STORM2K

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
531 AM EST THU JAN 13 2005

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-131600-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
531 AM EST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT:
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH THE GULF STATES. THESE INCREASING WINDS WILL HELP TO BUILD
SEAS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WHICH WILL MAKE FOR ROUGH BOATING
CONDITIONS BY THIS AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS WILL NEED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION. TONIGHT THE COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST.
IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF WATERS LATE TONIGHT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THIS LINE BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE NATURE COAST
BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE MAIN
HAZARDS FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL BE
AFFECTING THE NATURE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THIS BAND
MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST INTO THE TAMPA METRO AREA BY MID MORNING AND
THEN CONTINUING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AT THE CURRENT
TIME THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAINS...AND POSSIBLY A
FEW SHORT LIVED MARINE WATERSPOUTS. IN ADDITION SOUTHWEST WINDS
IN THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ROUGH BOATING
CONDITIONS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS WHICH WILL LIKELY PERSIST
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. DURING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY BUT MAY BE NEEDED LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)


$$

MCMICHAEL

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
215 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-141100-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
215 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AS WIND GUSTS REACH 30
TO 35 MPH AT TIMES.

EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE AHEAD OF AND ALONG A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE 1 TO 2
INCH RANGE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND DAMAGE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

LOCAL NORTHEASTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS...AS WELL
AS BUILDING SEAS AND HEAVY SURF OVER THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

$$

MKT/HESS


Rain chances are between 60% and 90% between tonight and tomorrow, which is great to hear during the dry season.

Thunderstorms have increased in coverage across the eastern Gulf of Mexico. There were 200 to 300 lightning strikes duringthe early to mid afternoon. It increased to and just above 500 two to three hours ago. Between 5:00 pm and 7:00 pm coverage has increased to 745 strikes... from extreme southwestern Georgia south and south-southwestward to generally 160 miles west of the west Florida coast, (as well as a cluster across western South Carolina and other portions of Georgia).

Orlando missed the record high of 86°F set back in 1972 by two degrees. Tampa tied the record high of 83°F for January 13th, last set back in 1937.


Interesting configuration of the activity across south-central Florida.....

"Nationwide" lightning coverage has increased 29.45% (from 745 to 1,056 strikes) between 5:00 pm-7:00 pm and 5:30-7:30 pm.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
831 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-141300-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
831 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

...STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF
THE LINE WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OKLAHOMA HAS PUT THE
AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT.

BEHIND THE LINE AROUND SUNRISE...A SECONDARY SURGE OF WIND WILL COME
IN WITH GUSTS ALONG THE COAST POSSIBLY APPROACHING 30 TO 40 MPH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW

$$

RJS

A Special Marine Warning was out for the waters west of southwest Florida until 12:40 am (went into effect at 11:37 pm).

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning was in effect until 12:45 am for southwestern Pasco and northwestern Pinellas counties.

Yippee, first good rain has just commenced six minutes ago since the wet season ended in mid-October.

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
148 AM EST FRI JAN 14 2005

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
140853-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-
INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-
ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-
148 AM EST FRI JAN 14 2005

.NOW...
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL MOVE OVER LEESBURG...LADY LAKE AND THE VILLAGES BY 2AM
AND REACH PIERSON AND BARBERVILLE IN NORTHERN VOLUSIA COUNTY BY 3
AM. EXPECT VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES
AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES THROUGH. THE LINE WILL
CONTINUE EAST TOWARD THE EAST COAST THROUGH DAYBREAK.

wow! wonder if we wil get any of it??? down here in se fl?

depotoo wrote:wow! wonder if we wil get any of it??? down here in se fl?

...FL...
TRUE MARITIME TROPICAL AIR MASS ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION...
COUPLED WITH INCREASING LARGE SCALE AND MESOSCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
WITH APPROACHING UPPER WAVE...SHOULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD TSTMS OVER
FL TODAY. UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY FLOW OF 30-40 KT ABOVE THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL RESULT IN SOMEWHAT LIMITED DEEP LAYER SHEAR INITIALLY.
HOWEVER...MESOSCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING SQUALL
LINE...AND/OR FRONTAL WAVE...MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE SR INFLOW AND
SUPERCELL POTENTIAL. FURTHERMORE...POTENTIAL FOR MID LEVEL DRY AIR
INTRUSION...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON OVER SRN FL...MAY
INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING DOWNDRAFT WINDS.

..CARBIN.. 01/14/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3. THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0845Z (3:45AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

Nothing severe here in S. Lakeland. But my rain gauge is showing over 3.5 inches so far.

This is the Peninsula's first good rain in a LONG time isn't it?

Brent wrote:

This is the Peninsula's first good rain in a LONG time isn't it?

Yes. It seems like we got our year's worth during and around the time of the hurricanes and then the faucet was shut off.

This is really a pleasant, soaking rain. However, there are traffic accidents all over the area. People forgot how to drive in the rain.

http://www.baynews9.com/Traffic.html

I saw one last night when I was driving home..actually this morning lol.. 2am. It was Really bad. I guess people don't slow down when it rains and you should always adjust the drving speed to the conditions

Fri Jan 14th 2005

ORLANDO, Fla. -- Two Orlando teachers were hit by lightning at Oak Hill Elementary on Friday morning.

One teacher was standing under a pavillion where she was assigned to help unload children on their way to school.
"She was able to walk and the parent drove her around to the clininc," says Principal Cora Thomas.

The other teacher was outside her portable classroom.

No children were injured or nearby when the accidents occurred.
Both teachers were hospitalized and released.

Lightning also struck a tree at the school.
Both lightning victims are first-year teachers. One teaches exceptional education and the other is a language resource teacher.
-justin-

lightning 3 times at one school??? scary! hope both teachers are ok.