Today W.TX, OK. Tomorrow E.TX. Major Outbreak Sun OV? Severe
Posted: Fri Apr 23, 2004 10:48 am
Today's focus for severe weather looks to be in Western TX, OK, N.AR SPC has a moderate risk placed for parts of N.TX with the main threat being large Hail and then Damaging winds and a few tornadoes cant be ruled out as well.
Tomorrow this shifts towards Eastern TX from the Gulf up to southern MO. Keep a eye on tomorrow because it seems there is a few uncertainties as far as how active it may be.
Then on Sunday things really get intresting for the OH Valley as a low associated with the s/wv in the sw which ejects out and Head for MI. Out ahead of this feature and ahead of the Coldfront a ton of moisture looks to surge to the north into the OH/TN Valley's setting up for what may be a very active day as mentioned by SPC; "STRONG COUPLED JET TRAVERSES OH VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH 850
MB WINDS 40-50 KT AND 500 MB WINDS OF 60-70 KT. ETA POINT MODEL
SOUNDINGS... GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCAPES OF 1500 J/KG ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS OH
VALLEY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SFC-6 KM SHEAR OF 50-60KT AND LOW LEVEL
SFC-1KM HELICITY OF 200-300 M2/S2 ALONG WITH LCLS AROUND 1KM WOULD
ADDITIONALLY SUGGEST THAT TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WOULD BE POSSIBLE.
AT THIS TIME TOO EARLY TO HIGHLIGHT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF
SEVERE...HOWEVER IF THE FORECASTED INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP THEN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE QUITE ACTIVE E OF COLD FRONT IN THE OH
VALLEY."
Link to the full story from SPC for sunday!
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
Hmmmmm. Looking very promising for us chasers out this way!
Tomorrow this shifts towards Eastern TX from the Gulf up to southern MO. Keep a eye on tomorrow because it seems there is a few uncertainties as far as how active it may be.
Then on Sunday things really get intresting for the OH Valley as a low associated with the s/wv in the sw which ejects out and Head for MI. Out ahead of this feature and ahead of the Coldfront a ton of moisture looks to surge to the north into the OH/TN Valley's setting up for what may be a very active day as mentioned by SPC; "STRONG COUPLED JET TRAVERSES OH VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH 850
MB WINDS 40-50 KT AND 500 MB WINDS OF 60-70 KT. ETA POINT MODEL
SOUNDINGS... GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCAPES OF 1500 J/KG ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS OH
VALLEY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SFC-6 KM SHEAR OF 50-60KT AND LOW LEVEL
SFC-1KM HELICITY OF 200-300 M2/S2 ALONG WITH LCLS AROUND 1KM WOULD
ADDITIONALLY SUGGEST THAT TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WOULD BE POSSIBLE.
AT THIS TIME TOO EARLY TO HIGHLIGHT A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF
SEVERE...HOWEVER IF THE FORECASTED INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP THEN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD BE QUITE ACTIVE E OF COLD FRONT IN THE OH
VALLEY."
Link to the full story from SPC for sunday!
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
Hmmmmm. Looking very promising for us chasers out this way!