STORM2K

Looking very active for the Upper Midwest! Never seen (That i can recall - See Below) SPC go gang busters with the Tornado threat such as they have with this possible event for later today! All the dynamics are there for this outbreak. Plenty of Heating, Higher dews, very good upper levels. I would say that chasing looks to be excellent today in the areas mentioned above. A couple of hundred miles farther to the ese and i would be definetly out on the hunt! For those not into chasing keep your eyes on the sky and check back in for more updates as it is looking very bad and stormy out that way especially around the Twin Cities down to DesMoines, IA.


Now feast your eyes on this!

Wow........that is amazing...have not seen tornadic section of that forecast look that good since the day we had 500 tornadoes last year....dang midwest....SE never gets severe wx...Joking...stay safe up there guys.

Wow..that looks very nasty...stay safe guys!

An upper trough continue to track towards the east into the central and northern Plain states. On the leading edge of this shortwave trough, a dryslot is developing. This combined with daytime heating will serve to enhance the instability. Extreme instability combined with great amounts of wind shear will result in severe thunderstorms and tornadic thunderstorms later today, especially across southern Minnesota and possibly into eastern South Dakota and northeast Nebraska.

Strong tornadoes are likely today in this region not to mention very large hail and damaging wind.

Jim

The SPC seems to have backed off of their earlier graphic...

wx247 wrote:The SPC seems to have backed off of their earlier graphic...

The moderate risk has been shoved more towards the north to west-central Minnesota. The slight risk as well has been removed from Kansas, and now exists from the Nebraska/Kansas Border north. Still could get interesting especially in the Dakotas and MN, perhaps Eastern Nebraska and western Iowa later on.

king of weather wrote:Looking very active for the Upper Midwest! Never seen (That i can recall - See Below) SPC go gang busters with the Tornado threat such as they have with this possible event for later today! All the dynamics are there for this outbreak. Plenty of Heating, Higher dews, very good upper levels. I would say that chasing looks to be excellent today in the areas mentioned above. A couple of hundred miles farther to the ese and i would be definetly out on the hunt! For those not into chasing keep your eyes on the sky and check back in for more updates as it is looking very bad and stormy out that way especially around the Twin Cities down to DesMoines, IA.

Do you mean that you haven't seen them go gangbusters like this for THIS year? Because certainly there have been more impressive setups in the past. Here's one below...for example. I was under a PDS tornado watch that day and in the high risk area. The tornadoes stayed away though.




http://spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2003/day1otlk_20030510_2000.html

Hoosierwxdude wrote:

king of weather wrote:Looking very active for the Upper Midwest! Never seen (That i can recall - See Below) SPC go gang busters with the Tornado threat such as they have with this possible event for later today! All the dynamics are there for this outbreak. Plenty of Heating, Higher dews, very good upper levels. I would say that chasing looks to be excellent today in the areas mentioned above. A couple of hundred miles farther to the ese and i would be definetly out on the hunt! For those not into chasing keep your eyes on the sky and check back in for more updates as it is looking very bad and stormy out that way especially around the Twin Cities down to DesMoines, IA.

Do you mean that you haven't seen them go gangbusters like this for THIS year? Because certainly there have been more impressive setups in the past. Here's one below...for example. I was under a PDS tornado watch that day and in the high risk area. The tornadoes stayed away though.


http://spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2003/day1otlk_20030510_2000.html

Don't remember the date, but I have seen 45% tornado chances. Very rare, but when they happen, dig a big hole in the ground, build a safe room in there and hunker out down there.