Texas Fall 2022
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Monthly SOI average for September is at 18.89, highest since May.
Fall is likely going to be a scorcher.
Fall is likely going to be a scorcher.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Pretty stable weather to continue. Looks about average to maybe a couple degrees above.
One third year analog year is 2000. Back then early October flipped dramatically from the record heat in September. After some hot opening days to October a complete reversal occurred the second week of October with record low max days (50s) and lows around 40 for a couple for DFW. I don't think we will see that kind of flip this year, it would already be on the radar. We'll probably ride this pattern through November at least the first half.
One third year analog year is 2000. Back then early October flipped dramatically from the record heat in September. After some hot opening days to October a complete reversal occurred the second week of October with record low max days (50s) and lows around 40 for a couple for DFW. I don't think we will see that kind of flip this year, it would already be on the radar. We'll probably ride this pattern through November at least the first half.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Near perfect weather the last few days in DFW. The only persons I've heard or seen complain about it are on this board. LOL
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
dpep4 wrote:Near perfect weather the last few days in DFW. The only persons I've heard or seen complain about it are on this board. LOL
We need the rain to keep away the drought. That is the only thing that is preventing the perfect weather is the drought.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
I’m loving the weather. Not too hot or cool. I can wait on cold until mid-November with weather like this. Just need a little rain.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:dpep4 wrote:Near perfect weather the last few days in DFW. The only persons I've heard or seen complain about it are on this board. LOL
We need the rain to keep away the drought. That is the only thing that is preventing the perfect weather is the drought.
Yeah we need rain. It’s especially bad in Oklahoma right now.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
rwfromkansas wrote:I’m loving the weather. Not too hot or cool. I can wait on cold until mid-November with weather like this. Just need a little rain.
I would like upper 70's as highs but I do like the upper 50's in the morning. I hope it stays like this for a while, but I already see the low 90's creeping back.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
If the 6z gfs is correct, we could see some rain chances come back into the picture in about 10-11 days. Honestly looks kind of like a severe weather setup to me, but it’s still so far out. If future runs keep this pattern maybe it’s something to watch
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
cheezyWXguy wrote:If the 6z gfs is correct, we could see some rain chances come back into the picture in about 10-11 days. Honestly looks kind of like a severe weather setup to me, but it’s still so far out. If future runs keep this pattern maybe it’s something to watch
We're mostly having dry fronts in the next 5-7 days though, at least we won't reach the 100s again, hopefully.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
I just looked at how much I'm below normal on rainfall YTD, it's awful.
My area is 12-13 inches below normal.
My area is 12-13 inches below normal.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Latest GFS and recent Euro runs build a decent cold air mass over Canada and sends a chunk this way about 10-14 days away. Would be a 'real' front and not just climo change air if true.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:I just looked at how much I'm below normal on rainfall YTD, it's awful.
My area is 12-13 inches below normal.
I’ve had 16” YTD. Normally would be between 35-40” rn.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
I am loving this weather but yes we need a good soaking rain for awhile. I noticed earlier the creek next to my apartment has basically dried up and the Arkansas River isn't much better down the road
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#neversummer
- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Brent wrote:I am loving this weather but yes we need a good soaking rain for awhile. I noticed earlier the creek next to my apartment has basically dried up and the Arkansas River isn't much better down the road
The Little River south of town is almost completely dried up.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8911
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
KFOR is showing highs in the mid-60s next week! Maybe they and I are too hopeful for this upcoming cold front.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Another week of beautiful temperatures (except one 90F day) with no rain in sight.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8911
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- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Yukon Cornelius wrote:46 this morning!
Got down to 49°F with a wind chill (What?) of 47°F
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Yukon Cornelius wrote:46 this morning!
Made it down to around 52 degrees in CTX.
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Chamber of commerce weather, great for the state fair.
FYI in a week's time average highs should be mid to upper 70s and lows mid 50s.
FYI in a week's time average highs should be mid to upper 70s and lows mid 50s.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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