STORM2K

CAZ042-231030-
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
230 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003

.TONIGHT...LOW CLOUDS AND FOG SPREADING INLAND...OTHERWISE CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 62.
.FRIDAY...MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 67 TO 77.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG. LOWS 55 TO 62.
.SATURDAY...MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 66 TO 76.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY...THEN LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG SPREADING INLAND. LOWS 55 TO 62.
.SUNDAY...MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 68 TO 78.
.MEMORIAL DAY...AREAS OF NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 62. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
.TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH VERY WARM DAYS. PATCHY NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. LOWS 56 TO 64. HIGHS 72 TO 90.


CAZ048-231030-
SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
230 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003

.TONIGHT...PATCHY DENSE FOG LATE WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4
MILE...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S.
.FRIDAY...PATCHY DENSE MORNING FOG WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4
MILE...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 81 TO 91.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG LATE...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S.
.SATURDAY...AREAS OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 78 TO 87.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG LATE...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S.
.SUNDAY...AREAS OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG...OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS 83 TO 93.
.TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH HOT DAYS. LOWS 53 TO 63. HIGHS 91 TO 101.


CAZ061-062-231030-
COACHELLA VALLEY-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
230 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66 TO 75.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 97 TO 105.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65 TO 73.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 95 TO 103.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 95 TO 103.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63 TO 73. HIGHS 98 TO 106.
.TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH VERY HOT DAYS. LOWS 67 TO 77. HIGHS 103 TO 111.


EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
140 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003

.SYNOPSIS...A COOLING TREND WILL OCCUR THROUGH SATURDAY AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FURTHER INLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. VERY WARM TO HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED AGAIN NEXT WEEK AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT DEVELOPS.

A LOOK AT NEXT WEEK SHOWS TEMPS WELL ABOVE NORMAL OVER INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY TUE-THU...AS THE PATTERN RESEMBLES ALMOST A LATE-SUMMER REGIME. THE ECM/MRF BOTH HAVE THE UPPER HIGH CENTER TO OUR NORTH WED WITH 500 MB HEIGHTS AROUND 590 HERE AND OFFSHORE FLOW AT MOST LEVELS EXCEPT THE SURFACE. MORE THAN HALF OF THE ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS CONCUR...SO THERE IS DEFINITELY A GOOD CHANCE THAT TEMPS AROUND NEXT WED WILL EQUAL OR EVEN BE HIGHER THAN THOSE FOUND YESTERDAY. SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE COULD EVEN MOVE INTO THE AREA...BUT BELOW-SUMMER SST VALUES IN THE WATERS TO OUR S/SE WILL LIMIT THINGS SOMEWHAT...SO NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

Josh, the only moisture is gonna come from the fog, eh? :o

Yep, looks like it. But I love warm weather. (many reasons which you must not know )

is how is monsoonal moisture going to make it into SoCA as per the AFD when the monsoon hasn't even started in MEXICO yet? We are just starting to see onset in Central America-that's a tad far in distance from SoCA. Me thinks someone needs to study up on monsoons before writing about them in the AFD.

Steve

Let me see who wrote that AFD, Steve; and you can give them a good talking to.

.SAN...NONE.

$$

MAXWELL


There ya go.

Extreme northwestern Central America to Tucson, Arizona (in the southern
portion of the state) is approximately 1,690 miles.

Thank you Tom.

Here is the latest part of the AFD regarding the situation:

MAX TEMPS SHOULD BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH WARM TO HOT WEATHER. GRADUAL COOLING TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS THE HI BREAKS DOWN. COULD GET SOME MID AND HI CLOUDS IN ESE FLOW ALOFT TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK BUT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANY PRECIP.