2023 Severe Weather

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Iceresistance
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2023 Severe Weather

#1 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Dec 31, 2022 12:50 pm

It looks like it's going to start with a BANG! Enhanced risk just west of the Mississippi River on 1/2.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jan 01, 2023 7:05 pm

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#3 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Jan 01, 2023 7:18 pm


That is currently east of me, but the models are trending this west towards me!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#4 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon Jan 02, 2023 11:41 pm

Starting in 2017, every odd year has had at least 1 high risk day, while the even years have had none. It will be interesting to see if 2023 continues that pattern or not
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#5 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 12, 2023 2:06 pm

Oh no, Tornado Emergency just north of Montgomery, AL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
104 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC001-121915-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-230112T1915Z/
Autauga AL-
104 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR AUTAUGA COUNTY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY...

At 103 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Marbury, or 12 miles north of Millbrook, moving northeast at 55
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for AUTAUGA COUNTY. This is a PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Marbury.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3261 8648 3266 8651 3270 8652 3271 8641
3261 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 240DEG 46KT 3267 8642

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#6 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 12, 2023 2:11 pm

Still a Tornado Emergency, this tornado is huge.

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
106 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC021-037-051-121945-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-230112T1945Z/
Elmore AL-Chilton AL-Coosa AL-
106 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NORTHWESTERN ELMORE...SOUTHEASTERN CHILTON
AND SOUTHEASTERN COOSA COUNTIES...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN ELMORE...SOUTHEASTERN CHILTON AND SOUTHEASTERN COOSA
COUNTIES...

At 106 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
near Marbury, or 13 miles north of Millbrook, moving northeast at 50
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for NORTHWESTERN ELMORE...SOUTHEASTERN CHILTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN COOSA COUNTIES. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rockford, Kellyton, Equality, Speed, Pentonville, Cottage Grove,
Titus, Weoka Mills, Highway 9 and Highway 22, Welona, Nixburg,
Western Lake Martin, Jordan Lake, Fishpond, Ray and Hissop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8641 3271 8641 3271 8655 3301 8601
3282 8601 3280 8600 3276 8601 3276 8597
3277 8597 3277 8595 3276 8595
TIME...MOT...LOC 1906Z 239DEG 43KT 3270 8640

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Iceresistance
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#7 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 12, 2023 2:19 pm

Still a Tornado Emergency. It's still down!

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
111 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

ALC037-051-121945-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-230112T1945Z/
Elmore AL-Coosa AL-
111 PM CST Thu Jan 12 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR NORTHWESTERN ELMORE AND SOUTHEASTERN COOSA
COUNTIES...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CST FOR
NORTHWESTERN ELMORE AND SOUTHEASTERN COOSA COUNTIES...

At 110 PM CST, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over Titus, or 13 miles southwest of Rockford, moving northeast at 50
mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for NORTHWESTERN ELMORE AND SOUTHEASTERN COOSA
COUNTIES. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rockford, Kellyton, Equality, Speed, Pentonville, Cottage Grove,
Titus, Weoka Mills, Highway 9 and Highway 22, Welona, Nixburg,
Western Lake Martin, Jordan Lake, Fishpond, Ray and Hissop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3263 8641 3275 8641 3275 8638 3278 8641
3301 8601 3282 8601 3280 8600 3276 8601
3276 8598 3277 8597 3277 8595 3276 8596
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 240DEG 44KT 3272 8633

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

17/KLAWS
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Iceresistance
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#8 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 12, 2023 2:26 pm

Tornado warning for Macon, GA

There are GDOT Cameras along I-275 and I-75 in Macon, GA

LINK: https://511ga.org/
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Iceresistance
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#9 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 12, 2023 2:31 pm

Tornado Emergency extended, very intense debris ball signature with it as well.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#10 Postby Gatos del Sol » Thu Jan 12, 2023 4:51 pm

I’m very glad I’m not trying to connect through ATL today. The ground stop is going to lead to a service recovery mess when they were probably not back to 100% after yesterday’s NOTAMs ground stop.
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#11 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jan 13, 2023 11:44 am

The 2023 severe season has started very active.

 https://twitter.com/JacquiJerasTV/status/1613938798655639554


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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#12 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Fri Jan 13, 2023 11:10 pm

I went chasing. Failed to catch the tornado cuz Atlanta traffic is awful. Like awful. Got some hail and wind. First chasing experience on my own.
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#13 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 17, 2023 12:14 pm

Another severe event in 2023 and this one is for Wednesday in the south.

 https://twitter.com/mikebettes/status/1615362787265466368


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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#14 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 19, 2023 8:47 am

Ohio now has the smallest Enhanced Risk I've ever seen!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#15 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:54 pm

Active severe weather day on Tuesday for the south.

 https://twitter.com/NWSSPC/status/1617578347000913920


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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#16 Postby ThunderForce » Tue Jan 24, 2023 7:14 am

The current severe weather conditions for today look pretty nasty. 10% hatched (EF2+ possible) tornado risk in the entire Enhanced risk area, followed by 30% wind in a corridor from roughly south/southeastern Louisiana all the way to the western FL Panhandle. There's also a 15% hail risk in southeastern Texas with the rest of the areas in the severe risk having a 5% hail risk.

All in all this really isn't looking good.
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#17 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 24, 2023 11:56 am

Image
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#18 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jan 24, 2023 12:33 pm

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#19 Postby Tireman4 » Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:09 pm

Pasadena Police Department
@PasadenaPDTX
·
23m
We are aware of a tornado touching down on the south east side of our city. Our officers and Fire Department are working towards assiting those people with who were immediately affected.
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#20 Postby Tireman4 » Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:30 pm

City of Pasadena TX #pasadenatxgov
@pasadenatxgov
·
36m
‼️Tornado Damage in SE Harris County including Pasadena.
Avoid these areas:
⚠️Beltway 8 @ Genoa Red Bluff
⚠️Fairmont Parkway @ Mickey Gilley Blvd.
⚠️Burke @ Crenshaw
Updates as they arise.
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