STORM2K

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 51
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EST WED MAR 16 2005

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF DAYTONA
BEACH FLORIDA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF AVON PARK FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...MODERATELY UNSTABLE...STRONGLY SHEARED AIR MASS ACROSS
WATCH AREA. WITH WEAKENING CAP...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS
NRN FL PENINSULA. WITH THE IMPRESSIVE SHEAR NOTED ON 18Z TBW
SOUNDING AND INSTABILITY...ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY.
ADDITIONALLY MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INLAND
FROM GULF WITH PRIMARILY WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HALES

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/last3hours.html

Location 2 W OAK HILL VOLUSIA FL

PUBLIC REPORT OF TORNADO CROSSING INTERSTATE 95 NEAR OAK HILL. (MLB)

Those are some nasty cell cells still in the MLB area.. Looks like a real wet night for Tampa and the Central Peninsula at least..

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... ktbw.shtml

Paul

Are conditions more favorable on either the West or East coast of Florida for Tornados to form? Like a higher probability for Tornados to form
in Tampa or Melboune ?

While tracking these Cells ..I notice that these storm cells show intense
rain and shear right on each coast side..east and west...as they move across the interior of the State they seem to become less intense, and as they reach the other side of the Coast in Melbourne area they seem to gather strength again.