STORM2K

We've already had a tornado warning, just east of me,
and, the storms look to be brewing, again, to the West!


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kohx.shtml

I'm north of Lawrenceburg, in Southern mid-TN, just on
the line of three counties.

Storm Stories on TWC is doing the story of the April 1998
twister in Nashville, tonight - they forget about the
forgotten F-5 that occured, the same eveing, down here
in Lawrence County.

Stay safe Breeze

John, I'd give you some rain - but, right now,
it looks all to be thunder and lightning!

****! LMAO

more will pop tomorrow in the carolinas, and GA, as a VERY potent mid level s/w moves into the region from the west.

USAwx1 wrote:

For the Carolinas/GA ...

Fairly potent s/w swinging through around the base of the ULL and trough currently in the NE'rn region. Models differ with the timing and strength of the episode, with the SREF ensembles showing a very slight potential for severe (ETAKF) ... I'm not very sold on the idea, however, BLYR moisture has been recovering nicely, and TD's are running several degrees higher than the past week ... I'm more confident for GA with a few isolated severe cells, but with the Carolinas, and this MIGHT be the better news, a potential for heavier rains with PWAT's running >1.5"...and in the stage of this game, that's ALL I care about ...

The threat for thunderstorms may continue with s/w's continuing to round the base of the trough along a fast zonal flow in the Southern States thru the next 60 hours ... globals and mesoscale model (MM5) develop a weak SFC low in response to the h5 s/w and at the least, INCREASE the CHANCES for scattered convection, and quite likely, the best potential that's been talked about, in some cases, almost a MONTH...

SF

Also, of note, the ETA may be indicating some wedging along the Eastern Side of the Appalachains (down to NC about 36 hours out), which may aid in isentropic lift .. BIG BIG IF...