Texas Spring 2023

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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#561 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Mar 21, 2023 2:28 pm

Not Texas weather, but there’s no thread on it, so might as well post here. That system moving onto the California coast is really impressive. KMUX radar is picking up reasonable radar velocities above 90mph only 400ft up, although I’m not sure at what elevation that radar sits
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#562 Postby lukem » Tue Mar 21, 2023 2:35 pm

12z GFS trying to bust the drought in Texas!
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#563 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Mar 22, 2023 8:55 am

What is with the 12z HRRR? It's terrifying for me!
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#564 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Mar 22, 2023 10:40 am

Oh come on! Thursday Morning too!?

Image
https://s2.gifyu.com/images/Thursday-Morning.png

Thursday Afternoon
Image
https://s2.gifyu.com/images/Thursday-Afternoon.png

(Tomorrow for Thursday)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#565 Postby Edwards Limestone » Wed Mar 22, 2023 10:52 am

Ho hum looks like another north TX/OK event. You guys have all the fun.
I'm sure we'll get another 0.05" of drizzle down here. It's interesting to me how wet NE TX and OK are sometimes despite being much further from gulf moisture.

Y'all are probably like "what drought?" :D

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#566 Postby wxman22 » Wed Mar 22, 2023 12:44 pm

Edwards Limestone wrote:Ho hum looks like another north TX/OK event. You guys have all the fun.
I'm sure we'll get another 0.05" of drizzle down here. It's interesting to me how wet NE TX and OK are sometimes despite being much further from gulf moisture.

Y'all are probably like "what drought?" :D

https://www.tceq.texas.gov/downloads/response/images/drought-map.jpg

The eastern potions of the state especially east of I-45 have less influence from the desert to the west and the southwest flow aloft that contributes to capping issues the further west you go.I hate the humidity that we get down here in SE Texas,but being so close to the gulf and further east does help with rainfall,especially during the dry summer months.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#567 Postby Brent » Thu Mar 23, 2023 12:23 am

Edwards Limestone wrote:Ho hum looks like another north TX/OK event. You guys have all the fun.
I'm sure we'll get another 0.05" of drizzle down here. It's interesting to me how wet NE TX and OK are sometimes despite being much further from gulf moisture.

Y'all are probably like "what drought?" :D

https://www.tceq.texas.gov/downloads/response/images/drought-map.jpg


What's interesting is you don't have to go very far to my NW to get back into drought... Like Wichita has not even had 3 inches this year while Tulsa is sitting over 6 inches and we're under a flood watch tomorrow and Friday for the same setup where they don't get much
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#568 Postby cycloneye » Thu Mar 23, 2023 8:29 am

The latest update for Texas has 78.37% of the state in drought conditions.

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#569 Postby dpep4 » Thu Mar 23, 2023 2:53 pm

Slight risk of severe shifted into DFW for today. Tornado risks are still more to the west and north.

BTW, technically isn't the yellow area (D0) not considered actually drought, more of trending drought? I thought I remember reading that D1-D4 are the official "In a drought" categories.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#570 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 23, 2023 4:10 pm

Nasty Line of storms just to my west
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#571 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Mar 23, 2023 5:18 pm

New Euro Weeklies look wet.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#572 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 23, 2023 5:41 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for my County for Quarter Sized Hail
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#573 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 23, 2023 6:32 pm

Just had a brief hailstorm of Peas
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#574 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 23, 2023 7:16 pm

2.5 inches, rain gauge dumped.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#575 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Mar 23, 2023 8:20 pm

Iceresistance wrote:2.5 inches, rain gauge dumped.


Gee wiz dude. Hail and 2.5” of rain?
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#576 Postby Brent » Thu Mar 23, 2023 9:16 pm

I think it's fair to say the drought is over here. Been hours of heavy rain on and off and now a very noisy elevated storm. Saw quite a bit of street flooding before dark
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#577 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Mar 24, 2023 5:09 am

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
505 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

TXC367-497-241030-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-230324T1030Z/
Wise TX-Parker TX-
505 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN WISE AND NORTHEASTERN PARKER COUNTIES...

At 504 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Poolville, or 11 miles south of Bridgeport, moving
northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Boyd around 515 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Keeter, Agnes and Cottondale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a
vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter now! Get to an
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building and avoid
windows.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#578 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Mar 24, 2023 6:28 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:2.5 inches, rain gauge dumped.


Gee wiz dude. Hail and 2.5” of rain?

Yes, more has fallen since then 2.5 inches and the hail. (No more hail since then though)

UPDATE: Just checked the rain gauge that got .6 more, which means I got 3.1 in total.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#579 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Fri Mar 24, 2023 9:21 am

1.35” yesterday/last night.
4.42” for the month so far.
7.70” for the year so far.
I don’t know if we even got 7” of rain for the majority of 2022. If we did it definitely didn’t seem like it.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#580 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Mar 24, 2023 10:48 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:1.35” yesterday/last night.
4.42” for the month so far.
7.70” for the year so far.
I don’t know if we even got 7” of rain for the majority of 2022. If we did it definitely didn’t seem like it.


I’m waiting for the rain to shift south. I’ve only had about 1.5” in the past 6 weeks.
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