2023 Severe Weather

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Tireman4
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#21 Postby Tireman4 » Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:56 pm

ornado Warning
TXC245-242230-
/O.NEW.KLCH.TO.W.0004.230124T2154Z-230124T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
354 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2023

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 430 PM CST.

* At 354 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located over Stowell, or near Hamshire, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
La Belle and Fannett around 405 PM CST.
Port Acres around 410 PM CST.
Port Arthur around 415 PM CST.

This includes Interstate 10 in Texas between mile markers 844 and
832.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3002 9415 2991 9401 2972 9435 2989 9436
2989 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 236DEG 57KT 2979 9434

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#22 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 25, 2023 12:27 pm

EF2 in Houston. This is now Texas's 1st EF2 in January since 2018.

 https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618258953191985153


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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#23 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Jan 25, 2023 3:42 pm

cycloneye wrote:EF2 in Houston. This is now Texas's 1st EF2 in January since 2018.

https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618258953191985153

It got upgraded to EF-3, which was confirmed from the Damage Assessment Toolkit.

Have the link just in case you need it.
https://apps.dat.noaa.gov/stormdamage/damageviewer/
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#24 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jan 26, 2023 10:00 am

The tornado which struck Pasadena on Tuesday was certainly tragic and uncommon for our area, but strong tornadoes are not unheard of here. Back on Nov. 21, 1992, there was a very significant tornado outbreak across our area. A large F-4 tornado (a mile wide) cut a 30-mile path across nearly the same area (just a little north). The wife and I were biking near Sealy that day. Had to take shelter as a much smaller tornado passed very near us. No cell phones with radar apps back then.

https://www.tornadotalk.com/channelview-tx-f4-tornado-november-21-1992/
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#25 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 26, 2023 1:47 pm

First report of the SE Harris county in Houston. More to come.

 https://twitter.com/NWSHouston/status/1618679574686216198




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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#26 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Feb 04, 2023 10:00 pm

I am more concerned for this Spring Storm Season compared to last year because the drought in the SW is much weaker compared to last year.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#27 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 09, 2023 2:46 pm

Possible Severe Weather on the horizon.


Andrew Berrington
@ahberrington
With a recent shift in ensemble guidance towards a lead trough lifting further northwest and with more separation between waves, the door to a potentially significant severe threat appears to be opening across the Southeast around 2/15-16.
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#28 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Feb 10, 2023 9:06 am

Dixie Alley Outbreak possible next week, it's looking big
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#29 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 12, 2023 6:46 am

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#30 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Feb 12, 2023 10:44 am

I don't think I have ever seen a Slight Risk this big. :eek:

Image
https://s9.gifyu.com/images/day5prob-149ead6873849cf3e.gif
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#31 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 26, 2023 7:32 am

Be very careful there.

Image

Image
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#32 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Feb 26, 2023 11:12 am


It's been expanded to include me on the Moderate Risk.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#33 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 26, 2023 12:18 pm

Iceresistance wrote:

It's been expanded to include me on the Moderate Risk.


Image
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#34 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Feb 26, 2023 12:26 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:

It's been expanded to include me on the Moderate Risk.


https://i.imgur.com/BN2njUd.jpg

Yeah, this is looking ugly.

I looked at the SREF on the SPC. The Derecho, STP, and Supercell Composite Parameters are high. Tonight is going to be very rough.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#35 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 26, 2023 12:36 pm

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#36 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 26, 2023 1:52 pm

For later in the week it will be a larger area of coverage.

 https://twitter.com/TreyceJonesWX/status/1629915603950608385


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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#37 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Feb 26, 2023 2:22 pm


I saw that from the SPC Discussion, very strong wording from the SPC.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#38 Postby cycloneye » Tue Feb 28, 2023 7:28 pm

A big area of concern for Thursday.

Image
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Re: 2023 Severe Weather

#39 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 28, 2023 7:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:A big area of concern for Thursday.

https://i.imgur.com/Z0lZCmO.jpg

Yeah, the Texas Spring forum is watching it.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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2022 Severe Weather

#40 Postby cycloneye » Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:24 am

Moderate Risk for Thursday.

Image
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