STORM2K

CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING AT
THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST FROM THE LOWER OH VALLEY SWWD INTO
THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ALONG 30-40KT LLJ AXIS AND AHEAD OF
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING THROUGH THE AREA.
ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL LIMIT ISOLATION/DESTABILIZATION...A
LARGE RESERVOIR OF MID 60S TO MID 70S DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY IN PLACE
ACROSS THE GULF COAST SHOULD ALLOW THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPES
APPROACHING 1500-2500 J/KG. TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY/
REDEVELOP AT THIS TIME AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW OVER THE MIDDLE OH
VALLEY SWD INTO THE CNTRL GULF COAST REGION BEFORE SPREADING EWD
INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES/SERN U.S. BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING HOURS.

45-55KTS OF 0-6KM AGL SHEAR WILL ONCE AGAIN PERSIST ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR EFFECTIVELY SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE TSTMS...
INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS...HOWEVER ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
WITH STORMS INTERACTING WITH ANY RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES. THIS WILL BE
ESPECIALLY THE CASE FROM NRN MS/AL EWD ACROSS NRN GA INTO THE
CAROLINAS WHERE AMBIENT 0-3KM SRH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 200-400
M2/S2.

Although i don't want too severe weather i would like to see a good storm soon. It seems like when they cross the mtns...they all fall apart. Maybe if the gulf/atlantic flow get their acts together we may see smthg good.?!?!

here is a update about the severe weather chance from 1630 SPC Update



AS THE AIR MASS DESTABLIZES WITH HEATING...STORMS MAY DEVELOP FROM
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES NEWD INTO PA ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM
ONGOING AND PREVIOUS CONVECTION. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...BUT WEAKER INSTABILITY THAN
ACROSS THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY INDICATES THE MAIN THREAT
SHOULD BE HAIL AND SOME DAMAGING WINDS.

Tornado warning for La Plata, MD area, who was hit hard last year by a damaging F4.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
641 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2003

...TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR CHARLES COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

AT 641 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO 2 MILES
NORTHWEST OF IRONSIDES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS
STORM...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

IRONSIDES...LA PLATA...DENTSVILLE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS
DANGEROUS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. GO TO A SAFE PLACE NOW!

Oops, I didn't see mamadude's post already in another thread regarding this warning.