STORM2K

Posted: **Sun Sep 05, 2004 9:10 am**

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
600 AM CDT SUN SEP 5 2004

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-051715-
ANTELOPE-BOONE-BURT-BUTLER-CASS-CEDAR-COLFAX-CUMING-DODGE-DOUGLAS-
FREMONT IA-GAGE-HARRISON IA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LANCASTER-MADISON-
MILLS IA-MONONA IA-MONTGOMERY IA-NEMAHA-OTOE-PAGE IA-PAWNEE-PIERCE-
PLATTE-POTTAWATTAMIE IA-RICHARDSON-SALINE-SARPY-SAUNDERS-SEWARD-
SHELBY IA-STANTON-THURSTON-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
600 AM CDT SUN SEP 5 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST
IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING.  DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LIGHTNING WILL BE
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

A COLD FRONT FROM THE EASTERN DAKOTAS INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA EARLY
THIS MORNING WITH MOVE INTO PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND WESTERN IOWA THIS EVENING. BOTH MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND STRONG SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
AFTER 10PM...SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE SURFACE FRONT
AND SHEAR MOVES TO THE EAST OF THE AREA...AND THE INSTABILITY
BECOMES NEGLIGIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  AT
THIS TIME LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY AND THIS
EVENING.

Posted: **Sun Sep 05, 2004 10:27 am**

Yes indeed, this is all going to occur here without hardly any heating. So far it is mostly cloudy, but if we are able to get some sun to heat up this area it could be even worse. I'm going to be keeping an eye on it, especially since it's the labor day party time and it's going to storm :eek:

Posted: **Sun Sep 05, 2004 11:09 am**

Looks like KC is on the edge of the slight risk core. In all honesty, I haven't really paid attention to the local forecast since I have been following Hurricane Frances.

Kristi

Posted: **Sun Sep 05, 2004 11:15 am**

We'll see what the SPC does with this in about 15 min with the next outlook. Then I'll try to get an updated post on the new outlook

Posted: **Sun Sep 05, 2004 11:30 am**

It looks like everything is much the same, still the same probablities. Still watching about the lack of heating, but there should be plenty of vertical shear to get those storms supercellular if they get going.

Posted: **Sun Sep 05, 2004 8:47 pm**

the weather dude in Eau Claire, WI said a tornado was spotted a little while ago in St. Croix COunty (EAST OF THE TWIN CITIES, i believe)... I'm south of here, but watching them progress Eastward, looks pretty impressive on radar....

Posted: **Mon Sep 06, 2004 1:50 am**

We had a good amount of tornado warnings around here, only one was reported on the ground. A lot of rain, they weren't very impressive on radar, but they had a lot of shear with them.

STORM2K

Slight Risk of SVR TSTMS, possible 'naders"

Slight Risk of SVR TSTMS, possible 'naders"