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Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 6:21 pm
by Ntxw
Another 100F day at DFW. Record stretch of no measurable precip at the airport is now alone at #2 59 days including today.
SOI actually was trending pretty good in July, most of the month spent lower than June. However, August is starting HOT with very +SOI.
The worst of the heat is probably over for the coast. For the interior, general dry weather and continued 100F.
At least meteorological Fall is a month away.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 6:43 pm
by Clearcloudz
18Z GFS rainfall
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 7:19 pm
by Ntxw
Brent wrote:lukem wrote:Brent wrote:
Yeah I'm having the same doubt but we have to remember it's still early. Many seasons have just flipped practically overnight in mid late August. The EPAC being so active has definitely shocked me though and yeah they have to stop
Wouldn't an active EPAC be good for Texas rain chances in the fall?
Yeah once we get into later September and October for sure
With westerlies an EPAC system is preferred as it turns a frontal rain event from 1-3" to 2-4+ with the upper and mid level moisture boost. Similar to what gulf systems often does for the southeast US and east coast. Late September and October is the best times for this.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 8:20 pm
by South Texas Storms
Yes please! Where do I sign up?
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 8:21 pm
by South Texas Storms
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Well, today is August 1st. Honestly, the weather is not bad at all for this time of year. In my area, temperatures have cooled from about 100 a month ago to low to mid-90s for highs. Perhaps we have passed the worst of summer now since in a few weeks, average highs will start decreasing.
On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.
Good luck with your studies! Hope to see you have a blue tag here in a few years
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 8:40 pm
by 869MB
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Well, today is August 1st. Honestly, the weather is not bad at all for this time of year. In my area, temperatures have cooled from about 100 a month ago to low to mid-90s for highs. Perhaps we have passed the worst of summer now since in a few weeks, average highs will start decreasing.
On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.
Good deal and great choice…Embrace the introductory and basic meteorological concepts because they will be the foundation you build upon as you advance deeper into the science. The same can be said for the math and physics introductory courses as well.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 9:02 pm
by 869MB
Ntxw wrote:Brent wrote:lukem wrote:Wouldn't an active EPAC be good for Texas rain chances in the fall?
Yeah once we get into later September and October for sure
With westerlies an EPAC system is preferred as it turns a frontal rain event from 1-3" to 2-4+ with the upper and mid level moisture boost. Similar to what gulf systems often does for the southeast US and east coast. Late September and October is the best times for this.
I haven’t went back and officially checked, but it seems like these types of frontal events were more prevalent across Texas during the fall months when the negative velocity potential anomaly was centered more over the Western Atlantic and North & South American Continents in 1980’s and early 90’s which allowed for an active EPAC to last deeper into the E Pacific hurricane season and our fall months. Especially when this American standing wave was coupled with a warm ENSO which usually meant a more favorable pattern for EPAC tropical development…increasing chances of later season systems being picked up by mid-latitude troughs digging into the West Coast and Southwest US.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 9:14 pm
by NXStumpy_Robothing
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Well, today is August 1st. Honestly, the weather is not bad at all for this time of year. In my area, temperatures have cooled from about 100 a month ago to low to mid-90s for highs. Perhaps we have passed the worst of summer now since in a few weeks, average highs will start decreasing.
On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.
Congrats on your acceptance to Mississippi State! As a fellow meteorology major I hope your academic journey doesn't involve a pandemic like mine has
If you've got any questions about it, feel free to hit me up. Good luck!
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 9:34 pm
by captainbarbossa19
869MB wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:Well, today is August 1st. Honestly, the weather is not bad at all for this time of year. In my area, temperatures have cooled from about 100 a month ago to low to mid-90s for highs. Perhaps we have passed the worst of summer now since in a few weeks, average highs will start decreasing.
On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.
Good deal and great choice…Embrace the introductory and basic meteorological concepts because they will be the foundation you build upon as you advance deeper into the science. The same can be said for the math and physics introductory courses as well.
I am taking Calculus starting this fall, along with a weather lab, and a few other courses. I actually am transferring there as a junior, as I have already finished my associate degree at my community college. Originally, I was in State's BOMP program and finished 2/3 of the program, but I decided I would first focus on my associate degree and then come back later to work on my bachelor's there. Fortunately, I saved many notes from the weather courses I have already taken!
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 9:35 pm
by captainbarbossa19
Thank you all!
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Mon Aug 01, 2022 9:45 pm
by ElectricStorm
captainbarbossa19 wrote:869MB wrote:captainbarbossa19 wrote:Well, today is August 1st. Honestly, the weather is not bad at all for this time of year. In my area, temperatures have cooled from about 100 a month ago to low to mid-90s for highs. Perhaps we have passed the worst of summer now since in a few weeks, average highs will start decreasing.
On another note, I have not ever talked on here about my career goals, but I am moving to Starkville, Mississippi on the 12th to pursue my bachelor's degree in Professional Meteorology at Mississippi State! So, while I will not be living in Texas, I will still continue to track weather and converse with the community, but I will be busy taking more than a full load this fall. It will also be fun to track tornadoes and other weather while I am living there.
Good deal and great choice…Embrace the introductory and basic meteorological concepts because they will be the foundation you build upon as you advance deeper into the science. The same can be said for the math and physics introductory courses as well.
I am taking Calculus starting this fall, along with a weather lab, and a few other courses. I actually am transferring there as a junior, as I have already finished my associate degree at my community college. Originally, I was in State's BOMP program and finished 2/3 of the program, but I decided I would first focus on my associate degree and then come back later to work on my bachelor's there. Fortunately, I saved many notes from the weather courses I have already taken!
Good luck man! I'm also a meteorology major, seems like there's a few of us on here
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 02, 2022 10:18 am
by Portastorm
In case you missed it, we just wrapped up the warmest July on record for Camp Mabry (KATT). That comes after the warmest May and June on record.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 02, 2022 12:21 pm
by Garnetcat5
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 02, 2022 1:29 pm
by Cpv17
Garnetcat5 wrote:What is this?
The 18z GFS precipitation totals.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Tue Aug 02, 2022 8:19 pm
by Iceresistance
I’m currently in Springfield, MO, expecting severe storms possible tomorrow.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2022 11:09 am
by Ntxw
61 days and counting of no measurable precipitation for DFW. Any grassy area that isn't artificially watered is just about yellow and dead, looks and feels dry. This is the worst state we've been in a long while.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2022 11:19 am
by Edwards Limestone
Ntxw wrote:61 days and counting of no measurable precipitation for DFW. Any grassy area that isn't artificially watered is just about yellow and dead, looks and feels dry. This is the worst state we've been in a long while.
^^^^Not looking good
https://www.ksat.com/video/news/2022/08/02/fire-departments-battling-brush-fires-in-hill-country-/Several fire departments are trying to get two grass fires under control in the Hill Country. A fire in Blanco County has scorched at least 250 acres on FM 165 near Las Colinas Drive. Evacuations have been requested and a shelter has opened at the Blanco Methodist Church. There is also a fire burning west north of Fredericksburg in Gillespie County.
https://www.fox7austin.com/news/big-sky-fire-fredericksburg-gillespie-county-texasFREDERICKSBURG, Texas - A large wildfire is burning north of Fredericksburg in Gillespie County.
The Texas A&M Forest Service says this fire, labeled the Big Sky Fire, is estimated to be 1,400 acres and 25% contained.
The fire continues to spread due to wind, terrain, and volatile juniper/oak fuel type, says the Forest Service.
https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/local/article/Big-Sky-Fire-closes-Enchanted-Rock-17348034.phpA massive 1,400-acre wildfire called "Big Sky Fire" caused the temporary closure of one of San Antonio's most popular area state parks, Enchanted Rock State National Area. The large wildfire is burning north of Fredericksburg in Gillespie County, according to the Texas A&M Forest Service.
The Fredericksburg natural area posted about its closure on its social media channels on Tuesday, August 2. Enchanted Rock noted that it wouldn't be open to the public on Wednesday, August 3. The park did not disclose when it would open back up. It added to check back on its social media channel for updates.
As of 5 a.m. Wednesday, the "Big Sky Fire" is an estimated 1,400 acres and 25% is contained, according to the Texas A&M Forest Service. Officials said the fire continues to spread due to wind, terrain, and volatile juniper and oak fuel type. Bulldozers are engaged while engine crews focus on suppression and structure protection.
The fire began just after noon on Tuesday, about eight miles north of Fredericksburg, according to the Forest Service. Local authorities have requested that the public avoid the area around Eckert Road and Lower Crabapple Road. Around 40 residents have been evacuated, according to an incident overview from the Forest Service.
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2022 1:59 pm
by Yukon Cornelius
A novelty and I didn’t see a 2022-2023 winter thread so I l’ll post it here because I think we’re all sick of this summer.
2022-2023 Winter
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2022 2:38 pm
by bubba hotep
Ntxw wrote:61 days and counting of no measurable precipitation for DFW. Any grassy area that isn't artificially watered is just about yellow and dead, looks and feels dry. This is the worst state we've been in a long while.
This is a bit splitting hairs, but if you look at station data from across the DFW area there are plenty of measurable rainfall reports from the last 61 days and the airport has just had bad luck. Now, with that said, most all the reporting stations are below 1" over the last 61 days, so like I said, this is a bit semantics.
Now, on the other hand, don't fail me now Euro! (Even though the last rainfall event ended up farther north than what the Euro was originally showing)
Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Wed Aug 03, 2022 3:57 pm
by Iceresistance