Texas Fall 2022
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Had 4 rounds of rain yesterday, 2nd round in late afternoon had some pretty gusty winds when it hit. I went walking around 9 and a 3rd thunderstorm moved in, then a little while after that passed, had one last lighter shower move through. Gonna check the rain gauge in a bit, but guess that's the last round for a while.
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Lows in the 50s are possible next week, 40s are restricted to the Northwest.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Sounds like that the Cockroach Death Ridge is coming back here . . . 
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
I'm now expecting lows in the mid-50s early next week. 
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:I'm now expecting lows in the mid-50s early next week.
A couple of days mid 60s-mid 80s for DFW then summer returns for a while.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
gpsnowman wrote:Iceresistance wrote:I'm now expecting lows in the mid-50s early next week.
A couple of days mid 60s-mid 80s for DFW then summer returns for a while.
Yep, the Cockroach Ridge is coming back, but at least that 100s are not expected anymore. (Hence why it's not called the 'Cockroach Death Ridge')
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Got down to 60°F this morning, Seminole and Ada fell to 58°F
Lowest temperatures are 55°F at Wister (Far Eastern Oklahoma) and Kenton (Westernmost town in Oklahoma)
Lowest temperatures are 55°F at Wister (Far Eastern Oklahoma) and Kenton (Westernmost town in Oklahoma)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Long Range - 90s as far as the eye can see...
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
62 degrees here. Why does it have to warm back up? at least it's mid September now and eventually summer has to end
at least it's mid September now and eventually summer has to end
Last edited by Brent on Sun Sep 11, 2022 2:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Brent wrote:62 degrees here. Why does have it to warm back up?
Ugh I know. It will all end in a few weeks as October draws near. I'll be in Spain for a week in October and the weather should be perfect in Barcelona and Madrid.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Got down to 59°F, and managed to get .05 inches of rain last night. I know it's not very much, but it's better than a trace! 
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Brent wrote:62 degrees here. Why does have it to warm back up?
Felt great out there this morning. I did notice that the ensembles seemed to be playing catch up with this cool front. So maybe the warmup is being oversold by the models?
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Fall 2022
Low 60s and 50s will feel great tonight and tomorrow morning. Football is in the air!
GOA trough is great in July and August. However in Sept (Fall) it is not a great pattern.
GOA trough is great in July and August. However in Sept (Fall) it is not a great pattern.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Just a bit of disagreement b/w the 12z Euro and GFS
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
bubba hotep wrote:Just a bit of disagreement b/w the 12z Euro and GFS
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ec-fast/2022091112/ec-fast_z500aNorm_namer_11.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022091112/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_41.png
Let's go Euro
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#neversummer
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Just a bit of disagreement b/w the 12z Euro and GFS
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ec-fast/2022091112/ec-fast_z500aNorm_namer_11.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022091112/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_41.png
Let's go Euro
I'm thinking that the Euro is more likely because the State Fair is coming with the State Fair Storms.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Brent
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Just a bit of disagreement b/w the 12z Euro and GFS
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ec-fast/2022091112/ec-fast_z500aNorm_namer_11.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022091112/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_41.png
Let's go Euro
I'm thinking that the Euro is more likely because the State Fair is coming with the State Fair Storms.
Yeah it's here at the end of the month too so something will definitely happen by then
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#neversummer
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
Wow! This morning is a LOT colder than expected! 49°F
OKC is currently 52°F, Shawnee is 50°F, and El Reno is 42°F.
OKC is currently 52°F, Shawnee is 50°F, and El Reno is 42°F.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
July PDO was apparently a -2.86, which likely explains why that month was so ridiculously hot and torturous.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Fall 2022
56 this morning. Unfortunately it doesn’t look to last beyond today.
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