Page 1 of 1
EC **HONKING** SVR on 3/17-18
Posted: Tue Mar 11, 2003 11:34 pm
by Scott_inVA
Folks,
EC on board with potential for SVR outbreak next week:
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&mo=ecmwf&le=850&va=slp&in=2&pl=cf&ft=7day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=&cu=latest
I'm not on the bombogenesis train yet but this looks like the real deal.
Tune up the chase vans. I'm jealous already.
Scott
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 12:07 am
by Amanzi
Please keep us updated!!!!!!!
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 1:19 am
by vbhoutex
That is one deep low!! Could get interesting!!
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 7:06 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
Could have a nice ripped line with it..we'll see how it comes along in the next days
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 12:01 pm
by Stormsfury
Compare the 7 day 500mb Geopotential Heights
With the 3 day average 500mb Geopotential Heights Days 8-10.
Not much movement - and keeps the 500mb cutoff
Day 7
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest
Day 10
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 12:09 pm
by Stormsfury
Wind Streamlines at 850 mb (5,000 ft)
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest
Wind Streamlines at 500mb (15,000 ft)
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest
Wind Streamlines at 200mb (Jet Stream Level)
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest
Tremendous Divergence at the RRQ, and convergence at the surface. The EC is definitely SCREAMING MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IN THE GREAT PLAINS NEXT WEEK, INCLUDING SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES POSSIBLE ... STAY TUNED.
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 12:16 pm
by Stormsfury
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 2:01 pm
by wx247
Our local NWS here in SW MO has been talking about potential for severe during this time period for the last couple of days.
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 8:33 pm
by Stormsfury
All the models are showing the threat ... ALL of them.
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 8:41 pm
by StormCrazyIowan
See, now this is EXACTLY what I need help with, I look at those maps, and I see a MAP! I don't know what any of it means....am I a lost cause?
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 10:36 pm
by HuffWx
Nice talk here guys!
Seems to coming, and this pattern is ideal for nice outbreak!
Huff
Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2003 10:38 pm
by Stormsfury
Looking more and more conducive and the EURO is consistent with this feature/storm the past couple of days ...
I started another thread with EURO continuing to show the SVR WX Threat.