Texas Fall 2022

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1401 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 23, 2022 2:05 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Holy 12z GEFS! :eek:


Is it pretty chilly?

The Majority of the entire run is colder than normal! This is the mean Temperature on the 12z GEFS!

Image
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2ma_us_fh0-384.gif
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1402 Postby Itryatgolf » Wed Nov 23, 2022 2:09 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Itryatgolf wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Holy 12z GEFS! :eek:


Is it pretty chilly?

The Majority of the entire run is colder than normal! This is the mean Temperature on the 12z GEFS!

https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2ma_us_fh0-384.gif
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2ma_us_fh0-384.gif


Hopefully we can get some opportunities of snow and ice sooner or later
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1403 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:33 pm

Finally back home, I was in Ada for a few days.

That mist outside is something else.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1404 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:59 pm

Is that 70" for Sierra Blanca Peak overlooking White Sands? Sierra Blanca is nearly 12k ft and regularly picks up snow. This setup might put the snow machine on full blast for days!

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1405 Postby dpep4 » Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:54 pm

In McKinney tonight and the thunder has been rolling for awhile now.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1406 Postby Brent » Wed Nov 23, 2022 9:53 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
Itryatgolf wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Holy 12z GEFS! :eek:


Is it pretty chilly?

The Majority of the entire run is colder than normal! This is the mean Temperature on the 12z GEFS!

https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2ma_us_fh0-384.gif
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/gfs-ens_T2ma_us_fh0-384.gif


I was noticing earlier the TWC app had two chances at freezing rain here and consistently cold. I don't see how you can hate the pattern coming if you want cold

That torch next week looks very short lived for sure
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1407 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:21 pm

00z GFS bombs Texas

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1408 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:26 pm

DFW already approaching 1/2", which is well ahead of the 00z Hi-res models.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1409 Postby Brent » Thu Nov 24, 2022 12:33 am

GFS has a winter storm around day 11 just northwest of DFW. This is the timeframe I'm curious about too
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1410 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Nov 24, 2022 8:02 am

Happy Thanksgiving Storm2kers. Pouring rain here in Uncertain Texas. Got a turkey smoking and coffee brewing. Beer soon to follow. Enjoy the holiday and the rain!!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1411 Postby DallasAg » Thu Nov 24, 2022 8:05 am

bubba hotep wrote:DFW already approaching 1/2", which is well ahead of the 00z Hi-res models.

Including what’s been recorded through 6:00 this morning (.28”), DFW only needs 1.09” more to reach Top 10 wettest November.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1412 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Nov 24, 2022 8:41 am

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone :cheesy:

I know the background state still says La Nina, but we have been in a El Nino type pattern since October, and I see no change in that through Winter. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1413 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Nov 24, 2022 9:27 am

Happy (wet) Thanksgiving Y'all!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1414 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Nov 24, 2022 10:01 am

Happy Thanksgiving! Safe travels and full bellies to everyone!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1415 Postby Ntxw » Thu Nov 24, 2022 11:35 am

Happy Thanksgiving to the S2K crew. May we have a cold and snowy winter ahead!

May the resident heat miser experience miserable wintry days through March!

Image
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1416 Postby weatherdude1108 » Thu Nov 24, 2022 12:29 pm

Enjoying the wet weather!

Happy Thanksgiving all, to you and yours!
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1417 Postby harp » Thu Nov 24, 2022 12:46 pm

:wink: :cry: 12z GFS dumps the Arctic south around December 7th- 9th. It’s dry, however. :cry:
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1418 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Nov 24, 2022 1:11 pm

harp wrote::wink: :cry: 12z GFS dumps the Arctic south around December 7th- 9th. It’s dry, however. :cry:


It was supposed to be lower to mid 60s today and a 10% chance of showers, so said the forecast 4 days ago. :lol:
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1419 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Nov 24, 2022 1:34 pm

2.25" so far IMBY marking another multi-inch rainfall event. It's been a crazy streak of these!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1420 Postby Ntxw » Thu Nov 24, 2022 2:53 pm

Big winter storm on the Euro.
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