Possible SVR WX in Carolinas/Mid-Atl this week
Posted: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:12 pm
TOMORROW ...
A SFC low pressure is progged to develop over South Carolina tomorrow out ahead of a mid-level trough along the Piedmont where the best baroclinicity resides and swings NE thru Eastern NC and Southeastern VA.
Strong Mid and Upper level JET MAXes in the order of 70-80 kts at the 500mb level and 200mb winds in excess of 120 KTS are progged to move over the Eastern Carolinas coupled with strong convergence and somewhat favorable shear parameters suggest a threat for damaging winds in stronger convection/bow echo formation, along with a potential for isolated supercells/tornadoes ... modest destabilization may occur in the best baroclinic zone around the Piedmont of the Carolinas where skies have an opportunity to clear allowing for decent insolation and result in CAPES of 1000-1500 j/kg ...
SF
A SFC low pressure is progged to develop over South Carolina tomorrow out ahead of a mid-level trough along the Piedmont where the best baroclinicity resides and swings NE thru Eastern NC and Southeastern VA.
Strong Mid and Upper level JET MAXes in the order of 70-80 kts at the 500mb level and 200mb winds in excess of 120 KTS are progged to move over the Eastern Carolinas coupled with strong convergence and somewhat favorable shear parameters suggest a threat for damaging winds in stronger convection/bow echo formation, along with a potential for isolated supercells/tornadoes ... modest destabilization may occur in the best baroclinic zone around the Piedmont of the Carolinas where skies have an opportunity to clear allowing for decent insolation and result in CAPES of 1000-1500 j/kg ...
SF
