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Staring off Monday with more Sev Wx..Heads UP!UPDATED 19:10

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 5:30 am
by Arizwx
The atmosphere to the E and S of yesterday's 82 Twister calamity is RIPE.
No scouring at all.The line from near Streetsoldier's Bootheel to Memphis is the demarkation of the Dry line.Cool...moist air at the Sfc to CVG and ENE has a blocking mechanism with Frost advisories to BOX,Mass.
Moisture laden midlevel air with 70F DP has JK/gs off the wall.4500+ 500mb CAPE is very evident from MEM SSE to ATL.
Heads up Breeze,Bill and Perry.
S branch of Jetmax or STJ had a 170+kt heading right into the teeth of the S GOMEX feed mechanism.Downsloping winds from the Rockies has futher destabilized the environment.V-Notch evident from S of MEM at this hour...03:24 PDT 05MAY03.
Early AM tornadoes are EXTREMELY dangerous,as many are with the thinking that they di not occurr at that hr..THEY DO!
N Mississippi and SE Ark are also under SPC Boxed areas.
Tops over 50KFt asl..possibly to 60Kft are probable by Mid AM..Max SFC Heating after 2PM should fire off massive MCS..possible MCC with HP Supercell activity.Multiple Vorticies dropping off of Scud Clouds should offer spectacular footage,hail over 3" probable with outflow winds over 70mph also assoc with isolated rogue Supercells.
NOAA radios at the ready friends!Stay alert!

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 8:27 am
by chadtm80
Heads up everyone!

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 8:59 am
by Arizwx
I also forgot to let you in on a little secret..I'm a big Piston fan!
Great series!The Magic almost pulled a Rabbit out of thier Hat!Maybe next year.
Seriously though,my post w/re to the Sev Wx is to the point and I caution those in the watch/warning areas to take the advisories very seriously!
Be Well & Safe
D.J.

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 9:04 am
by Constructionwx
We are under tornado watches ATT. Could be a very rough day.

Image

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 9:16 am
by Arizwx
I PMed Perry about 3 hrs ago..I had a sfc plot set up indicating exactly what you have posted...this is a very unstable airmass for sure.
Take care RP..and an eye to the sky!

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 9:23 am
by Constructionwx
Thanks DJ. Just heard and felt a clap of thunder that literally shook the desk that I'm at.!!

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 11:43 am
by mf_dolphin
Looks like a pretty heavy line is taking dead aim on Atlanta.

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kffc.shtml

Looks like it may be setting up for a "train" effect as it moves into the greater Atlanta area. Heads up Georgia folks! :-)

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 12:13 pm
by Amanzi
Take care you guys.. and please let us know that you are all safe and sound if you can!

That STJ Axis

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 7:05 pm
by Aslkahuna
was over SE AZ yesterday and it has shifted E and S. Incidentally, the models were advertising a severe weather situation for yesterday during last week.

Steve

Posted: Mon May 05, 2003 9:04 pm
by Arizwx
mf_dolphin wrote:Looks like a pretty heavy line is taking dead aim on Atlanta.

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kffc.shtml

Looks like it may be setting up for a "train" effect as it moves into the greater Atlanta area. Heads up Georgia folks! :-)


****19:00PDT 05MAY03********
I just picked up 3 TVS TDWR soundings..rotaters:Poss Tornadic Activity,Hook Echo evident on 3:
#1.)ESE of Athens,GA approx 50nm heading ENE Vec 56deg@25
#2.)Due S Athens,GA. approx 55 nm heading ENEVec 47Deg @25
#3.)SSW of ATL,GA CWA approx 45nm heading NNE Vec 22Deg @40mph
HP Supercells ALL,rogue pulse trsrms active at this time.Check SPC/ATL NWS WFO for local updates

***UPDATE*** 19:10PDT
2 TVS SSE of Athens:As mentioned above,it appears the Tornadoes are on the ground...strong soundings on the TVS/MESO (#2) Aprrox 50nm SSE Athens..heads up.

Posted: Tue May 06, 2003 11:46 am
by Constructionwx
Here We go again!! Funnel cloud reported to my west!!

Posted: Wed May 07, 2003 2:11 am
by Arizwx
Constructionwx wrote:Here We go again!! Funnel cloud reported to my west!!

Any confirmation of those cells from yesterday RP?I had the TDWR dialed in as hard as she would go and picked up the 3 TVS/2 Meso I wrote about less than 2 hrs from the time of your post.BTW,there were no SPC /NWS Warnings out for those specific cells at that time.Thx.