Next weekend/Monday - The Rain Parade Continues
Posted: Mon Mar 17, 2003 11:56 am
Once again for the Southeastern States this upcoming weekend.
HPC prelim discussion excerpt.
OUR OTHER CONCERN IS THE NEW UPPER SYS MOVING INTO THE
SRN ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS NEXT WEEKEND. ENSEMBLE DATA
SUGGEST THAT THE ECMWF MAY BE BETTER IN MAINTAINING A
STRONGER SYS SAT-SUN THAN THE GFS AS THIS UPPER IMPULSE
RE-LOADS THE LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE SCNTRL STATES. OUR
MANUAL PROGS REFLECT A MORE ORGANIZED...ALBEIT WEAK... SYS
SAT-SUN MOVING ACROSS/JUST S OF THE GULF COAST REGION.
BY MON...THIS GULF SYS SHOULD TURN MORE NEWD INTO THE S
ATLANTIC STATES.
...CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS EWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES...
WE ARE ADJUSTING MEX MOS TO GO ALONG WITH A WETTER
SURFACE SYS TRACKING ALONG THE GULF COAST SAT-MON. MOST
OF THE CHANGES WILL BE SE OF THE CENTRAL CLUSTER...BUT
ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE ERN CLUSTER BY MON DAY 7. SEE
GRAPHICS.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html
HPC prelim discussion excerpt.
OUR OTHER CONCERN IS THE NEW UPPER SYS MOVING INTO THE
SRN ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS NEXT WEEKEND. ENSEMBLE DATA
SUGGEST THAT THE ECMWF MAY BE BETTER IN MAINTAINING A
STRONGER SYS SAT-SUN THAN THE GFS AS THIS UPPER IMPULSE
RE-LOADS THE LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE SCNTRL STATES. OUR
MANUAL PROGS REFLECT A MORE ORGANIZED...ALBEIT WEAK... SYS
SAT-SUN MOVING ACROSS/JUST S OF THE GULF COAST REGION.
BY MON...THIS GULF SYS SHOULD TURN MORE NEWD INTO THE S
ATLANTIC STATES.
...CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS EWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES...
WE ARE ADJUSTING MEX MOS TO GO ALONG WITH A WETTER
SURFACE SYS TRACKING ALONG THE GULF COAST SAT-MON. MOST
OF THE CHANGES WILL BE SE OF THE CENTRAL CLUSTER...BUT
ENCOMPASS ALL OF THE ERN CLUSTER BY MON DAY 7. SEE
GRAPHICS.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html