STORM2K

Looks to be some Isoated supercell that could have damaging winds and possibly a tornado.



Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
436 AM EST FRI FEB 3 2006

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>051-031800-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-BERKELEY-
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLEN...SYLVANIA...METTER...
STATESBORO...SPRINGFIELD...REIDSVILLE...CLAXTON...PEMBROKE...
FORT MCALLISTER...SAVANNAH...TYBEE ISLAND...LUDOWICI...
HINESVILLE...HALFMOON LANDING...TOWNSEND...DARIEN...ALLENDALE...
HAMPTON...WALTERBORO...ST. GEORGE...SUMMERVILLE...MONCKS CORNER...
RIDGELAND...BEAUFORT...HILTON HEAD...EDISTO BEACH...CHARLESTON...
JASPER
436 AM EST FRI FEB 3 2006

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH COASTAL SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH COASTAL GEORGIA THROUGH TONIGHT...

A WARM FRONT WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT WHILE A
COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL USHER IN WARM MOIST AIR TODAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA THAT WILL PUSH
NORTHEAST...BECOMING WIDESPREAD ACROSS SOUTH COASTAL SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH COASTAL GEORGIA BY TONIGHT.

SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE WARM FRONT AND STRONG
WINDS ALOFT ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR.

LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND
SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE
PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS...TV...OR YOUR LOCAL
NEWS SOURCE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE
INTERNET AT http://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/CHS.

yup getting nasty in central fl

I'm surprised the SPC doesn't have NC under a slight risk as the temp here today in central NC will be around 70F and tonight's low at 50F.

Eric

I dont really expect much from the Florida storms, but the ones that fire up later this afternoon oover Alabama might need to be watched.

Looks as warm moisture from gulf will be fueling theses storms and IMO the main threat will be in SE alabama, North parts of flordia. Then near or after dark southeast ga and into southeast sc. With Main threak damaging winds and Isolated supercells capable of producing tornados and some large hail

Could this be raised to a moderate risk later today. Seems serious enough but will it be widespread enough to be in a moderate risk

maybe it could im waiting for the more major threat tonight and tomorrow for fl

I dunno, I personally think if anything SPC will lower probabilities. The storms in Florida should slow the moisture return into Alabama, but if moisture can return I could see a few supercells. Not moderate risk material, though.

yeah it could it might add energy to a developing squall line coming into florida late tonight tomorrow

i dont know about here in mobile though its only 58 out right now and cloudy well have to wait and see

Looks like some supercells are blowing up over western MS right now, I could see baseball size hail out of these and maybe an isolated tornado , but the tornado threat seems very very low, mainly a hail threat.

WaitingForSiren wrote:I dont really expect much from the Florida storms

Tell that to the Tampa Bay area. MAN, did they get hammered! 8 inches of rain, roof collapsing at a mall, dang....

Tyler wrote:

WaitingForSiren wrote:I dont really expect much from the Florida storms

Tell that to the Tampa Bay area. MAN, did they get hammered! 8 inches of rain, roof collapsing at a mall, dang....

And areas of Pinellas Co FL have received 15 inches of rain!!

its not over yet ...SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING...

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
STRONG ATMOSPHERIC WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND AN
APPROACHING JET STREAM TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.
DURING THE NIGHT ENHANCED TURNING OF LOW LEVEL WINDS AND LARGE
SCALE LIFTING PROVIDED BY THE JET STREAM WILL CREATE A HAZARD FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. OF PRIMARY
CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ROTATING
STORMS...WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOES. INDIVIDUAL CELLS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF
INTENSE RAINFALL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HAIL.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 515 PM EST

* AT 430 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR JUPITER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JUPITER

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF A TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY
BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS.
GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2685 8023 2681 8019 2685 8004 2696 8009
2695 8018

Looks as of now southeast Ga and sc wont receive any severe weather like they said today

...A LINE OF STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH
WILL BE AFFECTING SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY...WESTERN ORANGE
COUNTY...WEST CENTRAL SEMINOLE COUNTY...

AT 440 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL FROM
EUSTIS TO 16 MILES SOUTH OF GROVELAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL INCLUDE MID FLORIDA LAKES...BAY HILL...PINE CASTLE AND
BELLE ISLE.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 31
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 500 PM UNTIL 1100
PM CST.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST
OF GADSDEN ALABAMA TO 40 MILES WEST OF EVERGREEN ALABAMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 29...WW 30...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS OVER EASTERN MS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS AL THIS EVENING. COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT AND FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER VERTICAL WIND PROFILES WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN STRONGER
CELLS.

Wow, Florida has just been SLAMED today!

Yep... and it looks like southern Florida is next in line! Central Florida has been really hit hard today, just like many areas in the southeastern U.S. have been!

central fl is not done yet