Heavy Rain and Storms for Gulf Coast
Posted: Sat Feb 12, 2005 7:11 pm
Sounds like we have some pretty nasty weather heading this way later tonight. Lake Charles Discussion even mentions possible severe/tornado threat for tomorrow:
INSTABILITY PARAMETERS REMAIN RATHER MARGINAL...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS LOUISIANA...BUT SHEAR PROFILES AND 0-3KM HELICITY VALUES
CONTINUE TO LOOK INTERESTING. SPC HAS THE ENTIRE AREA OUTLOOKED
IN A SLGT RISK...SPECIFICALLY MENTIONING TORNADIC POTENTIAL. IN
ADDITION...MODEL AND HPC QPF VALUES QUITE IMPRESSIVE...WHICH ISN/T
SURPRISING GIVEN PWATS REACHINHG 1.5". MORE CONFIDENT IN THE
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL AT THIS POINT...SO WILL GO AHEAD AND
MENTION THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE FORECAST WHILE HOLDING OFF A
SEVERE MENTION WHICH HAS ALREADY BEEN ADDRESSED BY HWO AND SPS.
Let's hope things don't get too nasty.
INSTABILITY PARAMETERS REMAIN RATHER MARGINAL...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS LOUISIANA...BUT SHEAR PROFILES AND 0-3KM HELICITY VALUES
CONTINUE TO LOOK INTERESTING. SPC HAS THE ENTIRE AREA OUTLOOKED
IN A SLGT RISK...SPECIFICALLY MENTIONING TORNADIC POTENTIAL. IN
ADDITION...MODEL AND HPC QPF VALUES QUITE IMPRESSIVE...WHICH ISN/T
SURPRISING GIVEN PWATS REACHINHG 1.5". MORE CONFIDENT IN THE
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL AT THIS POINT...SO WILL GO AHEAD AND
MENTION THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE FORECAST WHILE HOLDING OFF A
SEVERE MENTION WHICH HAS ALREADY BEEN ADDRESSED BY HWO AND SPS.
Let's hope things don't get too nasty.