STORM2K

Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 4:35 am EDT on May 31, 2004


... There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across central North
Carolina today...

A moist and unstable airmass covers all of central North Carolina
this morning. A band of showers and thunderstorms crossing the
mountains will continue to advance toward central North Carolina
this morning. Strengthening winds between 5 and 12 thousand feet in
the atmosphere coupled with the moist unstable air already in place
will set the stage for strong to severe thunderstorms today across
central North Carolina.

The main severe weather threat will be damaging straight line winds
which could reach speeds as high as 65 mph. An isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out.


It appears that the threat of severe storms will increase in the
western Piedmont counties including The Triad region and Albemarle
as early as 9 or 10 am. The threat of severe weather will increase
over the remainder of the Piedmont counties and the sandhills
including the Triangle area... Southern Pines and Henderson by mid
day or early afternoon. For counties along and east of I-95... the
severe weather threat will increase after 2 PM.

The severe weather threat will diminish in the western counties by
early afternoon... and over the remainder of central North Carolina
after 4 or 5 PM.

Skywarn spotter activation will likely be required today... starting
as early as 8 or 9 am in The Triad region. Skywarn spotter
activation in the sandhills and Triangle regions may start as early
as 10 or 11 am.

Due to the various outdoor activities planned for today... people
need to keep abreast of the latest weather bulletins that are likely
to be issued. The storms will be fast moving... expected to
move east northeast between 40 and 50 mph. Thus... you may only have
a few minutes to take quick action to protect yourself and others.
Boaters on area lakes will need to pay especially close attention to
the weather conditions as they will deteriorate in a short time
span. At the first sign of impending adverse weather such as a
darkening horizon or distant Thunder... Head to shore immediately.

Again... emergency management officials and local storm spotter
groups should closely monitor the latest forecasts and statements
from the National Weather Service.


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Severe Thunderstorm Watch
urgent - immediate broadcast requested
Severe Thunderstorm Watch number 351
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 am EDT Mon may 31 2004

Corrected for add Wilkes County NC

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of

North Carolina
South Carolina
Virginia

Effective this Monday morning from 550 am until 1100 am EDT.

Hail to 1.5 inches in diameter... thunderstorm wind gusts to 70
mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these areas.

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch area is along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles North of Danville Virginia
to 50 miles southeast of Spartanburg South Carolina.

Remember... a Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

Other watch information... continue... ww 348... ww 349... ww 350... ww
351...

Discussion...

Aviation... a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft
to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm
motion vector 26040.

Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 9:12 am EDT on May 31, 2004


... There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across central North
Carolina today...

... A Severe Thunderstorm Watch continues for most of of central
North Carolina until 200 PM this afternoon...

A very moist and unstable airmass covers all of central North
Carolina today. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to advance
east across the Piedmont this morning. Strong winds aloft in the
atmosphere coupled with the moist unstable air will set the stage
for strong to possibly severe thunderstorms today.

In addition to intense lightning strikes... the main threat from
severe thunderstorms will be damaging straight line winds possibly
reaching speeds of 65 mph. An isolated tornado is also possible.

The threat of severe weather will increase over the eastern piemdont
and coastal plain and sandhills including the Triangle area...
Southern Pines and Henderson mid day to early afternoon.

Skywarn spotter activation will be needed in The Triad region this
morning and in the sandhills and Triangle regions by midday.

Due to the various outdoor activities planned for today... people
need to keep abreast of the latest weather bulletins. The storms
will be fast moving... expected to move east northeast between 40
and 50 mph. Thus... you may only have a few minutes to take quick
action to protect yourself and others. Boaters on area lakes will
need to pay especially close attention to the weather conditions as
they will deteriorate in a short time span. At the first sign of
impending adverse weather such as a darkening horizon or distant
Thunder... Head to shore immediately.

Again... emergency management officials and local storm spotter
groups should closely monitor the latest forecasts and statements
from the National Weather Service.


Severe Thunderstorm Watch
urgent - immediate broadcast requested
Severe Thunderstorm Watch number 352
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
910 am EDT Mon may 31 2004

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of

Eastern Georgia
central North Carolina
central and western South Carolina

Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 910 am until 200
PM EDT.

Hail to 2 inches in diameter... thunderstorm wind gusts to 70
mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these areas.

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch area is along and 70 statute miles
North and South of a line from 70 miles west of Augusta Georgia to
25 miles east of Raleigh North Carolina.

Remember... a Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

Other watch information... this Severe Thunderstorm Watch replaces
Severe Thunderstorm Watch number 351. Watch number 351 will not be
in effect after 910 am EDT. Continue... ww 350...

Discussion... squall line expected to re-intensify rapidly with
heating as air mass very unstable with 40-50 kt of deep layer shear.
Wind damage potential will increase as storms intensify.

Aviation... a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft
to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm
motion vector 24035.


... Hales

;342,0831 365,0781 345,0781 322,0831;

Stay safe!

Kristi

This weekend a new rain gauge I bought and installed on the railing of my new townhouse high back deck collected a combined total of .37" in some scattered showers.

Fortunately no severe wx after all today or tonight either for that matter... after some minor damage in the western part of NC this morning the system really weakened and fell apart...and the radar is pretty much a clean sweep now. Next chance for some showers/thunderstorms is Wednesday.

The severe thunderstorm watch from earlier today here expired an hour early at 1 pm ET...due to lack of activity.

Eric

Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 5:14 am EDT on June 3, 2004


... There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across
central North Carolina today...

A trough of low pressure will hold over central North Carolina
today... while a cold front drops South into the area. A moist and
unstable airmass will support scattered showers and thunderstorms
over all of central North Carolina today as temperatures climb well
into the 80s and 90s. The best coverage is expected to be along and
east of the trough... southeast of a line from Rockingham... to
Raleigh... to Roanoke Rapids. The greatest risk from these storms
will be damaging wind gusts in excess of 50 mph... hail... and
intense lightning.

Skywarn spotter activation may be needed in the sandhills and
Triangle regions by the afternoon. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio
for the latest update and information. The statement will be updated
around noon to reflect the latest conditions.

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Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 6:00 am EDT on June 3, 2004


... There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across central
North Carolina this afternoon and evening...

A low pressure area tracking along a warm front over central North
Carolina will provide the focus for showers and thunderstorms today.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected across the area
this morning into the afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall is possible
through early afternoon.

There may be a lull in the shower and thunderstorm activity during
the early to mid afternoon hours as slightly drier air advances into
the area. However... additional scattered thunderstorms are expected
to develop by late afternoon over southern sections of the Piedmont.
A few of these storms may become severe by late afternoon and into
the evening... as they move to the east or southeast. The main
threat will be from large hail of penny size or larger... and strong
damaging winds over 60 mph.

The best chance for strong and isolated severe thunderstorms is
expected to be across the southern Piedmont... Sandhills... and the
Coastal Plain. This area extends from Albemarle and Wadesboro east
through Fayetteville... Southern Pines... Goldsboro...
Smithfield... and Clinton... along or South of the warm front.

Skywarn spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for the latest update and
information. This statement will be updated around noon to reflect
the latest conditions.


Nowcast as of 9:01 am EDT on June 4, 2004

Now:

Several bands of showers and scattered thunderstorms will move across the Piedmont and Sandhills of North Carolina this morning. Showers and thunderstorms will taper off over The Triad by 10 am...but will continue to move North northeast...across Orange and Person counties...through 1030 am. Expect gusty winds...lightning strikes...and a period of heavy rain...possibly an inch or more in a few spots. Farther South...a band of showers and scattered thunderstorms will move North...from the Southern Piedmont and Sandhills and into the Central Piedmont. They will affect areas from Southern Pines to Sanford...Fayetteville...Lillington...and possibly Pittsboro and Fuquay Varina through 1015 am.


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Special Weather Statement

Statement as of 9:51 am EDT on June 4, 2004


... Strong showers and thunderstorms will move across Durham... Wake...Chatham... Johnston... Lee... Harnett... Sampson and Cumberland counties through 1115 am EDT...

At 951 am EDT... Doppler radar indicated showers and thunderstorms
with very heavy rain along a line extending from near Sanford to
near Spivey's Corner... moving north at 25 mph.

The strong thunderstorms will be near Sanford around 1000 am EDT...
Lillington around 1010 am EDT... Smithfield around 1045 am EDT... Cary
around 1105 am EDT... west Raleigh around 1110 am EDT... Raleigh around 1115 am EDT.

Gusty winds to 40 mph... very heavy rain and dangerous
cloud-to-ground lightning can be expected with these storms.