0Z Eta a tad weaker/slower...BUT
Posted: Wed Mar 03, 2004 10:14 pm
Low is *slightly* slower and weaker swinging around through 24 hours; probably insufficient to do more than a slight western jog at onset.
However, the 0Z Eta features a much more pronounced jet streak than the 18Z. Height falls are also pushed a bit west but this set up still (IMO) favors rapid development of MCS...instability should be there for long lived MCS and tornadoes.
Also the 0Z is printing out much more QPF, esp from SW TX to the northeast where this likely gets going.
That jet max over southern IL/IN/NW KY...that's interesting too.
Just some early OBS on the Eta.
Scott
However, the 0Z Eta features a much more pronounced jet streak than the 18Z. Height falls are also pushed a bit west but this set up still (IMO) favors rapid development of MCS...instability should be there for long lived MCS and tornadoes.
Also the 0Z is printing out much more QPF, esp from SW TX to the northeast where this likely gets going.
That jet max over southern IL/IN/NW KY...that's interesting too.
Just some early OBS on the Eta.
Scott