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You do NOT want to see that in Alabama ...
Posted: Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:18 pm
by Stormsfury
Classic V-shaped configuration to the thunderstorms on IR satellite imagery ... SVR WX w/embedded supercellular action and isolated TVS (tornadic vorticity signatures) coming in from the region tonight ...
Posted: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:30 pm
by SouthernWx
It's very unusual to see a severe wx event of this magnitude in the south during October....especially the middle of October.
I've seen tornadic supercells during the past 24-30 hours that were more reminiscent of April than October....extremely intense rotating storms.
It just makes me wonder whats ahead in November and December....after a record breaking September for tornadoes, and the most significant October tornado outbreak in my memory across the mid-south and Tennessee valley.
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 11:36 am
by JuliannaMKH
It was a noisy night and no mistaking it. I woke up several times due to the loud thunder. One of the local mets agreed with you, SouthernWx, saying it was more like spring than fall. He also added that temperatures would be above average for the next 30 days or so. I guess no more crisp weather for us down here for a while.
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 11:55 am
by Wnghs2007
JuliannaMKH wrote:It was a noisy night and no mistaking it. I woke up several times due to the loud thunder. One of the local mets agreed with you, SouthernWx, saying it was more like spring than fall. He also added that temperatures would be above average for the next 30 days or so. I guess no more crisp weather for us down here for a while.
Yes it was a very scarry situation for those who live in Alabama. Luckily I was in NE gerogia and was spared
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:27 pm
by yoda
Yep, you are right SF. No one wants to see that. Very impressive storm system for this time in October...
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:30 pm
by Wnghs2007
yoda wrote:Yep, you are right SF. No one wants to see that. Very impressive storm system for this time in October...
Hey matt do you think that there will be anymore of these?
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:31 pm
by yoda
Wnghs2007 wrote:yoda wrote:Yep, you are right SF. No one wants to see that. Very impressive storm system for this time in October...
Hey matt do you think that there will be anymore of these?
Possibly. It will depend on how long these warm temps want to stay and when the next cold front comes through. Someone said something about Friday... let me check Day 3 SPC...
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:32 pm
by Wnghs2007
yoda wrote:Wnghs2007 wrote:yoda wrote:Yep, you are right SF. No one wants to see that. Very impressive storm system for this time in October...
Hey matt do you think that there will be anymore of these?
Possibly. It will depend on how long these warm temps want to stay and when the next cold front comes through. Someone said something about Friday... let me check Day 3 SPC...
Ok thanks Matt.
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:47 pm
by yoda
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EASTERN OK AND MUCH OF
AR...ACROSS THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY...
ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT POWERFUL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL SURGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON
FRIDAY...INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY 23/12Z. THIS WILL LIKELY SET THE
STAGE FOR A RELATIVELY ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE ACROSS PARTS OF
IA/MO/IL/AR.
DEEP SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE FROM WESTERN KS INTO IA BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF LOW WILL
TRANSPORT MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS NORTHWARD WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S LIKELY AS FAR NORTH AS CENTRAL IA. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF THE DRYLINE...ALLOWING
AIRMASS TO BECOME AT LEAST MODERATELY UNSTABLE FROM EASTERN
KS/WESTERN MO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL IA /MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500
J/KG/. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER WESTERN MO...AND NEAR SURFACE LOW/WARM FRONT OVER IA.
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STORMS
CAPABLE OF HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. SOUTHWARD DEVELOPMENT
OF STORMS IS LIKELY AFTER 00Z INTO MUCH OF MO/AR AS LARGE SCALE
FORCING SPREADS EASTWARD INTO MOIST AXIS.
PORTIONS OF IA/MO MAY
REQUIRE AN UPGRADE IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 2:58 pm
by Wnghs2007
yoda wrote:http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EASTERN OK AND MUCH OF
AR...ACROSS THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY...
ETA/GFS SOLUTIONS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT POWERFUL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL SURGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON
FRIDAY...INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY 23/12Z. THIS WILL LIKELY SET THE
STAGE FOR A RELATIVELY ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE ACROSS PARTS OF
IA/MO/IL/AR.
DEEP SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE FROM WESTERN KS INTO IA BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF LOW WILL
TRANSPORT MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS NORTHWARD WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S LIKELY AS FAR NORTH AS CENTRAL IA. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF THE DRYLINE...ALLOWING
AIRMASS TO BECOME AT LEAST MODERATELY UNSTABLE FROM EASTERN
KS/WESTERN MO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL IA /MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500
J/KG/. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER WESTERN MO...AND NEAR SURFACE LOW/WARM FRONT OVER IA.
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STORMS
CAPABLE OF HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. SOUTHWARD DEVELOPMENT
OF STORMS IS LIKELY AFTER 00Z INTO MUCH OF MO/AR AS LARGE SCALE
FORCING SPREADS EASTWARD INTO MOIST AXIS. PORTIONS OF IA/MO MAY
REQUIRE AN UPGRADE IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
UH OH
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 9:47 pm
by Brent
Not again.
Fortunately it remained cloudy and cool all day today here. There had been some threat of isolated severe again, but it didn't happen because of the clouds.
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 10:22 pm
by wxguy25
How about the F-0 down in brevard county, FL today. Impressive stuff.
Posted: Wed Oct 20, 2004 10:23 pm
by Stormsfury
wxguy25 wrote:How about the F-0 down in brevard county, FL today. Impressive stuff.
Saw the video on that earlier today ... started out as a waterspout I believe.