starsfan65 wrote:How is it gone?Iceresistance wrote:And just like that, the heavy rainfall risk for the Southern Plains is gone. This is getting extremely old, stupid Cockroach Death Ridge!
No longer shows up on the CPC's heavy precip risk.
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starsfan65 wrote:How is it gone?Iceresistance wrote:And just like that, the heavy rainfall risk for the Southern Plains is gone. This is getting extremely old, stupid Cockroach Death Ridge!
Iceresistance wrote:starsfan65 wrote:How is it gone?Iceresistance wrote:And just like that, the heavy rainfall risk for the Southern Plains is gone. This is getting extremely old, stupid Cockroach Death Ridge!
No longer shows up on the CPC's heavy precip risk.
Brent wrote:A high of 68 Saturday it's been awhile
But yeah some rain would be nice. It tried last night and a few drops made it but yeah...
Ntxw wrote:DFW too is going through second stretch of such anomalous dry spell.
https://i.imgur.com/z7u2Bux.png
Tidbit...outside of 2015 and 1999 the following winters were pretty chilly on this list.
Brent wrote:Maybe it's just because it's been so hot lately but it's getting chilly tonight. Fall is definitely in the air. The wind is like a little preview of January
bubba hotep wrote:Welp... so much for a shift to a more traditional fall pattern. Looks like ensembles are reverting back to warm and dry for as far as the eye can see.
bubba hotep wrote:Welp... so much for a shift to a more traditional fall pattern. Looks like ensembles are reverting back to warm and dry for as far as they eye can see.
Ntxw wrote:DFW got really lucky with the deluge in late August. We'd be cranking top 10 driest years on record like many areas south of I-20.
October averages well over 4" of rain.
Ntxw wrote:The signal for some west NAO blocking is getting more defined. That will help drive some of the colder air S.
bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:The signal for some west NAO blocking is getting more defined. That will help drive some of the colder air S.
There are a number of things pointing to a -AO/NAO start to the winter. However, it seems like that is one of the trickier patterns to sniff out in the longer range. In the near term, it does look like a dip is coming with a legit below normal shot of cold air for N. TX. It looks to be a transient pattern with a pretty quick snap back to above normal. However, November has all the signs of a more persistent -AO/NAO patter but see the second sentence for my confidence level lol
Ntxw wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:The signal for some west NAO blocking is getting more defined. That will help drive some of the colder air S.
There are a number of things pointing to a -AO/NAO start to the winter. However, it seems like that is one of the trickier patterns to sniff out in the longer range. In the near term, it does look like a dip is coming with a legit below normal shot of cold air for N. TX. It looks to be a transient pattern with a pretty quick snap back to above normal. However, November has all the signs of a more persistent -AO/NAO patter but see the second sentence for my confidence level lol
I've come to terms that the Aleutian ridge is going to be a staple. I don't see a repeat of last Fall/Winter though. NPAC SSTs are too different. I do think we'll hear a lot more of the AO/NAO domain this winter like 2020.
Meanwhile agree with a good shot of cold air is probably coming, temperature wise October hasn't been too bad as it was looking beforehand.
Ntxw wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:The signal for some west NAO blocking is getting more defined. That will help drive some of the colder air S.
There are a number of things pointing to a -AO/NAO start to the winter. However, it seems like that is one of the trickier patterns to sniff out in the longer range. In the near term, it does look like a dip is coming with a legit below normal shot of cold air for N. TX. It looks to be a transient pattern with a pretty quick snap back to above normal. However, November has all the signs of a more persistent -AO/NAO patter but see the second sentence for my confidence level lol
I've come to terms that the Aleutian ridge is going to be a staple. I don't see a repeat of last Fall/Winter though. NPAC SSTs are too different. I do think we'll hear a lot more of the AO/NAO domain this winter like 2020.
Meanwhile agree with a good shot of cold air is probably coming, temperature wise October hasn't been too bad as it was looking beforehand.
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