STORM2K

Well the chances of rain aren't too high right now but from everything I've been hearing we could have a downright soaker Monday and Tuesday...not good for all the parades in south Louisiana.

ACADIA-IBERIA-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST MARTIN-ST MARY-UPPER ST MARTIN-
VERMILION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABBEVILLE...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...
MORGAN CITY...NEW IBERIA...ST MARTINVILLE
430 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2004

.TODAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 70 TO 75. SOUTH WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 45 TO 50. WEST WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST THEN NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 4O TO 45. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
LOWS 50 TO 55. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 50 TO 55.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 45 TO
50.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

Hush Hush PT....i don't want to hear about rain on Mardi Gras! At least it won't be raining for the Bonaparte parade...look for me on float #7!

NWS has gloomy wet ideas on yalls mardi gras-

MUCH UNCERTAINTY THEN COMES INTO PLAY
BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT WITH BOTH THE ETA AND THE GFS INDICATING A
POTENT TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST STATES WITH
EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE
GULF COAST REGION. THE CONSISTENCY OF THE MODELS THOUGH HAS NOT BEEN
GOOD AND LIKEWISE THE TIMING OF THESE DISTURBANCES BEGINNING TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT SO FAR IN ADVANCE OF THE MAIN TROUGH
IS VERY MUCH IN QUESTION. STILL...WILL STAY CLOSE WITH THE CURRENT
FORECAST INTRODUCING RAIN STARTING SUNDAY NIGHT AND CARRYING THROUGH
MARDI GRAS. THE LATTER HALF OF THE GFS DOES HAVE A SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER TROUGH BY TUESDAY ACROSS TEXAS
AND THEN TRACKING SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...THE TIMING OF THE UPPER
TROUGH'S MOVEMENT IS AGAIN IN SOME QUESTION WHICH COULD IMPACT THE
PROGRESSION OF THE SURFACE LOW BY MID WEEK AND THEREBY AFFECTING THE
TIMING AND CONSISTENCY OF THE RAIN. BEST BET AT THIS POINT IS TO
LEAVE RAIN IN THE FORECAST PROBABLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND HOPEFULLY
DRY THINGS OUT BY THURSDAY PENDING THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. UNFORTUNATELY...THIS SCENARIO DOES NOT PAINT A VERY GOOD
PICTURE FOR LUNDI AND MARDI GRAS DAYS ALTHOUGH AT LEAST MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND LOOKS OK FOR NOW.