STORM2K

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
700 AM CDT SAT JUL 17 2004

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-181200-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-
GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-
POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
700 AM CDT SAT JUL 17 2004

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A WEAK COOL FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SAG SOUTHWARD TODAY ACROSS TEXAS
AND REACH THE NORTHERN EDGE OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS
FEATURE...SOME OF WHICH MAY BECOME SEVERE ACROSS NORTHEAST
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE MAIN THREAT AREA IS EXPECTED TO
BE ALONG AND EAST OF A CROCKETT TO TRINITY TO LIVINGSTON LINE. THE
MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THE THREAT AREA WILL NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH AND WEST
LATER TODAY...BECAUSE IT IS STILL UNCERTAIN HOW FAR WEST THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE ABLE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE MID 90S THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES PEAKING AT AROUND 105
DEGREES.

Yep, those are the lovely fronts that bump into
warm, moist areas, making for Mother Nature's
fireworks, in her most grand way!

Thats what I thought too... Maybe some bad weather tonight?? I forgot what the wind and rain and thunder sound like?! I can tell you thats its hot as hell outside, and I havent been out all day! If this front hits this hot and humid air, watch out!

Had a very nice cool front come through here the other night w/ an overnight low temp in the range of 58 to 62...a VERY nice treat for mid July!

Eric

Yeah...also a few record low temperatures were set...

FRIDAY JULY 16th

Charlotte NC 58F tied 2001

SATURDAY JULY 17th

Charlotte NC 62F tied 1886
Lynchburg VA 55F

And some hefty rainfall records to go along with it:
RAIN RECORDS SAT JULY 17th:-
Greensboro NC 4.16inches
Charlotte NC 4.14inches
Greenville SC 2.31inches
Monroe LA 3.08inches
Evansville IND 1.42inches
Luflkin TX 1.31inches
Florence SC 0.82inches
Blacksburg VA 0.78inches
Jackson KY 0.57inches

-justin-

The tail end of the front just came through West Houston about 9 am this morning. Never did develop the storms in our area overnight we had expected-they all stayed East of us. Of course now with frontal passage there is one lone tstorm near our area, but I'm not sure we will get anything from it.

Yet is is so STRANGE for us to have a frontal passage in mid-July!! SO VERY STRANGE!!! I don't expect any big lowering of temps from this but a welcome afternoon respite from upper 90's will do.

Any comments from others on how this might fit into the overall "different"(if it is) pattern we are seeing this year?

I have to agree with you VB, when I heard there was a cold front moving this way I was like "no way, its july?" What is up with this funky weather??? Maybe we will have a "cold" winter.. lol.. I hope... arent we due for some snow or ice or something?? Im ready!!

Well cold fronts aren't as uncommon up here in the midwest and it looks like we might be having a pretty strong one come through here around midweek. It is hard to say right now if there will be any severe weather with it. With temps expected to be in the low to mid 90s the cap will most likely be strong. Will just have to wait to see how strong this front will be. Any thoughts from the rest of ya??

I am sooo disapointed with that "cold Front"... I know it isnt going to make a difference in the temps, I was hoping that we were at least going to get a good storm or something!! I saw a lot of lightening to the north of me, but it never made it this far south and west... Too bad....

RECORD LOWS MON JUL 19th 2004

Victoria TX 71F tied 1922
Alexandria LA 67F tied 1976
Austin Bergstrom TX 64F
Waco TX 64F
Greenville SC 63F tied 1929
Paducah KY 59F tied 1976
Fayetteville ARK 55F

-justin-

From the Miami, FL forecast discussion:

::THE BOUNDARY MENTIONED ABOVE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
SOUTHEASTWARD...VERY DIFFUSE, OF COURSE...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO ACT
AS FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR CONVECTION. SO WILL KEEP SCT POPS TONIGHT
AND WED AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL NO LONGER
SUPPORT WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY...FURTHER MORE GFS INDICATES A SLIGHTLY
DRIER AIRMASS SPREADING SOUTH OVER THE LOCAL AREA BY WED NIGHT
BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SO WILL GO WITH A DECREASING TREND IN
POPS STARTING WED EVENING. A RETURN TO AN EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED
BY SATURDAY WITH SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS AGAIN IN THE FORECAST.::

You mean to tell me we're going to have a true frontal passage in Miami, in JULY??? I have been living here all my life, and this seems unheard of.

We were in the upper 60's last night, it was a great evening for relaxing outside (except for the mosquitos of course ). They're actually predicting another cold fron to approach the area this weekend which will increase our rain chances and possibly cool us off again. I almost wish we could get back into the wet pattern of June because it definately kept the heat in check. Plus, my yard is starting to look somewhat dry for the first time since April!