STORM2K

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:10 pm**

Looks like I am going to get pounded. I am on the East side of Houston - near Baytown and very strong storm cell is moving thru League City, Kemah and up to the north in my path.

Anyone have any information - please post.

Patricia

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:14 pm**

Stormsfurry what do you think??

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:16 pm**

the strongest part of that cell is going through the Bay right now and east of you, however, you are still getting clipped by this large cluster

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:16 pm**

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:19 pm**

Keep refreshing this page and the watches and warnings will show and disappear over time.

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:24 pm**

Also come back to this page and refresh it as well....the images shown here will automatically update on these boards as well. This gives you a broader look at the storms and cells even SW of Houston area still spoking ENE with this area of instability...stay tuned and watch for more pockets to blossom SW...they are hit and miss.

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:26 pm**

Thanks Rob.. : )

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:27 pm**

looks like this storm is just the beginning - notice the line to the West of Houston - heading straight now I-10. I know this first storm will be headed towards SOUTHERNGALE when it leaves my area.

I will keep refreshing and checking all your posts. BTW I live in Chambers County and we are under a FLASH FLOOD WARNING.

Patricia aka Ticka1

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:29 pm**

No problem Chad....anything to help out. I've been watching where the members that are signed on and logged into the site and trying to give them a heads up with the radars and discussions by local mets etc. This time of year can get hectic for sure. Ticka, keep watching once this line goes through, there's more behind it and developing into lines of heavy rain and T-storms...some have hail in it as well....watch W and SW for the next few hours!

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:32 pm**

Whats it look like for me Rob. i know TWC yesturday said i had an 80% chance for sat. now they only show 40% : (

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:32 pm**

Yeah Ticka....she is next...they might just miss her, but they are going that way! Chambers is painted under a FFW on the NWS map above for sure...they are quick and up to date!

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:36 pm**

Chad looks like a good chance of storms...popcorn variety on Saturday...here's what NWS says:

Saturday. Partly cloudy and windy. Chance of showers in the morning then thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Saturday night. Mostly cloudy and breezy. Thunderstorms likely with some possibly severe. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:37 pm**

K. Thanks again

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:38 pm**

it's starting to get really ugly here as well...lightning popping all over the place.

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:42 pm**

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:45 pm**

MS look at the rain NW of you...and its far from over!

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 2:58 pm**

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX...WRN LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 11...

VALID 211930Z - 212130Z

ONSET OF NEW INTENSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AROUND THE HOUSTON AREA
HAS CORRESPONDED WITH RAPID PRESSURE FALLS ALONG AN AXIS WEST
NORTHWEST OF HOUSTON INTO AREAS JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF LUFKIN.
LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURE AT 19Z WAS DOWN TO 997/998 MB JUST TO THE
NORTHWEST OF HOUSTON...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST
NORTHEASTWARD WITH APPROACH OF 70 TO 90 KT MID-LEVEL JET THIS
AFTERNOON.

18Z RAOB FROM LAKE CHARLES INDICATED SUBSTANTIALLY GREATER
POTENTIALLY INSTABILITY THAN SUGGESTED BY MODELS WITH 100 MB MEAN
MIXED LAYER CAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG. AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW
CONTINUES TO RESPOND TO DEEPENING SURFACE LOW...AND MID-LEVEL
FLOW STRENGTHENS AS SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL JET NOSES INTO THE
UPPER TEXAS COAST...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO
BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. MOST
INTENSE ACTIVITY DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS WILL BECOME FOCUSED
NORTHEAST OF HOUSTON... SOUTHEAST OF LUFKIN...WHERE BOUNDARY
LAYER WITH DEW POINTS APPROACHING 70F MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADO.

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 3:10 pm**

Hey Ticka...you stay safe and keep us posted.

You too MSCoast

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 3:14 pm**

Goodness!! That is a WHOLE LOT OF RAIN! I was thinking that it would be gone sometime tonight. Guess I'm wrong.

Posted: **Fri Feb 21, 2003 3:30 pm**

Well I guess after it goes to Southerngale its my turn, lots of water here in South La. kids were let out of school today and hour early and NOrth of Lafayette no school at all today

STORM2K

Severe Storms for Houston Area

Severe Storms for Houston Area

Rob thanks for the post....