At least it’s 4th of July!

Don’t forget to add the drought, 80 degree lows, and the wasps that’ll want to tear you to bits and pieces.

Back to napping until Fall… When I wake up it better be blizzarding by the first week of September…

I shot off all of the Fireworks Last Night, we had storms coming but fizzled out before they got here, at least it gave us cloud cover for darker skies of fireworks.

KFOR has relief with storms and highs in the low 90s next week (After this week's highs up to 104°F), I really hope that is true. I have a special trip to make, I haven't seen my great-grandparents since 2019. I already put this week as a no-go to Missouri to due to the dangerously hot temperatures that is expected.

12z Euro is indicating that the strongest ridging will shift from the Central Plains to the Four Corners region starting next weekend. Perhaps there will be some relief then. Concerning temperatures, models have been really pathetic this summer. Mid to long-range guidance has been extremely warm-biased for most models, when the temperature has been verifying for many areas 10-20 degrees cooler than initially forecasted in that range.

captainbarbossa19 wrote:12z Euro is indicating that the strongest ridging will shift from the Central Plains to the Four Corners region starting next weekend. Perhaps there will be some relief then. Concerning temperatures, models have been really pathetic this summer. Mid to long-range guidance has been extremely warm-biased for most models, when the temperature has been verifying for many areas 10-20 degrees cooler than initially forecasted in that range.

Yeah I've noticed after next Sunday Monday temps start to come down towards seasonal levels here

And yeah the record heat is definitely not showing up before then anymore

captainbarbossa19 wrote:12z Euro is indicating that the strongest ridging will shift from the Central Plains to the Four Corners region starting next weekend. Perhaps there will be some relief then. Concerning temperatures, models have been really pathetic this summer. Mid to long-range guidance has been extremely warm-biased for most models, when the temperature has been verifying for many areas 10-20 degrees cooler than initially forecasted in that range.

Yea, models have constantly been way too warm in the D6/7 & beyond range. The 12z Euro EPS shows normal temps and rain chances returning to Texas by mid-month. Tropical forcing might be favorable enough to get us a seasonal 2nd half of summer. (However, back in Feb I was all in on a collapsing Nina and wet summer lol)

Happy 4th of July S2k crew! Hope you all are able to stay cool and hoping for a cool 8-10 weeks before official Fall!

Side note, there's been some sticker shocks with the electric rates for those who are up for renewal and been on an older rate. Many cases it's 70% higher than before. yikes! 12-14c/kWh was averaging now hovering 17-20c/kWh+. We need the heat to abate and help out, week after week of record demand is not assisting.. Some bills may go double what's typically normal.

Ntxw wrote:Happy 4th of July S2k crew! Hope you all are able to stay cool and hoping for a cool 8-10 weeks before official Fall!

Side note, there's been some sticker shocks with the electric rates for those who are up for renewal and been on an older rate. Many cases it's 70% higher than before. yikes! 12-14c/kWh was averaging now hovering 17-20c/kWh+. We need the heat to abate and help out, week after week of record demand is not assisting.. Some bills may go double what's typically normal.

I will say up here my electric bill has been way less than it was in the winter so far. We'll see how this month goes

But yeah we need a pattern change. Grass fires everywhere from fireworks tonight

Brent wrote:

Ntxw wrote:Happy 4th of July S2k crew! Hope you all are able to stay cool and hoping for a cool 8-10 weeks before official Fall!

Side note, there's been some sticker shocks with the electric rates for those who are up for renewal and been on an older rate. Many cases it's 70% higher than before. yikes! 12-14c/kWh was averaging now hovering 17-20c/kWh+. We need the heat to abate and help out, week after week of record demand is not assisting.. Some bills may go double what's typically normal.

I will say up here my electric bill has been way less than it was in the winter so far. We'll see how this month goes

But yeah we need a pattern change. Grass fires everywhere from fireworks tonight

I think you folks in Oklahoma will be pretty good since you are part of the national grid, Texas is not. Texas is in a deep hole because of the fast population growth+demand+reliance on natural gas when prices are skyrocketing for that last commodity with few new sources coming online. The old plans are not bad but once you have to renew the rates now to lock in are astronomically high.

captainbarbossa19 wrote:12z Euro is indicating that the strongest ridging will shift from the Central Plains to the Four Corners region starting next weekend. Perhaps there will be some relief then. Concerning temperatures, models have been really pathetic this summer. Mid to long-range guidance has been extremely warm-biased for most models, when the temperature has been verifying for many areas 10-20 degrees cooler than initially forecasted in that range.

I’ve noticed this as well. Hoping that trend continues.